09-14-2019, 10:29 PM
*** 15-Sep-19 World View -- Mideast tensions grow over Saudi drone attack and missile attacks on Idlib, Syria
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Saudi oil processing facilities targeted by large drone attack
****
![[Image: g190914b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g190914b.jpg)
Saudi oil process facility after drone attack (WSJ)
Events in Saudi Arabia and Syria are increasing the probability that a
larger war could be triggered.
Reports are that over a dozen explosive drones attacked two oil
processing facilities in Saudi Arabia. This is the world's largest
oil processing facility. About half of Saudi's oil production will be
affected. The closure will reportedly impact nearly five million
barrels of crude production a day, roughly 5% of the world's daily oil
production. Saudi Arabia also supplies half of China's imported oil.
Saudi officials are saying that the damage can be repaired by Monday.
Whether the Saudis are successful at this will affect the oil and
stock markets on Monday.
The Houthis, the Iran-backed ethnic group in Yemen fighting against
the Yemen government backed by Saudi Arabia, claimed credit for drone
attacks.
However, there was a delay of several hours before the Houthis claimed
credit, and some analysts are saying that this makes it unlikely that
the Houthis were responsible.
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo expressed doubt that the Houthis
were responsible, and laid the blame on Iran in a tweet:
<QUOTE>"Tehran is behind nearly 100 attacks on Saudi Arabia
while Rouhani and Zarif pretend to engage in diplomacy. Amid all
the calls for de-escalation, Iran has now launched an
unprecedented attack on the world’s energy supply. There is no
evidence the attacks came from Yemen. ...
We call on all nations to publicly and unequivocally condemn
Iran’s attacks. The United States will work with our partners and
allies to ensure that energy markets remain well supplied and Iran
is held accountable for its aggression 3:59 PM · Sep 14,
2019·T"<END QUOTE>
It's possible that the drones were launched from Yemen, Iran or Iraq.
Whether the Houthis are directly responsible or not, most analysts
believe that Iran is behind the attack, especially after several
recent Iranian attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.
The concerns are that the drone attacks will trigger increased
violence, including the following possibilities:
****
**** Syria regime increases bombing of hospitals in Idlib
****
As we reported two weeks ago, civilians in Idlib province in Syria,
where airstrikes by Syria and Russia have been increasing dramatically
in recent weeks, are attacking border posts on Turkey's border in
order to enter Turkey as refugees. Turkey, which already hosts almost
four million Syrian refugees, has firmly closed the border to refugees
from Idlib.
Reports indicate that Syrian and Russian airstrikes are specially
targeting hospitals and schools, committing war crimes. Ironically,
the Syrians and Russians know the coordinates of these hospitals and
schools because the coordinates are being supplied by the United
Nations so that the Syrians and Russians will AVOID targeting
hospitals and schools. So they're using the coordinates in the
opposite of the way intended. Syria's Bashar al-Assad and Russia's
Vladimir Putin are two of the sleaziest leaders in the world today.
Idlib has about 3 million people, including about 70,000 anti-Assad
rebels, some of whom are linked to al-Qaeda. Bashar al-Assad
continues all 3 million of them to be "terrorists," to be exterminated
like cockroaches. He's said as much several times, and there's no
reason to disbelieve him.
More and more, the civilians in Idlib are turning against Turkey, whom
they see as "traitors" and "collaborators" with the genocide being
performed by Russia and al-Assad.
The worst protests on Turkey's borders are occurring in regions
controlled by al-Qaeda linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS, Jabhat
al-Nusra, al-Nusra Front), with the purpose of forcing Turkey to open
its borders to Idlib refugees.
For the past year, the world has been watching and waiting for Bashar
al-Assad to open up a full assault on Idlib as he has previously in
other regions like Aleppo, Ghouta and Daraa, where he used barrel
bombs on hospitals, schools, marketplaces and residential
neighborhoods, along with chlorine gas and Sarin gas. Apparently he's
been holding back from a full assault, possibly because of
international pressure, but there's an increasing feeling that he's
losing patience, and is anxious to get on with the genocide.
The Generational Dynamics prediction is that the Mideast is headed for
a major regional war, pitting Jews vs Arabs, Sunnis vs Shias, and
various ethnic groups against each other. The exact scenario can't be
predicted, but either the drone attack or the Idlib genocide could be
the spark that starts the war.
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: Iran's Struggle for Supremacy
-- Tehran's Obsession to Redraw the Map of the Middle East"
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 1) Paperback: 153 pages, over
100 source references, $7.00, https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Suprem...732738610/
Sources:
Related Articles:
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Saudi Arabia, Iran,
Yemen, Houthis, Mike Pompeo,
Syria, Idlib, Bashar al-Assad, Russia, Vladimir Putin,
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, HTS, Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Nusra Front,
Turkey
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Saudi oil processing facilities targeted by large drone attack
- Syria regime increases bombing of hospitals in Idlib
****
**** Saudi oil processing facilities targeted by large drone attack
****
Saudi oil process facility after drone attack (WSJ)
Events in Saudi Arabia and Syria are increasing the probability that a
larger war could be triggered.
Reports are that over a dozen explosive drones attacked two oil
processing facilities in Saudi Arabia. This is the world's largest
oil processing facility. About half of Saudi's oil production will be
affected. The closure will reportedly impact nearly five million
barrels of crude production a day, roughly 5% of the world's daily oil
production. Saudi Arabia also supplies half of China's imported oil.
Saudi officials are saying that the damage can be repaired by Monday.
