04-13-2021, 06:39 PM
** 13-Apr-2021 World View: US and Russia appear headed for confrontation over Ukraine
![[Image: ukraine-crimea-russia-map-517795855.jpg]](https://cbsnews3.cbsistatic.com/hub/i/r/2021/04/13/c30eb60d-373b-470c-96f6-0d7ae5a4e11b/thumbnail/620x421/28da0c7635eef573128e2d597f8eb839/ukraine-crimea-russia-map-517795855.jpg)
As we discussed a couple of weeks ago, Russian analyst Pavel
Felgenhauer said that the fields of Ukraine and Russia are currently
muddy because of melting snow, but by early May the fields will dry
out, and there's a lot of talk about war in the beginning of May.
Well, May is closer, and a number of actions seem to indicate that a
military confrontation is close. Whether these actions are real war
preparations or just "saber-rattling" for purposes of intimidation is
not yet known. Here are some of the actions:
According to one analyst, the Russian massing of soldiers on the
Ukraine border is so ostentatious that it means that Russia is only
wants to intimidate Ukraine, not invade at the present time. However,
Putin may be using it as a cover for a lesser objective, such as to
infiltrate more Russian soldiers and military equipment into eastern
Ukraine and Crimea.
---- Sources:
-- Moscow will be ready for a war against Ukraine ‘in a month,’
Felgenhauer says
http://euromaidanpress.com/2021/04/04/mo...auer-says/
(EuromaidenPress, Ukraine, 4-Apr-2021)
-- Is Russia going to war with Ukraine and other questions
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-56720589
(BBC, 13-Apr-2021)
-- Russia warns U.S. to stay away for its "own good" as Ukraine
standoff intensifies
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-ukra...black-sea/
(CBS News, 13-Apr-2021)
-- Rumours of War: Another Russian Surprise in Ukraine?
https://icds.ee/en/rumours-of-war-anothe...n-ukraine/
(ICDS, Estonia, 30-Mar-2021)
- Map of Ukraine (CBS News)
As we discussed a couple of weeks ago, Russian analyst Pavel
Felgenhauer said that the fields of Ukraine and Russia are currently
muddy because of melting snow, but by early May the fields will dry
out, and there's a lot of talk about war in the beginning of May.
Well, May is closer, and a number of actions seem to indicate that a
military confrontation is close. Whether these actions are real war
preparations or just "saber-rattling" for purposes of intimidation is
not yet known. Here are some of the actions:
- Russia has been massing soldiers and equipment on the eastern
Ukraine border and into Crimea. Some reports say that the Russians
have also been moving Iskander short-range missiles.
- Russia accused NATO of "threatening" actions, and by sending
troops to its western borders to conduct exercises.
- Both the US and Russia are reportedly deploying warships in the
Black Sea, even though Russia warned the United States on Tuesday
against sending warships to the Black Sea, urging American forces to
stay away from the annexed Crimean peninsula "for their own
good."
- In a phone call between Biden and Putin on Tuesday, Biden
reportedly demanded that Russia de-escalate.
According to one analyst, the Russian massing of soldiers on the
Ukraine border is so ostentatious that it means that Russia is only
wants to intimidate Ukraine, not invade at the present time. However,
Putin may be using it as a cover for a lesser objective, such as to
infiltrate more Russian soldiers and military equipment into eastern
Ukraine and Crimea.
---- Sources:
-- Moscow will be ready for a war against Ukraine ‘in a month,’
Felgenhauer says
http://euromaidanpress.com/2021/04/04/mo...auer-says/
(EuromaidenPress, Ukraine, 4-Apr-2021)
-- Is Russia going to war with Ukraine and other questions
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-56720589
(BBC, 13-Apr-2021)
-- Russia warns U.S. to stay away for its "own good" as Ukraine
standoff intensifies
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-ukra...black-sea/
(CBS News, 13-Apr-2021)
-- Rumours of War: Another Russian Surprise in Ukraine?
https://icds.ee/en/rumours-of-war-anothe...n-ukraine/
(ICDS, Estonia, 30-Mar-2021)
