Election 2018

[Eric the Green]

It took me a while using the real clear politics site, and WaPo is no longer available to me, but I found out where the House Democratic and Republican pick-ups were so far.

Blue states, 18 pick-ups and 4 leading, minus 2 GOP pick-ups
Purple states, 12 pick-ups, minus 1 GOP pick-up
Red states, 6 pick-ups and 1 leading (Mia Love in Utah is trailing by .6, but Trump has already denounced her saying she had no love for him)

36 pick-ups, minus 3 GOP pick-ups = 33, plus Democrats leading now for 4 pickups = 37. Democrats should have 232 seats, Republicans 203 unless leads change hands. Brower pointed out that Maine's runoff, in a district in which a Republican is leading, might turn the seat Democratic, so that would be 233-202, and a pick-up of 38.

I designated Purple states as AZ CO MI PA, as well as the usual

Blue states MN, NM, VA, as well as the usual


Blue state Dem pick ups:
CA 4 + 1 leading
IL 2
MN 2 minus 2 GOP pick ups
NJ 3 + 1 leading
NM 1
NY 2 + 1 leading
VA 3
WA 1

Purple state Dem pick ups:
AZ 1
CO 1
FL 2
IA 2
MI 2
PA 4 minus 1 GOP pick up

Red state Dem pick ups:
GA 1
KS 1
OK 1
SC 1
TX 2
UT 1 leading