04-27-2020, 01:17 PM
(This post was last modified: 04-27-2020, 02:31 PM by Eric the Green.)
At this rate, if AZ continues in the dark red vein, Biden won't need WI, where his lead in current polls is slim, but will still need PA and MI to win, although they aren't in the dark red category on this map.
Minnesota is not listed dark red, but is likely Biden. If you include all the dark red states, plus PA and MI, where Biden has a good lead now in other polls, and MN, that's 269, to which would be added 1 Maine district for 270. But New Mexico is also not in dark red on this map, but is also likely Biden, which makes it 275.
This is the first time I've seen a national poll with Biden having a double digit lead.
General Election: Trump vs. Biden USA Today/Suffolk Biden 50, Trump 40 Biden +10
However, Biden still has coherence problems and a sexual abuse scandal going against him, plus the general resentment among Bernie supporters. And Trump's ability to sell himself and appeal to his base of prejudiced voters remains. It will also depend on how the virus and the economy look by October.
Minnesota is not listed dark red, but is likely Biden. If you include all the dark red states, plus PA and MI, where Biden has a good lead now in other polls, and MN, that's 269, to which would be added 1 Maine district for 270. But New Mexico is also not in dark red on this map, but is also likely Biden, which makes it 275.
This is the first time I've seen a national poll with Biden having a double digit lead.
General Election: Trump vs. Biden USA Today/Suffolk Biden 50, Trump 40 Biden +10
However, Biden still has coherence problems and a sexual abuse scandal going against him, plus the general resentment among Bernie supporters. And Trump's ability to sell himself and appeal to his base of prejudiced voters remains. It will also depend on how the virus and the economy look by October.