Election 2020

[Eric the Green]

(08-25-2020, 02:17 PM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote:

(08-25-2020, 01:51 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:

(08-25-2020, 12:59 PM)CH86 Wrote: Nope, Trump will win in a landslide, although the details will be different than 2016. The only group biden may make gains with compared to 2016 is boomers. However this will be more than balanced out by Trump making massive gains among Xers, Millennials and Gen-Zers. Trump May very well outright win the Latino vote and under 50 vote and up to 35 percent of Black Men. Biden will only Get about 55 percent of Black Men and somewhere between 78 and 82 percent of black women (By comparison Hillary won 80 and 95 percent respectively).

Cumulatively Trump will make massive gains compared to 2016 with every group except Boomers and Black women (and even here Trump will chip off some of the younger voters to him).

If you are wrong, will you admit it after the election?

What?  Ask an ideologue to check against reality?  Shame on you!  

I suppose I would have to ask, if Harris should win in 2024, if you would admit it after the election?  

I think you can assume so, since I admitted my mistake about Hillary; although I also said both of my main astrological prediction methods (the horoscope scores and the new moon before election) were correct. But if someone with a 4-16 score actually won the presidency, I would probably not only admit it, but probably shelve my method.

I have actually voted for Kamala Harris 3 times, and if she were the nominated Democratic candidate, I would consider whether to vote for her or vote Green. But whether I would secretly root for her to lose in order to preserve my method, is something I would have to ask myself. My "enthusiasm level" would certainly be low. Since I early predicted Trump to be the nominee in 2016, I did find myself rooting for him to win the nomination over Ted Cruz (who scores 4-11); although that was a devil's choice to begin with.

I guess you know the candidates with scores like those of Harris (4-16) in the past. They include Al Smith (4-16), who lost in a landslide to Herbert Hoover, Adlai Stevenson (5-21), who lost twice in landslides to Ike, Michael Dukakis (2-10), who lost to a rather unimpressive vice president, and John Breckinridge (0-23) and John Bell (3-15) who lost to Lincoln. Among recent candidates who failed with scores like that include Lindsay Graham (1-5), Tim Ryan (3-12), and John Kasich (3-12). I looked through scores of earlier failed candidates, and I don't remember finding anyone else even running for the nomination OR as a nominee with a score this low except Samuel Tilden (3-14), who won the popular vote but was prevented from assuming office. Talk about destiny at work!

http://philosopherswheel.com/presidentialelections.html