11-08-2018, 02:28 AM
(This post was last modified: 11-08-2018, 02:30 AM by Eric the Green.)
I already posted my video about most of the 2020 potential candidates, right above your video post. No, as much as I admire and root for Beto, his chart does not measure up on my system. The system would have to be way off, and Beto a major anomaly, if he were ever to be elected president. It's surprising, I know, but he's close to the bottom of the list among Democrats. Only Kamala Harris scores lower among those currently on the radar. I hate to even say how many negative points Beto has on my system.
But Beto did great work opening up Texas to more Democratic voters, and helping to flip two federal house seats by comfortable margins. According to the Texas Tribune:
Democrats picked up 12 seats in the Texas House, moving the lopsided 95-55 split to 83-67. State Rep. Matt Rinaldi, R-Irving, an important member of the Texas House Freedom Caucus, lost his re-election bid to Democrat Julie Johnson as a group of Dallas-area Democrats bested their GOP opponents. Moderates Tony Dale and Paul Workman were unseated as well. Those changes shift calculations for House lawmakers who will elect a new speaker in January. Democrats had been hoping that pickups in the midterm elections would boost their bargaining power — and they seem to have gotten their wish.
In the Texas Senate, incumbents Don Huffines and Konni Burton were unseated by Democratic challengers. But the GOP still holds 19 seats in the upper chamber — enough to bring legislation to the floor without any support from Democrats, and more than enough to pass it.
https://www.texastribune.org/2018/11/07/...n-results/
Texas still has a long way to go. I guess if Missouri (and I think Ohio) can pass a law to not allow its politicians to choose their voters rather than the other way around, maybe Texas can do that too. I'm just not sure how, though. Texas Republicans like Cruz are fanatical and ruthless.
And Beto's poor score only applies to a presidential run; candidates for other offices are not greatly affected by my system's scoring. Our governor Jerry Brown does well in California, but he failed three times as a presidential candidate, as indicated by his poor 5-10 score. So there's no reason Beto can't come back and run again for statewide office and win, and become a major national figure. But if he runs for president of the USA, he will lose unless he's a huge anomaly.
But Beto did great work opening up Texas to more Democratic voters, and helping to flip two federal house seats by comfortable margins. According to the Texas Tribune:
Democrats picked up 12 seats in the Texas House, moving the lopsided 95-55 split to 83-67. State Rep. Matt Rinaldi, R-Irving, an important member of the Texas House Freedom Caucus, lost his re-election bid to Democrat Julie Johnson as a group of Dallas-area Democrats bested their GOP opponents. Moderates Tony Dale and Paul Workman were unseated as well. Those changes shift calculations for House lawmakers who will elect a new speaker in January. Democrats had been hoping that pickups in the midterm elections would boost their bargaining power — and they seem to have gotten their wish.
In the Texas Senate, incumbents Don Huffines and Konni Burton were unseated by Democratic challengers. But the GOP still holds 19 seats in the upper chamber — enough to bring legislation to the floor without any support from Democrats, and more than enough to pass it.
https://www.texastribune.org/2018/11/07/...n-results/
Texas still has a long way to go. I guess if Missouri (and I think Ohio) can pass a law to not allow its politicians to choose their voters rather than the other way around, maybe Texas can do that too. I'm just not sure how, though. Texas Republicans like Cruz are fanatical and ruthless.
And Beto's poor score only applies to a presidential run; candidates for other offices are not greatly affected by my system's scoring. Our governor Jerry Brown does well in California, but he failed three times as a presidential candidate, as indicated by his poor 5-10 score. So there's no reason Beto can't come back and run again for statewide office and win, and become a major national figure. But if he runs for president of the USA, he will lose unless he's a huge anomaly.