06-17-2018, 11:47 PM
*** 18-Jun-18 World View -- India cancels ceasefire in Kashmir after one month
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** India cancels ceasefire in Kashmir after one month
****
![[Image: g180617b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g180617b.jpg)
Indian army in Kashmir (PTI)
India announced on Sunday that it would not renew a month-old
unilateral ceasefire in the Indian-controlled portions of Jammu and
Kashmir. Instead, it will resume military operations against rebels
whom it considers to be terrorists or suspected terrorists.
India had halted military operations on May 16, which was the start of
the Ramadan, the annual Muslim fasting month. Jammu and Kashmir are
Muslim-majority regions, and it was hoped that the ceasefire gesture
would bring an end to the violence between Hindus and Muslims in
Kashmir. From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, such an
outcome was 100% impossible.
Home Minister Rajnath Singh said:
<QUOTE>"While the security forces have displayed exemplary
restraint during this period, the terrorists have continued with
their attacks, on civilians and SFs (security forces), resulting
in deaths and injuries.
The security forces are being directed to take all necessary
actions as earlier to prevent terrorists from launching attacks
and indulging in violence."<END QUOTE>
The decision not to extend the ceasefire was made on Friday, during a
high-level government meeting in New Delhi. The debate was won by the
side opposing an extension because anti-government violence continued
as usual during the month-long ceasefire, especially the assassination
of veteran journalist Shujaat Bukhari and his two security guards on
June 14. Bukhari was well-known as editor of the newspaper Rising
Kashmir. The Hindu and AFP and Deccan Herald (India) and BBC
****
**** Controversial one-sided UN report on Kashmir condemns India
****
A report by the United Nations Office of the High Commissioner for
Human Rights (ONCHR) condemns India's actions in Jammu and Kashmir
as human rights violations.
The UN report describes the same sequence of events that I've been
reporting on for two years. On July 8 2016,
Burhan Wani, 22, the leader of anti-Indian separatist organization
Hizbul Mujahideen, was killed in a gunfight with the Indian Army.
This triggered massive anti-Indian protests and clashes with Indian
police that killed 36 and left thousands injured.
These clashes continued into the fall, and then resumed again in the
Spring of 2017. In all the clashes, Indian police responded with
rubber bullets, leaving thousands of protesters wounded or killed or
blinded by pellets.
The UN report described these incidents, but is rejected by
India amid claims that the report is one-sided, and does not
document the activities of Pakistan-supported terrorist
groups in Kashmir.
However, the report is not completely silent on these terrorist
groups. According to the UN report:
<QUOTE>Since the late 1980s, a variety of armed groups has
been actively operating in the Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir,
and there has been documented evidence of these groups committing
a wide range of human rights abuses, including kidnappings,
killings of civilians and sexual violence. The landscape of armed
intervention by groups operating in Indian-Administered Kashmir
has shifted over the years. In the 1990s, around a dozen
significant armed groups were operating in the region; currently,
less than half that number remain active. The main groups today
include Lashkar-e-Tayyiba, Jaish-e-Mohammed, Hizbul Mujahideen and
Harakat Ul-Mujahidin; they are believed to be based in
Pakistan-Administered Kashmir. Hizbul Mujahideen is also part of
the United Jihad Council, which began as a coalition of 14 armed
groups in 1994, claiming to be fighting Indian rule in Kashmir,
that was allegedly formed by Pakistan’s defence
establishment. Despite the Government of Pakistan’s assertions of
denial of any support to these groups, experts believe that
Pakistan’s military continues to support their operations across
the Line of Control in Indian-Administered Kashmir. Three of
these armed groups (Lashkar-e-Tayyiba, Jaish-e-Mohammed and
Harakat Ul-Mujahidin) are listed on the Security Council “ISIL
(Da’esh) & Al-Qaida Sanctions List” for their activities in
Indian-Administered Kashmir among other places."<END QUOTE>
It's true that the accusations of Pakistan-supported terrorism
in Kashmir are far more tentative than the accusations of
human rights violations by Indian security forces. But nobody
escapes condemnation in this report.
As I described in the past,
India's last two generational crisis wars were India's 1857 Rebellion,
and the 1947 Partition war that followed the partitioning of the
Indian subcontinent into India and Pakistan. From the point of view
of Generational Dynamics, India, Pakistan and Kashmir are now in a new
generational Crisis era, and headed for another war, re-fighting the
1947 Partition war. No Ramadan ceasefire has any chance of preventing
this. UN OHCHR - Kashmir report and New Indian Express and Dawn (Pakistan) and Human Rights Watch
Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, India, Pakistan, Kashmir,
1857 Rebellion, 1947 Partition War, Ramadan,
Rajnath Singh, Shujaat Bukhari.
Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights, ONCHR,
Birhan Wani, Hizbul Mujahideen
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- India cancels ceasefire in Kashmir after one month
- Controversial one-sided UN report on Kashmir condemns India
****
**** India cancels ceasefire in Kashmir after one month
****
Indian army in Kashmir (PTI)
India announced on Sunday that it would not renew a month-old
unilateral ceasefire in the Indian-controlled portions of Jammu and
Kashmir. Instead, it will resume military operations against rebels
whom it considers to be terrorists or suspected terrorists.
