Millennials when old

[Warren Dew]

(05-05-2020, 04:46 AM)Blazkovitz Wrote:

Quote:My wife uses the definition "belief that policies will be effective because they are well intentioned", a form of magical thinking that Millenials seem to be at least as susceptible to as other generations.  Skepticism about that form of magical thinking may be more of an age thing rather than a cohort thing, though.

We need evidence-based politics. Maybe it will be invented during the 1T?

Evidence based politics are incompatible with democracy, absent some serious eugenics, er, transhumanism.  Democracy rewards politicians who are convincing, not politicians who are accurate.  Excessive optimism and good lying skills are both too effective for politicians.  For democracy to use evidence based politics, the average person would have to be smart enough to see through the lies and pessimistic enough to be skeptical of good news.  Neither is likely to happen in the foreseeable future.

Dictatorships and oligarchies could in principle be evidence based, but that would not result in policies that were good for the people as a whole; rather, it would only result in policies that were good for the ruling class.  North Korea might be a good example of what might result, and that's not most peoples' idea of where they would want to live.