Whether the Saudis are successful at this will affect the oil and
stock markets on Monday.
The Houthis, the Iran-backed ethnic group in Yemen fighting against
the Yemen government backed by Saudi Arabia, claimed credit for drone
attacks.
However, there was a delay of several hours before the Houthis claimed
credit, and some analysts are saying that this makes it unlikely that
the Houthis were responsible.
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo expressed doubt that the Houthis
were responsible, and laid the blame on Iran in a tweet:
<QUOTE>"Tehran is behind nearly 100 attacks on Saudi Arabia
while Rouhani and Zarif pretend to engage in diplomacy. Amid all
the calls for de-escalation, Iran has now launched an
unprecedented attack on the world’s energy supply. There is no
evidence the attacks came from Yemen. ...
We call on all nations to publicly and unequivocally condemn
Iran’s attacks. The United States will work with our partners and
allies to ensure that energy markets remain well supplied and Iran
is held accountable for its aggression 3:59 PM · Sep 14,
2019·T"<END QUOTE>
It's possible that the drones were launched from Yemen, Iran or Iraq.
Whether the Houthis are directly responsible or not, most analysts
believe that Iran is behind the attack, especially after several
recent Iranian attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.
The concerns are that the drone attacks will trigger increased
violence, including the following possibilities:
- Heavier Saudi bombing of Houthis in Yemen.
- Saudi bombing of Iranian targets in retaliation.
- US missiles targeting Iran's oil facilities in
retaliation.
****
**** Syria regime increases bombing of hospitals in Idlib
****
As we reported two weeks ago, civilians in Idlib province in Syria,
where airstrikes by Syria and Russia have been increasing dramatically
in recent weeks, are attacking border posts on Turkey's border in
order to enter Turkey as refugees. Turkey, which already hosts almost
four million Syrian refugees, has firmly closed the border to refugees
from Idlib.
Reports indicate that Syrian and Russian airstrikes are specially
targeting hospitals and schools, committing war crimes. Ironically,
the Syrians and Russians know the coordinates of these hospitals and
schools because the coordinates are being supplied by the United
Nations so that the Syrians and Russians will AVOID targeting
hospitals and schools. So they're using the coordinates in the
opposite of the way intended. Syria's Bashar al-Assad and Russia's
Vladimir Putin are two of the sleaziest leaders in the world today.
Idlib has about 3 million people, including about 70,000 anti-Assad
rebels, some of whom are linked to al-Qaeda. Bashar al-Assad
continues all 3 million of them to be "terrorists," to be exterminated
like cockroaches. He's said as much several times, and there's no
reason to disbelieve him.
More and more, the civilians in Idlib are turning against Turkey, whom
they see as "traitors" and "collaborators" with the genocide being
performed by Russia and al-Assad.
The worst protests on Turkey's borders are occurring in regions
controlled by al-Qaeda linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS, Jabhat
al-Nusra, al-Nusra Front), with the purpose of forcing Turkey to open
its borders to Idlib refugees.
For the past year, the world has been watching and waiting for Bashar
al-Assad to open up a full assault on Idlib as he has previously in
other regions like Aleppo, Ghouta and Daraa, where he used barrel
bombs on hospitals, schools, marketplaces and residential
neighborhoods, along with chlorine gas and Sarin gas. Apparently he's
been holding back from a full assault, possibly because of
international pressure, but there's an increasing feeling that he's
losing patience, and is anxious to get on with the genocide.
The Generational Dynamics prediction is that the Mideast is headed for
a major regional war, pitting Jews vs Arabs, Sunnis vs Shias, and
various ethnic groups against each other. The exact scenario can't be
predicted, but either the drone attack or the Idlib genocide could be
the spark that starts the war.
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: Iran's Struggle for Supremacy
-- Tehran's Obsession to Redraw the Map of the Middle East"
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 1) Paperback: 153 pages, over
100 source references, $7.00, https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Suprem...732738610/
Sources:
- Saudi Arabia reportedly shuts down half its oil production after drone attack (CNBC, 14-Sep-2019)
- [Iran at fault for drone attacks] (Twitter/@SecPompeo, 14-Sep-2019)
- The oil drone attack shows how Saudi Arabia and the UAE are fighting their own battles in Yemen (Independent, London, 14-Sep-2019)
- Syria / Can Turkey escape the fireball in Idlib? (Al-Monitor, 12-Sep-2019)
- The Fate of Syria’s Idlib to Top Turkey, Russia, Iran Talks (VOA, 13-Sep-2019)
- Syria rebels say Russia and Iran planning new Idlib offensive (New Arab, 12-Sep-2019)
- UN launches probe into raids on Syria hospitals, civilians (AP, 14-Sep-2019)
Related Articles:
- Russia declares farcical 'ceasefire' as Syrians try to storm Turkey border post (31-Aug-2019)
- Syria regime wins major victory in Idilb, after attacking Turkish military convoy (23-Aug-2019)
- Syria war may be fizzling, as al-Assad 'hits a wall' in Idlib (12-Jul-2019)
- Evidence grows of Assad's 'final solution', extermination of Arab Sunnis in Syria (01-Dec-2018)
- As October 25 deadline approaches, Syria's Idlib is set up for a classic Greek tragedy (05-Oct-2018)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Saudi Arabia, Iran,
Yemen, Houthis, Mike Pompeo,
Syria, Idlib, Bashar al-Assad, Russia, Vladimir Putin,
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, HTS, Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Nusra Front,
Turkey
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
