09-27-2020, 01:44 PM
Polling averages for Sept.27, 2:20 PM EDT
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pol.../national/
National Biden +7.3
Arizona Biden +3.6
Colorado Biden +10.1
Florida Biden +1.8
Georgia Trump +1.1
Iowa Trump +0.7
Kansas Trump +8.9
Michigan Biden +6.9
Minnesota Biden +8.8
Missouri Trump +6.7
Montana Trump +8.0
Nevada Biden +6.5
New Hampshire Biden +6.9
North Carolina Biden +1.3
Ohio Biden +1.1
Pennsylvania Biden +4.9
South Carolina Trump +7.5
Texas Trump +1.7
Virginia Biden +10.1
Wisconsin Biden +6.9
270towin polling averages for Sept.27:
https://www.270towin.com/content/2020-pr...te-polling
Arizona Biden +4
Colorado Biden +10.6
Florida Biden +0.8
Georgia Trump +0.6
Iowa Trump +1.2
Michigan Biden +5.8
Minnesota Biden +8.4
Missouri Trump +8
Montana Trump +6
Nevada Biden +6.6
North Carolina Biden +0.8
Ohio Biden +1.2
Pennsylvania Biden +4.2
South Carolina Trump +7.3
Texas Trump +2.6
Virginia Biden +9.5
Wisconsin Biden +7.4
The map: based on fivethirtyeight.com using 270towin to create the map, and using my standards in 6% intervals: +-3%=tossup, 3-9% leaning, 9-15% likely, +15% solid.
Arkansas still has had only one poll giving Trump a 2% lead, but it's likely Republican historically, so I show it here as leaning. red=Republican blue=Democratic grey=tossup.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pol.../national/
National Biden +7.3
Arizona Biden +3.6
Colorado Biden +10.1
Florida Biden +1.8
Georgia Trump +1.1
Iowa Trump +0.7
Kansas Trump +8.9
Michigan Biden +6.9
Minnesota Biden +8.8
Missouri Trump +6.7
Montana Trump +8.0
Nevada Biden +6.5
New Hampshire Biden +6.9
North Carolina Biden +1.3
Ohio Biden +1.1
Pennsylvania Biden +4.9
South Carolina Trump +7.5
Texas Trump +1.7
Virginia Biden +10.1
Wisconsin Biden +6.9
270towin polling averages for Sept.27:
https://www.270towin.com/content/2020-pr...te-polling
Arizona Biden +4
Colorado Biden +10.6
Florida Biden +0.8
Georgia Trump +0.6
Iowa Trump +1.2
Michigan Biden +5.8
Minnesota Biden +8.4
Missouri Trump +8
Montana Trump +6
Nevada Biden +6.6
North Carolina Biden +0.8
Ohio Biden +1.2
Pennsylvania Biden +4.2
South Carolina Trump +7.3
Texas Trump +2.6
Virginia Biden +9.5
Wisconsin Biden +7.4
The map: based on fivethirtyeight.com using 270towin to create the map, and using my standards in 6% intervals: +-3%=tossup, 3-9% leaning, 9-15% likely, +15% solid.
Arkansas still has had only one poll giving Trump a 2% lead, but it's likely Republican historically, so I show it here as leaning. red=Republican blue=Democratic grey=tossup.