Donald Trump: polls of approval and favorability

[pbrower2a]

Three nationwide polls in reverse chronological order. Bear with me on that. Results are similar, but foci are dissimilar and relevant in their own rights  
 
Here's a Democratic pollster who usuaiiy gets R-leaning results for Republicans, if slightly so.

PPP for "LawWorks", and organization of which I have never heard. It sounds like a parody in a way of FreedomWorks, a right-wing organization.

OK, freedom is a travesty without the rule of law and without widespread acceptance of law and order as a virtue.

Automated telephone interviews, and 527 registered voters nationwide.  August 27-28, 2018.


The newest:[/url]

Quote:[url=http://lawworksaction.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/Law-Works-PPP-August-Results.pdf]PPP, August 27-28, 572 registered voters (change from last month)

Approve 41 (-2)
Disapprove 56 (+4)

The approval numbers among Democrats and Republicans are almost mirror images, but Trump is losing Independents badly, which is driving the topline numbers:

D: 15/84
R: 85/15 81/15
I: 36/62

And an unusual reverse gender gap in this one:

Women: 43/55
Men: 39/58

Another interesting question:

"Do you believe that a President who breaks the law or obstructs an investigation should be indicted while in office, or not?"

Overall: Yes 68 / No 21
D: 88/6
R: 39/36
I: 71/24

A majority of Independents and a plurality of Republicans believe that President Trump should not pardon Manafort.

I think that the perception that President Trump may be legally compromised is sinking in after the Cohen plea-bargain and the Manafort conviction.
A couple other national polls:

Quote:Investors' Business Daily. The title suggests a right-leaning constituency

IBD/TIPP, Aug 23-30, 902 adults (change from last month)


Approve 36 (-5)
Disapprove 56 (+3)


Devastating, as this is a media outlet for people surely leaning to the Right. This is corroboration.

At this point, should nothing really change between  now and November 2020, President Trump should end up with less than 45% of the popular vote. No presidential nominee has lost by such a margin in a binary election since Mondale lost to Reagan. (I am not counting the two elections involving Bill Clinton, as those involved a strong independent nominee).


IBD/TIPP Approval by region-

Rural: 45% (-15)
Suburban: 35% (-7)


https://www.investors.com/politics/trump...tipp-poll/

...Take a look at the voting map by counties in the last three Presidential elections, and you will notice huge swaths of counties with deep red (Republican) coloration.  The exceptions are places with large African-American, Hispanic, or First Peoples populations and such an oddity as New England. Republicans win the farm-and-ranch vote. At this level of approval, they will nearly break even in rural America. Republicans need 60% of the rural vote to offset majorities of 55% or so for Democrats in urban areas even in such states as South Dakota and Alabama.

Farmers and ranchers are usually easy wins for Republicans because they are the easiest people  for federal, state, and local taxing authorities to treat them as cash cows. But cut their commodity prices, and no tax cut can offset such a loss. The trade war can cut their revenue, and tariffs will make farming costs rise.

Don't ridicule farmers and ranchers as hicks living in the past. They are connected to the rest of the world, and that includes the consumer economy. They are often well educated.

...on Suburbia -- suburban America is becoming legitimately urban. Suburbia used to have some rural character with single-family houses with real lawns and with crowded highways leading only to and from the jobs in the city centers. Infrastructure costs were low when the roads, sewers, and schools were new. That is over. As apartment blocks replace bungalows from the post-WWII suburban boom, once-lightly-traveled suburban streets must be expanded at considerable cost. Seventy-year-old school buildings once the pride of Suburbia are often rotting edifices in need of replacement. Sewers and water lines have approached the end of their useful lives. Suburbia once had low maintenance costs and low taxes. That is over. The older suburbs are legitimately urban.    

....the conviction by a jury of Paul Manafort, the plea bargain by Michael Cohen, and the petty treatment of the late Senator John McCain may be kicking in. The trade wars may be hurtful to America, but that has yet to set in. Such things are not forgotten.  

   

With a slight modification I posted this elsewhere. That site still uses red for Democrats and blue for Republicans.
The oldest of the three polls -- Washington Post/ABC News
Trump at 36-60 approval in new Washington Post/ABC News poll

Quote:Overall, 60 percent of Americans disapprove of Trump’s job performance, with 36 percent approving, according to the poll. This is only a slight shift from the last Post-ABC survey, in April, which measured Trump’s rating at 56 percent disapproval and 40 percent approval.

(deleted for repetitiveness)