06-22-2021, 09:39 AM
** 22-Jun-2021 World View: Myanmar/Burma army fights new militia in Mandalay as civil war spreads
![[Image: 20210626_asm946.png]](https://www.economist.com/img/b/300/533/90/sites/default/files/images/2021/06/articles/body/20210626_asm946.png)
A significant new escalation in the civil war in Myanmar / Burma is
occurring, as the clashes between anti-junta rebels is spreading from
rural areas to Mandalay, a large urban area, where a new anti-junta
militia has been formed, the Mandalay People’s Defence Force (Mandalay
PDF).
Burma's last two generational crisis wars (1886-91 and 1948-58) were
extremely bloody and violent civil wars involving multiple ethnic
groups.
Most people were hopin' and prayin' that the current civil war would
fizzle out, like the one in October 2007. But that one occurred 49
years after the climax of the last crisis war, during a generational
Unraveling era. But since 2016, Burma has been in a generational
Crisis era, so the current civil war is spreading, not fizzling.
As the civil war spreads, it may spread into the larger region, as
China, Thailand and India may be forced to intervene. We keep
discussing scenarios that could lead eventually into a world war, and
this is one possibility.
----- Sources:
-- Mandalay People’s Defence Force / Mandalay PDF ‘declares war’ on
junta
https://myanmar-now.org/en/news/mandalay...r-on-junta
(MyanmarNow, 22-Jun-2021)
-- Myanmar sinks deeper into civil war, as anti-army groups multiply
https://www.economist.com/asia/2021/06/2...s-multiply
(Economist, 20-Jun-2021)
** 29-Mar-21 World View -- Myanmar/Burma protests turn into ethnic civil war
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e210329
- Map of Myanmar / Burma, showing the warring ethnic groups (Economist)
A significant new escalation in the civil war in Myanmar / Burma is
occurring, as the clashes between anti-junta rebels is spreading from
rural areas to Mandalay, a large urban area, where a new anti-junta
militia has been formed, the Mandalay People’s Defence Force (Mandalay
PDF).
Burma's last two generational crisis wars (1886-91 and 1948-58) were
extremely bloody and violent civil wars involving multiple ethnic
groups.
Most people were hopin' and prayin' that the current civil war would
fizzle out, like the one in October 2007. But that one occurred 49
years after the climax of the last crisis war, during a generational
Unraveling era. But since 2016, Burma has been in a generational
Crisis era, so the current civil war is spreading, not fizzling.
As the civil war spreads, it may spread into the larger region, as
China, Thailand and India may be forced to intervene. We keep
discussing scenarios that could lead eventually into a world war, and
this is one possibility.
----- Sources:
-- Mandalay People’s Defence Force / Mandalay PDF ‘declares war’ on
junta
https://myanmar-now.org/en/news/mandalay...r-on-junta
(MyanmarNow, 22-Jun-2021)
-- Myanmar sinks deeper into civil war, as anti-army groups multiply
https://www.economist.com/asia/2021/06/2...s-multiply
(Economist, 20-Jun-2021)
** 29-Mar-21 World View -- Myanmar/Burma protests turn into ethnic civil war
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e210329
