02-19-2019, 12:04 AM
(02-18-2019, 11:18 PM)Classic-Xer Wrote:(02-18-2019, 05:47 PM)David Horn Wrote:It wouldn't take a war to have the same impact today.(02-18-2019, 01:38 PM)Hintergrund Wrote: Theoretically, America could have made the huge war Strauss & Howe thought possible for the Crisis since 9/11. But it didn't happen. I suspect the remaining Silents are doing what they're doing best: Postponing the inevitable.
Let's hope that a major war is not on the horizon. We've had several large wars since WW-II, but a war on that scale today could end civilization, not just a few governments. Let's hope for at least that much sanity.
War is not over in the Syria/Iraq/Kurdistan region, and the Islamic State and Al Qaeda are still there, with Turkey and Russia likely to intervene, plus the Iran-Israel mess; all exploding again in Dec.2020, and finally the USA fully involved by 2025. Terrorist attacks are likely. Plus the danger of a right-wing rebellion here in the USA. All told, the climax of this 4T will be scary. I think the appetite for war is going down in the USA, at least, so I hope this war won't be on the scale of WWII or Vietnam, but I would not bet on there not being a war on the scale of other recent wars. We have never gotten out of a 4T without a large war, and our behavior as humans has not made such a real possibility yet.
What is particularly striking about today is how stubbornly people cling to false ideas and ideologies in spite of any evidence. That applies to most older Americans I meet, in person and on-line, and it's even more true in screwed-up places like the Middle East. We do not listen, and we do not learn. Are we still even homo sapiens? How can we have peace under such human conditions?