11-05-2020, 12:37 AM
(This post was last modified: 11-05-2020, 02:06 AM by Eric the Green.)
(11-04-2020, 10:22 AM)David Horn Wrote:(11-03-2020, 01:59 AM)Eric the Green Wrote: 270towin polling averages, Nov.3, 2 AM EST
https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/
National: Biden +8, actual +2.5, although likely to rise since CA is stuck right now
https://www.270towin.com/content/2020-pr...te-polling
Alaska Trump +5.6 actual Trump +31, 50% of the vote counted
Arizona Biden +2.2 actual Biden +2.8, 87% counted
Florida Biden +3.1 actual Trump +3.2
Georgia Biden +0.2 actual Trump +0.5, 97.7% counted
Iowa Trump +1.6 actual Trump +8.2
Kansas Trump +8.7 actual Trump +15.6
Maine CD2 Biden +1.2 actual Trump +7.6
Michigan Biden +5.5 actual Biden +2.4
Minnesota Biden +9.8 actual Biden +7.1
Missouri Trump +7.6 actual Trump +15.6
Montana Trump +5.4 actual Trump +15.2
Nevada Biden +5 actual Biden +0.6, 87% counted, many mail-in ballots from Democratic areas left to count
New Hampshire Biden +11 actual Biden +6.9
North Carolina Biden +0.3 actual Trump +1.4, 97.6% counted
Ohio Trump +0.9 actual Trump +8.2
Pennsylvania Biden +3.7 actual Trump +2.6, 90% counted, many mail-in ballots from Democratic areas left to count
South Carolina Trump +7 actual Trump +12
Texas Trump +1.3 actual Trump +5.8
Wisconsin Biden +9.2 actual Biden +0.7
Not much actually right in this list -- again. Will the pollsters admit they haven't a clue?
Indeed. I spoke well of polls up to now; but this year's performance was worst than last. It may be because Michael Moore is right; Trump voters just don't trust or cooperate with polls, because as Moore said "they are from the deep state." Red staters are thoroughly dominated by the trump myth and conspiracy theory universe. They live in another reality of their own and Trump's making, and given the margins of their vote in red states, and having made swing states closer than expected too, and reelected McConnell, I see them as pretty hopeless. It is not that I hate them, as facebook thinks I do. But they are disgraceful and stupid, at least when it comes to politics and general worldview, however smart many of them may be, (and many of them probably smarter than me), in managing their own lives and work.
Obama sounded great when he said we can't convince them by calling them names, and that he fought for every vote. I just do not see any point to it now.
It is said that many on both sides said that the other side is unacceptable and horrific if they win. It seems, if Biden wins, that the result was that the stalemate continues. The world burns, the oceans rise, droughts wipe out millions, world insecurity grows, inequality and poverty grows, health care reform is destroyed, the national debt balloons, gun massacres and police killings continue, etc., all because of two people in the senate, and because people in some red and purple states re-elected McConnell. Can this really be called such an historic election, then? It could have been, but the result of it all will be business as usual.