Donald Trump: polls of approval and favorability

[pbrower2a]

There have been few desirable statewide polls in the last month. I expect the bump involving optimism about a nuclear deal with North Korea to disintegrate to the detriment of the President's chances of being re-elected.

Well, I have one new poll in a state that should be wildly pro-Trump. The state is Tennessee, and I expect it to be closer in 2020 than it was in 2016, Besides, the chances of a popular ex-Governor (even of the 'wrong' Party) winning an open Senate seat are usually very good even in 'average' times.

First statewide poll that I have shown for a while. The other two either are favorability (Michigan) or have a wide difference between approval and disapproval (about 15%) in a swing state (Florida). It's Tennessee.  I have seen few polls from during that 'bump'. It may be just as well that we saw few of those. The Senate seat could be far more important.

Obviously, Democrats have no chance to pick up a Senate state in a state like Tennessee as they did in Alabama late last year... whoops!


 

Quote:

Quote:Tennessee: Vanderbilt University, April 26-May 8, 1400 RV (change from December)

Approve 53 (+5)
Disapprove 44 (-3)

Favorability: Marsha Blackburn 49/38, Phil Bredesen 67/25

Similar to the NC poll in showing statewide increase in approval for the President.

I expect the bump that the President got for the talk of getting a nuke agreement with North Korea will dissipate soon. We have seen few polls from during the bump, and at that we may be blessed. I'm predicting a return to 'normal'.

The Senate seat looks within range of a takeover by the Democrats with those favorability numbers.

Approval:




55% or higher dark blue
50-54% medium blue
less than 50% but above disapproval pale blue
even white
46% to 50% but below disapproval pale red
42% to 45% medium red
under 42% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 39
DC 17
DE 39
HI 33
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 45
NE-02 38
NE-03 55
NH 39
RI 30
VT 32

Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

100-Disapproval




55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but positive pale blue

ties white

45% or higher and negative pale red
40% to 44% medium red
under 40% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36


Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.


Nothing from before November 2017. Polls from Alabama and New Jersey are exit polls from 2017 elections.