06-27-2019, 05:14 PM
(This post was last modified: 06-27-2019, 05:19 PM by Eric the Green.)
Ohio is seen as leaning strongly Republican by recent pundits. But this is based on how Ohio voted in 2018 congressional elections. But Ohio is strongly gerrymandered, and in the next election, it may be less gerrymandered. And the election results in statewide voting for congress there were close, and trending less Republican. Plus, Sherrod Brown was re-elected to the senate.
Partisan Gerrymandering Boosted Ohio Republicans During 2018 Election
By JULIE CARR SMYTH • MAR 21, 2019
https://radio.wosu.org/post/partisan-ger...n#stream/0
A political mapmaking process controlled by Ohio Republicans proved nearly impenetrable to Democrats' efforts during the 2018 elections, an Associated Press analysis has found, delivering results that allowed the GOP to retain sizable majorities even in the face of an upswing in Democratic votes.
The analysis found that Ohio Republicans won at least three more U.S. House seats and seven more state House seats than would have been expected based on the average share of the votes that Republicans received. Both gaps grew compared with 2016, when the same analysis showed Republicans winning nearly two more U.S. House seats and five more Ohio House seats than expected based on their share of the votes.
The AP used a mathematical formula for calculating partisan advantages that is designed to flag potential cases of political gerrymandering, a practice where the party in power alters voting districts to its advantage in federal and state legislative races. The 2018 analysis again placed Ohio's "efficiency gap" near the top for both state and federal legislative races.
The 2018 analysis found Republicans won 52 percent of the votes in Ohio House races yet 62 percent of the seats. Republican candidates for Ohio's U.S. House seats won 52 percent of the votes but 75 percent of the state's 16 congressional seats. Republican support was down nearly 4 percentage points from 2016 for state House races and almost 6 percentage points in U.S. House races, the analysis showed.
The finding comes as a federal court panel weighs its decision in a lawsuit by Democrats alleging that unconstitutional partisan gerrymandering has disadvantaged Democratic voters in Ohio congressional districts. After arguments earlier this month, the panel has not yet ruled. Ohio's current map was enacted in 2011 by a Republican governor and Republican-led Legislature.
Since then, Ohioans have voted to change the redistricting process and make it less partisan.
Voters overwhelmingly approved new rules for drawing state legislative districts in 2015 and changed the method for drawing congressional districts during last May's primary. The redistricting reforms have had bipartisan support.
(unquote, article)
Latest polls show Biden up by 4 points and Sanders by 1 point in Ohio
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls.../Ohio.html
Partisan Gerrymandering Boosted Ohio Republicans During 2018 Election
By JULIE CARR SMYTH • MAR 21, 2019
https://radio.wosu.org/post/partisan-ger...n#stream/0
A political mapmaking process controlled by Ohio Republicans proved nearly impenetrable to Democrats' efforts during the 2018 elections, an Associated Press analysis has found, delivering results that allowed the GOP to retain sizable majorities even in the face of an upswing in Democratic votes.
The analysis found that Ohio Republicans won at least three more U.S. House seats and seven more state House seats than would have been expected based on the average share of the votes that Republicans received. Both gaps grew compared with 2016, when the same analysis showed Republicans winning nearly two more U.S. House seats and five more Ohio House seats than expected based on their share of the votes.
The AP used a mathematical formula for calculating partisan advantages that is designed to flag potential cases of political gerrymandering, a practice where the party in power alters voting districts to its advantage in federal and state legislative races. The 2018 analysis again placed Ohio's "efficiency gap" near the top for both state and federal legislative races.
The 2018 analysis found Republicans won 52 percent of the votes in Ohio House races yet 62 percent of the seats. Republican candidates for Ohio's U.S. House seats won 52 percent of the votes but 75 percent of the state's 16 congressional seats. Republican support was down nearly 4 percentage points from 2016 for state House races and almost 6 percentage points in U.S. House races, the analysis showed.
The finding comes as a federal court panel weighs its decision in a lawsuit by Democrats alleging that unconstitutional partisan gerrymandering has disadvantaged Democratic voters in Ohio congressional districts. After arguments earlier this month, the panel has not yet ruled. Ohio's current map was enacted in 2011 by a Republican governor and Republican-led Legislature.
Since then, Ohioans have voted to change the redistricting process and make it less partisan.
Voters overwhelmingly approved new rules for drawing state legislative districts in 2015 and changed the method for drawing congressional districts during last May's primary. The redistricting reforms have had bipartisan support.
(unquote, article)
Latest polls show Biden up by 4 points and Sanders by 1 point in Ohio
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls.../Ohio.html