Donald Trump: polls of approval and favorability

[pbrower2a]

Winning the West has polled 500 likely voters each recently in AZ, CO, MT, NM and NV and generic congressional ballot results for each state are buried in the releases + several other important issues such as Trump approval and how things are moving in the right/wrong direction in each state and the US:

Generic congressional ballot

Quote:9. If the elections for congress were held today, would you vote for the [ROTATE] Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate or a third-party candidate? [IF NO ANSWER GIVEN ASK:] and which one do you lean toward at this time?

AZ: D+1
CO: D+12
MT: R+1
NM: D+21
NV: D+5

Trump approval:

AZ: 43-52 (... Trump+2 sample, "how did you vote in 2016")
CO: 34-60 (Hillary+12 sample)
MT: 45-46 (Trump+11 sample)
NM: 34-61 (Hillary+15 sample)
NV: 42-53 (Hillary+3 sample)

Are things moving in the right/wrong direction in [state] and [the US]:

AZ: 41-49, 42-55
CO: 46-43, 32-63
MT: 46-38, 38-54
NM: 23-65, 30-66
NV: 46-42, 42-55

State topline results

Overall presentation

Issues heavily mentioned involve land use, conservation, and energy safety. Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke is unpopular even in Montana. Extreme positions are unwelcome, and solar power is popular.

Montana is in play? Wow!

Definitely not in the West, and ho-hum. New York state, Quinnipiac.

36-57 approve/disapprove.

https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/relea...aseID=2556









55% or higher dark blue
50-54% medium blue
less than 50% but above disapproval pale blue
even white
46% to 50% but below disapproval pale red
42% to 45% medium red
under 42% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 39
DC 17
DE 39
HI 33
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 45
NE-02 38
NE-03 55
NH 39
RI 30
VT 32

Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

100-Disapproval




55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but positive pale blue

ties white

45% or higher and negative pale red
40% to 44% medium red
under 40% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36


Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

*With the explicit question of whether the President should or should not be re-elected, or 100-DIS if such is all that is available:


Re-elect/do not re-elect if known; 100-DIS otherwise




100-DIS

55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but positive pale blue

ties white

45% or higher and negative pale red (or 55% do-not-reelect or higher)
40% to 44% medium red (or 50 to 54% do-not-reelect or higher)
under 40% deep red (or 50% or less do-not-reelect if do-not re-elect if do-not-reelect is higher than reelect)
Ties for elect and re-elect are also in white.

States and districts hard to see:

CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
FL 37-54
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36


Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.


Nothing from before November 2017. Polls from Alabama and New Jersey are exit polls from 2017 elections.