06-26-2020, 03:57 PM
Pbrower,
Very true, he has bad numbers. But we have several factors at play here to contend with and this could potentially tip the balance in Trump's favour:
1) The majority of people are fed up with BLM. This is not just the deplorable crowd but the average Joe. They are fed up of statues being pulled down, the looting associated with it and in general the fanaticism being shown.
Obviously these people won't tell the polls who they are going to vote for but come November, in the privacy of the voting booth, they can vent out their frustrations.
2) Biden. He is the big one. I doubt he will be in office very long, he is not a strong candidate and more than likely is going to keep losing his mind on the campaign trail, which Trump will exploit.
3) The economy. If the economy starts to pick up after the quarantine, Trump's sins will be forgiven somewhat. If it goes into another major depression however then all bets are off.
4) Bidens VP pick. If he picks a good candidate, his hand strengthen. If he picks what I would call a BLM candidate, then that will just infuriate people even more.
5) Never trust the polls. They predicted at the end of the voting period a strong win for the Remain camp. Ten points ahead if I recall. Shocked them all on election night.
Overall, I accept a potential Biden win but I'm still cautiously certain that Trump could potentially pull this off.
Very true, he has bad numbers. But we have several factors at play here to contend with and this could potentially tip the balance in Trump's favour:
1) The majority of people are fed up with BLM. This is not just the deplorable crowd but the average Joe. They are fed up of statues being pulled down, the looting associated with it and in general the fanaticism being shown.
Obviously these people won't tell the polls who they are going to vote for but come November, in the privacy of the voting booth, they can vent out their frustrations.
2) Biden. He is the big one. I doubt he will be in office very long, he is not a strong candidate and more than likely is going to keep losing his mind on the campaign trail, which Trump will exploit.
3) The economy. If the economy starts to pick up after the quarantine, Trump's sins will be forgiven somewhat. If it goes into another major depression however then all bets are off.
4) Bidens VP pick. If he picks a good candidate, his hand strengthen. If he picks what I would call a BLM candidate, then that will just infuriate people even more.
5) Never trust the polls. They predicted at the end of the voting period a strong win for the Remain camp. Ten points ahead if I recall. Shocked them all on election night.
Overall, I accept a potential Biden win but I'm still cautiously certain that Trump could potentially pull this off.