Who Can Beat Trump?

[Bob Butler 54]

(09-18-2018, 03:15 PM)David Horn Wrote:

(09-17-2018, 11:34 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: The scores in my horoscope aspect system are based on which presidential candidates have appealed to Americans up until now. Very idealistic types have not fared very well, and therefore some of the aspects which those types tend to have in their chart have neutral or negative scoring. What if some candidates like Beto can actually shift the preferences of Americans, and this is a long-term sea change? Then the scoring for those aspects might shift too. That would take generations, and meanwhile the scores might often be wrong.

I wouldn't bet on this happening, even if Beto wins over Cruz. If he runs for president, I would expect him to lose. But, I could be wrong!

http://philosopherswheel.com/presidentialelections.html

Actually, the shift should be a result of the 4T.  Then, and only then, can tradition be cast aside because tradition is the problem.  We don't have a wide path to a successful 4T, because the forces arrayed against it are still very strong, but that doesn't mean it can't happen.  FDR lead the country after decades of GOP business conservatives and rightwing Democrats like Woodrow Wilson ran the country for the plutocrats, yet he succeeded anyway.

In the above paragraph, I might use regeneracy instead of 4T.  I might use culture instead of tradition.  I would say the 100 Days and Pearl Harbor were the two key triggers of that double 4T.  FDR in many respects acted after the regeneracies, though he did much to get the country ready before Pearl Harbor.

In modern times it might be possible to shift the middle of the country enough away from the unraveling memes towards the blue.  It might be possible to form a progressive juggernaut.  There might come something to throw tradition aside, some form of catalyst or trigger.  Trump is just the guy to do it, or the middle of the country could reject Trump while still holding firm to the unraveling memes.  I am nervous that this might happen, that they blame Trump on Trump and try to elect someone like enough to Palin or Trump to draw their attention, but sane.  They might recognize their Establishment as pawns of the rich, and Trump as incompetent, yet still chase the dream of making the old values work.

But at any rate, it will happen eventually.  The problems are real enough and must eventually be solved.  I'm not sure it will happen any time soon.