10-21-2020, 03:32 PM
(This post was last modified: 10-21-2020, 03:35 PM by Eric the Green.)
(10-21-2020, 03:19 PM)Isoko Wrote: Eric,
I think personally with a Biden administration, we won't see actually any major changes. Biden in a sense wants to turn back the clock to what America was like before 2016. I think the mindset in the current Democratic climate is to get Biden elected and "pretend" the last four years never happened. Problem is, Trump has upset the apple cart too much for that to be feasible.
The first problem is China. Whether or not he wants it, Biden is going to have to take a strong hand here as Trump has too badly damaged relations. Going back to the "you just make our clothes and we'll pretend nothing is happening with your human rights abuses" is pretty much gone.
Second is Europe. Trump has badly damaged relations with Europe to the point that Europe is starting to drift further away from Washington. Trust in America is at an all time low. When Europe has a problem, it would rather talk to Moscow then Washington...
Third obviously I mentioned is economics. I'm not really seeing any major blue collar support for Biden as of yet. If he can succeed with trickle down economics then by all means, he can get that group back from Trump. But he has to be stronger on it.
I think a Biden presidency will calm the situation in America but if
I'm honest, I think Trump, for all of his vile behaviour, has changed the course of U. S politics forever. I think he really has put a huge nail into the coffin of neoliberalism and this is a pattern that I think future Democratic administrations are going to have to follow up on. There is no political turning back.
I sort of agree about Trafalgar. I think that for now, we'll stick by the five thirty-eight poll. I mean even I have to be honest, I am hugely sceptical about Trafalgar and its claims. It's not that 2016 surprise anymore. Trump has made a huge mess and I just can't seem him winning over the "I just want to get on with my life" brigade like he did the last time.
Right. Trump is the neo-liberal on steroids. Neo-liberalism is let business do what it wants; lower taxes on the rich and fewer regulations and the benefits will trickle-down. That's all it is. Biden is talking against it in policy, but not so specifically by attacking the Reagan meme. If he did that more clearly, he might get back some of the blue-collar vote. Biden is the pro-labor candidate overall, and he needs to keep making that clear. It will be up to the workers to vote their interests, rather than their prejudices that Trump appeals to.
Trump tricked them by promising to overturn free trade. That remains a thorny problem that no-one seems to have a handle on, especially regarding China. In that sense you are right; dealing with China may still to some extent remain in the Trump ballpark. Biden will try a more finessed approach, and he is not going to be so cozy with their dictator-- along with the other dictators Trump likes and admires.