Generational Dynamics World View

[John J. Xenakis]

*** 26-Jun-16 World View -- Britain's Millennials are furious at Boomers for Brexit vote

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com

• In new escalation, China cuts communications hotline with Taiwan
  
• Taiwan's politicians respond to the Brexit referendum result
  
• Britain's Millennials are furious at Boomers for Brexit vote
  

****
**** In new escalation, China cuts communications hotline with Taiwan
****


Taiwan's new president Tsai Ing-wen

China is following up on last month's ominous demands that Taiwan's
new president Tsai Ing-wen must explicitly affirm that Taiwan is part
of China. The threatening demands were made just four days after Tsai
took office. ( "26-May-16 World View -- China demands new Taiwan leader explicitly affirm that Taiwan is part of China"
)

On Saturday, China announced that it was cutting a communication
hotline with Taiwan that was set up last year in the waning days of
the previous Ma Ying-jeou administration.

Ma is leader of the pro-China Kuomintang (KMT) party, which supports
the "1992 Consensus" that there is "one China," leaving it ambiguous
what that means. KMT favors the "one China" principle and unification
with mainland China, and which has fully supported all of China's
claims in the South China Sea.

Ma and China's president Xi Jinping held a highly publicized
landmark meeting in Singapore on November 7 of last year. The
purpose of the meeting was for Xi to support Ma Ying-jeou's bid for
reelection in the upcoming January elections. The support
didn't help, as Ma's opponent Tsai Ing-wen won overwhelmingly,
and took office in May.

One outcome of the November 7 meeting was to set up a high-level
hotline between Taipei and Beijing to handle emergencies. The hotline
was used for the first time on December 30, when officials for both
countries exchanged New Year's greetings.

The new president, Tsai, is the leader of Taiwan's Democratic
Progressive Party (DPP), which in the past has favored Taiwan
independence from China. When the DPP was in power prior to 2008,
relations between China and Taiwan were so bad that in 2005 Beijing
passed an "anti-secession law" saying that China would take military
action against Taiwan if there were any moves or speeches in the
direction of Taiwan independence from China.

In her inauguration speech last month, Tsai said that she "respected"
the "common understanding" between Taiwan and China, but did not say
what the common understanding was. This infuriated the Chinese.
According to Beijing state media, Tsai made "a painful effort not to
answer one important question..., whether or not to acknowledge the
1992 Consensus embodying the one China principle."

So on Saturday, China shut down the hotline that had been set up for
emergencies as a result of last year's meeting between Xi and Ma.
According to a Chinese official:

[indent]<QUOTE>"Because the Taiwan side has been unable to confirm
the 1992 consensus that embodies the common political foundation
of the one-China principle, the mechanism for contact and
communication between the two sides has already been
suspended."<END QUOTE>[/indent]

This infuriated Taiwanese officials who said that they will not give
in to China's "blackmail and coercion."

China's action to shut down the hotline was probably triggered
by another incident. On Friday, 25 Taiwanese in Cambodia,
accused of telecommunications fraud, were extradited to China
rather than to Taiwan. China demanded that Cambodia send them
to China, since sending them to Taiwan would acknowledge Taiwan's
existence as an independent entity.

Taiwan responded on Friday by using the hotline to protest the
extraditions to China, and accused China of "abducting" Taiwanese
citizens saying, "It is inappropriate for China to impede cooperation
to fight crime for political factors." One day later, China shut down
the hotline. Shanghaiist and AFP and China Post (Taipei - 31-Dec-2015)

****
**** Taiwan's politicians respond to the Brexit referendum result
****

The success of Britain's Brexit referendum was a shock to the Chinese
as much as anyone, but it has special significance for China. If the
UK can hold a referendum and leave the European Union, then why can't
Taiwan and Hong Kong hold their own referendums and leave China?

Wu Ping-jui, an official in the administration of the new president
Tsai Ing-wen, said that when China shut down the communications
hotline in order to force the Taiwanese to accept its version
of the "1992 Consensus," it was tantamount to
"blackmail and coercion." He said that China's actions would
simply "toughen up Taiwanese determination."

Wu then referenced the Brexit referendum. If China demands that
Taiwan accept the 1992 consensus, "do they mean for us what to choose?
This is not done in any democratic country." He cited the Brexit
referendum, in which each and every British citizen was able to show
his or her will.

An official from the opposition KMT party, which favors Taiwan
integration with China, also congratulated Britain on the Brexit
referendum. However, he said that no similar referendum could be held
in Taiwan, because referendums could only be held on matters of
crucial national interest, and because "the requirements of our
Referendum Law need not be relaxed at this time, despite attempts by
pro-independence legislators to do so." China Post (Taipei) and China Post

****
**** Britain's Millennials are furious at Boomers for Brexit vote
****


Protester in fake blood outside Westminster on Friday carries sign, 'Brexit what a bloody joke.' Other signs read, 'I am not British - I am European' (Daily Mail)

Millennials in Britain are expressing fury that their futures have
been ruined by the passage of the Brexit vote by the Boomer
generation, meaning that Britain will no longer be part of the
European Union, and the Millennials will be denied the benefits that
their parents had.

According to YouGov exit polls, Millennials voted overwhelmingly for
the "Remain" side, meaning that the UK would remain in the EU, while
Boomers voted for the "Leave" side. The breakdown by age group was:

• 18-24: 75% Remain
  
• 25-49: 56% Remain
  
• 50-64: 44% Remain
  
• 65+: 39% Remain

Yorkshire Post columnist Grant Woodward wrote:

[indent]<QUOTE>"Brexit will come to be seen as the Baby Boomers’
ultimate betrayal of younger generations and those that will
follow. A knee-jerk response to a series of red herrings, a
protest vote with the potential for long-term catastrophe that
they won’t be around to endure."<END QUOTE>[/indent]

Typical tweets were as follows:

[indent]<QUOTE>"So all the old people gave us a future we didn't
want. You've all had your careers, why screw it up for us"

"I'm scared. Jokes aside I'm actually scared. Today an older
generation has voted to ruin the future for the younger
generation. I'm scared."

"I'm actually really upset how selfish the older generations have
been"

"The fact that the older generation have whole heartedly made a
decision that the youth of today DO NOT WANT seems strange, yes
I'm bitter"<END QUOTE>[/indent]

Among the American politicians, Donald Trump is on the "Leave" side,
while Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are on the "Remain" side.
Daily Mail (London) and Telegraph (London)


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, Taiwan, Tsai Ing-wen,
DPP, Democratic Progressive Party, Xi Jinping, Ma Ying-jeou,
KMT, Kuomintang, 1992 Consensus, One-China Policy, Wu Ping-jui,
Brexit, European Union, Millennials, Boomers, YouGov,
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland,
Grant Woodward, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton

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John J. Xenakis
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