10-02-2020, 08:17 PM
(This post was last modified: 10-03-2020, 05:15 PM by Eric the Green.)
Biden's standing fell back a bit post covid-diagnosis from his recent high point post-debate debacle.
Drops occurred in Ohio, Arizona, Iowa, Nevada, Texas and others. AZ has fallen to just above toss-up level for the first time in weeks. On the map below, Minnesota barely dropped back again from likely to leaning. Maine dropped barely below the 15% line from solid to likely. FL is getting more blue again while Texas gets more red again; still within toss-up territory.
Trump had gotten a boost just from being the president as the pandemic struck in March, but then dropped when he could not handle it. If his debate performance can be forgotten after his covid diagnosis, how long will good will last from the diagnosis?
Polling averages for Oct.2, 9 PM EDT, edited Oct.3, 6 PM EDT
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pol.../national/
National Biden +7.3
Alaska Trump +6
Arizona Biden +3.2
Colorado Biden +11.2
Florida Biden +2.7
Georgia Biden +0.4
Iowa Trump +1.6
Kansas Trump +7.9
Maine CD2 Biden +3.5
Michigan Biden +6.7
Minnesota Biden +8.9
Missouri Trump +6.6
Montana Trump +8.5
Nevada Biden +5.7
New Hampshire Biden +9.4
North Carolina Biden +1.3
Ohio Biden +0.5
Pennsylvania Biden +5.8
South Carolina Trump +5.8
Texas Trump +2.6
Virginia Biden +10.9
Wisconsin Biden +6.6
Drops occurred in Ohio, Arizona, Iowa, Nevada, Texas and others. AZ has fallen to just above toss-up level for the first time in weeks. On the map below, Minnesota barely dropped back again from likely to leaning. Maine dropped barely below the 15% line from solid to likely. FL is getting more blue again while Texas gets more red again; still within toss-up territory.
Trump had gotten a boost just from being the president as the pandemic struck in March, but then dropped when he could not handle it. If his debate performance can be forgotten after his covid diagnosis, how long will good will last from the diagnosis?
Polling averages for Oct.2, 9 PM EDT, edited Oct.3, 6 PM EDT
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pol.../national/
National Biden +7.3
Alaska Trump +6
Arizona Biden +3.2
Colorado Biden +11.2
Florida Biden +2.7
Georgia Biden +0.4
Iowa Trump +1.6
Kansas Trump +7.9
Maine CD2 Biden +3.5
Michigan Biden +6.7
Minnesota Biden +8.9
Missouri Trump +6.6
Montana Trump +8.5
Nevada Biden +5.7
New Hampshire Biden +9.4
North Carolina Biden +1.3
Ohio Biden +0.5
Pennsylvania Biden +5.8
South Carolina Trump +5.8
Texas Trump +2.6
Virginia Biden +10.9
Wisconsin Biden +6.6