11-10-2019, 11:10 PM
(11-10-2019, 11:00 AM)David Horn Wrote:(11-09-2019, 08:18 PM)Anthony Wrote:(11-09-2019, 06:36 PM)David Horn Wrote:(11-09-2019, 05:29 PM)Anthony Wrote:(11-08-2019, 12:31 PM)Marypoza Wrote: --- I'm gonna stick my neck out & say Bernie's gonna take IA
I'll keep my cards close to the vest and say that Biden is gonna finish a distant third in New Hampshire, which is a neighboring state for both Comrade Bernie and Pocahontas.
Biden's toast. Bernie's toast as well. Regardless of the NH results, there needs to be another player, or this gets boring fast. I love Mayor Pete as the next, but better, Eisenhower. It's too early for that. Klobuchar and Harris are fighters, so maybe one of them in the center lane, and Warren in the left lane.
If Biden doesn't get it, I will be voting independent. What difference does it make if I vote for a candidate that finishes second (or maybe even third, if the Libertarians put up a sane candidate like John Kasich, whose union-busting credentials are right up their alley - see the results of the 1912 election) - or, say, eighth?
I always liked Uncle Joe, but this is not an election that can focus on a return to a safe past. That doesn't exist, and hasn't for quite a while. In fact, we've moved the political center post so far right, even modest liberalism looks extreme to some people. Not-Trump is going to be called socialism, but anything modest in scope needs to be forward looking too. Both Harris and Klobuchar fall into that descriptive basket.
I suspect that we'll get EW, and that she'll squeak out a win in the general. After that, it's hard to say. The neo-left is pissed. Standby for some radical demands.
Yes -- we are in a Crisis Era, and even an Obama-style Presidency might be utterly inadequate. We will need major reforms of the political system to prevent another play-for-pay system even more blatant than what Trump has shown us. That is even before I discuss changes in economic norms.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.