04-03-2020, 02:59 PM
** 03-Apr-2020 World View: 58-Year Rule
More accurately, the 58-Year Rule predicts that a country will have a
new generational crisis war 58-80 years after the climax of the
preceding crisis war. If the preceding crisis war was a civil war
involving two ethnic or racial groups within the same country, then
it's very likely that the next crisis war will be a civil war between
the same ethnic or racial groups.
Applying this to your three examples:
In the case of China, there have been regular massive rebellions
(civil wars) at regular intervals for millennia. It is unthinkable
that the current Chinese Communist Party (CCP), which is slaughtering
and enslaving Uighurs, which is torturing and killing Buddhists and
Christians, has somehow figured out the formula to become immune to a
new massive rebellion. It is 100% certain, and only the timing is in
question, but it won't be long now.
I've looked at literally thousands of situations in the last 17 years,
and I've found the 58-Year Rule to be highly reliable.
zzazz Wrote:> US civil war ended in 1865 and no follow on civil war yet
> French revolution ended 1799 and no follow on civil war yet
> English Civil War ended 1651 and no follow on civil war yet
> I think my skepticism is entirely reasonable.
More accurately, the 58-Year Rule predicts that a country will have a
new generational crisis war 58-80 years after the climax of the
preceding crisis war. If the preceding crisis war was a civil war
involving two ethnic or racial groups within the same country, then
it's very likely that the next crisis war will be a civil war between
the same ethnic or racial groups.
Applying this to your three examples:
- The American civil war was not an ethnic civil war, but was
actually a geographic war. There might have been a new North-South
clash in the 1930s, but it was mooted by the Nazis and Imperial Japan,
and the next crisis war was World War II.
- France actually had a very bloody civil war in 1871, called the
Paris Commune.
- The successor to the English civil war was the War of the Spanish
Succession (1701-09), where England was fighting France, and Scotland
was an ally of France, so in many ways it was a partial replay of the
English civil war.
In the case of China, there have been regular massive rebellions
(civil wars) at regular intervals for millennia. It is unthinkable
that the current Chinese Communist Party (CCP), which is slaughtering
and enslaving Uighurs, which is torturing and killing Buddhists and
Christians, has somehow figured out the formula to become immune to a
new massive rebellion. It is 100% certain, and only the timing is in
question, but it won't be long now.
I've looked at literally thousands of situations in the last 17 years,
and I've found the 58-Year Rule to be highly reliable.
