06-05-2020, 09:00 AM
(06-04-2020, 02:22 PM)Isoko Wrote: Don't trust the polls. Never trust the polls.
I remember on the day of the Brexit election, at the closing of the polls, they predicted that remain was 10 points ahead. Nigel Farage confirmed defeat twice
Then the ballots started to come in and by 2am, it looked very much like leave had actually aced it. Toon the entire government by surprise.
What happened? The silent majority lied at the polls and pretended to vote for remain when in reality they were going for leave.
Same with Trump. It had Hilary 3 points ahead at the closing of the ballot. Then the silent majority kicked into force and we saw how that ended up.
I'm predicting the same with Biden. Unless Trump royally screws up with the riots, the silent majority effect is going to kick into play again.
Brexit was an anomaly that the UK, or what remains of it once reality sinks in, will come to regret: all the downside of Remain, with none of the upside. Sorry, but the US will not riding to the rescue, nor will the Commonwealth. And your argument about Hillary is wrong on the facts. As much as the public disliked her then, she still won the popular vote by a healthy margin. Our bizarre Electoral College favors rural over urban, but Trump is now even losing their support. If he wins a second term, the US is done as a democratic experiment, and what emerges from the ashes will not be pretty.
Intelligence is not knowledge and knowledge is not wisdom, but they all play well together.