Estimating who belongs in S&H's Millennials (not mainstream Millennials)

[David Horn]

(06-16-2021, 02:50 AM)Captain Genet Wrote:

(06-15-2021, 02:09 PM)David Horn Wrote:

(06-15-2021, 06:29 AM)Captain Genet Wrote: If the 4T drags on till 2030, it's likely that end date for millennials will be about 2010.

Wikipedia defines generation alpha as 2010-25, this looks like preliminary dates for new artists. Millennials and Pew's Z are just two waves of civics. At least according to my idea that coming of age is more important than early childhood.

My grandchildren and their friends are all born in 2004 or 2005. Noe are Millennials in the archetypal sense of the term, though at least a few have Artist tendencies.  If 2008 began the 4T, then 2010 is simply to late.

People born in 2004 will be 26 in 2030. It means many of them will have worked full-time, married and become parents in the 4T. An Artist is supposed to have only childhood or adolescent experiences of the 4T, not adult ones. Though my niece was born in 2005 and my friend's kids in 2008, for now they are more artists than civics, but a prolonged 4T might remake them into cuspers.

For the same reason I doubt people born in 1982-5 are millennials.

I can't see a 4T that began in 2008 lasting that long.  2Ts and 4Ts are simply too exhausting to hang-on for 22 years.  If we cut that back to 18 years, then the 2004 cohorts will be 22 -- a reasonable age for the eldest Artists to enter a 1T.