Can a third party candidate win?

[Eric the Green]

(08-13-2016, 05:29 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: ..
5. I agree, those would be two better parties. Johnson would be more likely to win. The Greens would take over later, because Johnson offers only the same old business-friendly trickle-down policies for a country mired in inequality and decline; not to mention potential climate armageddon. Very unlikely scenario, less than .00001% chance of it happening. The two major parties are still there and can put up replacement candidates.

I have to admit, maybe #5 has a bit better chance than .00001%, since the Republicans might not be able to replace Trump if he quits. There are ballot deadlines. So It might turn out to be a 3-way race: Hillary vs. Johnson vs. Stein. I wonder how that would work out! Plus there's that other independent guy; He's a Republican, but officially an Independent. So that's Hillary vs. McMullin vs. Johnson vs. Stein. Under #5, if neither Hillary nor Trump can run and they both cannot be replaced, that would be McMullin vs Johnson vs Stein.