India had halted military operations on May 16, which was the start of
the Ramadan, the annual Muslim fasting month. Jammu and Kashmir are
Muslim-majority regions, and it was hoped that the ceasefire gesture
would bring an end to the violence between Hindus and Muslims in
Kashmir. From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, such an
outcome was 100% impossible.
Home Minister Rajnath Singh said:
<QUOTE>"While the security forces have displayed exemplary
restraint during this period, the terrorists have continued with
their attacks, on civilians and SFs (security forces), resulting
in deaths and injuries.
The security forces are being directed to take all necessary
actions as earlier to prevent terrorists from launching attacks
and indulging in violence."<END QUOTE>
The decision not to extend the ceasefire was made on Friday, during a
high-level government meeting in New Delhi. The debate was won by the
side opposing an extension because anti-government violence continued
as usual during the month-long ceasefire, especially the assassination
of veteran journalist Shujaat Bukhari and his two security guards on
June 14. Bukhari was well-known as editor of the newspaper Rising
Kashmir. The Hindu and AFP and Deccan Herald (India) and BBC
****
**** Controversial one-sided UN report on Kashmir condemns India
****
A report by the United Nations Office of the High Commissioner for
Human Rights (ONCHR) condemns India's actions in Jammu and Kashmir
as human rights violations.
The UN report describes the same sequence of events that I've been
reporting on for two years. On July 8 2016,
Burhan Wani, 22, the leader of anti-Indian separatist organization
Hizbul Mujahideen, was killed in a gunfight with the Indian Army.
This triggered massive anti-Indian protests and clashes with Indian
police that killed 36 and left thousands injured.
These clashes continued into the fall, and then resumed again in the
Spring of 2017. In all the clashes, Indian police responded with
rubber bullets, leaving thousands of protesters wounded or killed or
blinded by pellets.
The UN report described these incidents, but is rejected by
India amid claims that the report is one-sided, and does not
document the activities of Pakistan-supported terrorist
groups in Kashmir.
However, the report is not completely silent on these terrorist
groups. According to the UN report:
<QUOTE>Since the late 1980s, a variety of armed groups has
been actively operating in the Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir,
and there has been documented evidence of these groups committing
a wide range of human rights abuses, including kidnappings,
killings of civilians and sexual violence. The landscape of armed
intervention by groups operating in Indian-Administered Kashmir
has shifted over the years. In the 1990s, around a dozen
significant armed groups were operating in the region; currently,
less than half that number remain active. The main groups today
include Lashkar-e-Tayyiba, Jaish-e-Mohammed, Hizbul Mujahideen and
Harakat Ul-Mujahidin; they are believed to be based in
Pakistan-Administered Kashmir. Hizbul Mujahideen is also part of
the United Jihad Council, which began as a coalition of 14 armed
groups in 1994, claiming to be fighting Indian rule in Kashmir,
that was allegedly formed by Pakistan’s defence
establishment. Despite the Government of Pakistan’s assertions of
denial of any support to these groups, experts believe that
Pakistan’s military continues to support their operations across
the Line of Control in Indian-Administered Kashmir. Three of
these armed groups (Lashkar-e-Tayyiba, Jaish-e-Mohammed and
Harakat Ul-Mujahidin) are listed on the Security Council “ISIL
(Da’esh) & Al-Qaida Sanctions List” for their activities in
Indian-Administered Kashmir among other places."<END QUOTE>
It's true that the accusations of Pakistan-supported terrorism
in Kashmir are far more tentative than the accusations of
human rights violations by Indian security forces. But nobody
escapes condemnation in this report.
As I described in the past,
India's last two generational crisis wars were India's 1857 Rebellion,
and the 1947 Partition war that followed the partitioning of the
Indian subcontinent into India and Pakistan. From the point of view
of Generational Dynamics, India, Pakistan and Kashmir are now in a new
generational Crisis era, and headed for another war, re-fighting the
1947 Partition war. No Ramadan ceasefire has any chance of preventing
this. UN OHCHR - Kashmir report and New Indian Express and Dawn (Pakistan) and Human Rights Watch
Related Articles
- Massive new anti-India violence in Kashmir leads to 20 deaths (02-Apr-2018)
- Portions of Indian-governed Kashmir shut down after deadly clashes (09-Mar-2018)
- India's 'Operation All-Out' brings Kashmir closer to all-out war (24-Jun-2017)
- 26-Nov-17 Pakistan releases Hafiz Saeed, mastermind of the horrific 2008 26/11 Mumbai massacre (26-Nov-2017)
- Police clashes in India-governed Kashmir kill 36 and leave thousands injured (14-Jul-2016)
- After Mumbai's '26/11' nightmare finally ends, India - Pakistan relations face crisis (30-Nov-2008)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, India, Pakistan, Kashmir,
1857 Rebellion, 1947 Partition War, Ramadan,
Rajnath Singh, Shujaat Bukhari.
Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights, ONCHR,
Birhan Wani, Hizbul Mujahideen
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
