07-22-2021, 08:23 AM
** 19-Jul-2021 World View: China a leaky boat
This adds to my general impression, that has been growing in my mind
for years, that the Chinese Communists are becoming increasingly
desperate, and have no way to deal with the increasing number of
crises.
Articles and analysts discussing China's policies usually say
something like "it makes sense for the Chinese to do this or that" or
"China's strategy is such and such." My view is that the Chinese
Communists have no strategy, except to build more and more weapons
systems, and they're simply striking out in any direction. A major
example of this is that China has 21 active border dispute with
neighboring countries. That's insane.
There's one more thing that I'm very suspicious about -- the spread of
Covid within China. My suspicion is not based on evidence. It's
based on the lack of reports. The delta variant is spreading through
Asia like wildfire, but we don't hear anything about China, or about
its spread through China's military.
What I do hear about is that China's vaccines, Sinovac and Sinopharm.
There are many suspicions in Asia that these vaccines aren't very
effective, and so they wouldn't be very effective within China either.
*** Covid: Is China's vaccine success waning in Asia?
*** https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-57845644
*** Indonesia is the new COVID epicentre, so some are heading
*** to the US to skip the vaccine queue
*** https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-18/a.../100288904
So all of this contributes to a view of incompetence, or the "leaky
boat" analogy that you used.
Unfortunately, that just makes China more dangerous. A cornered,
desperate animal is the most dangerous of all, and most likely to
strike out and try to kill you.
Guest Wrote:> China needs land bridges to attack Japan: either sweep through
> Korea and then land troops in Fukoka or take Taiwan and start
> island hopping north.
> China's military is substandard. Everything about it is. The
> officer corps is highly politicized and deeply corrupt. The PLA
> runs factories and exports goods. The original intent was to build
> their own supply chains, but instead they use the manufacting
> ability to produce plastic junk for Bed, Bath, and Beyond.
> China will use nukes quickly because they know there army is 3rd
> rate. Also, the ethnic composition of the army WILL cause
> problems. China is a leaky boat.
This adds to my general impression, that has been growing in my mind
for years, that the Chinese Communists are becoming increasingly
desperate, and have no way to deal with the increasing number of
crises.
Articles and analysts discussing China's policies usually say
something like "it makes sense for the Chinese to do this or that" or
"China's strategy is such and such." My view is that the Chinese
Communists have no strategy, except to build more and more weapons
systems, and they're simply striking out in any direction. A major
example of this is that China has 21 active border dispute with
neighboring countries. That's insane.
There's one more thing that I'm very suspicious about -- the spread of
Covid within China. My suspicion is not based on evidence. It's
based on the lack of reports. The delta variant is spreading through
Asia like wildfire, but we don't hear anything about China, or about
its spread through China's military.
What I do hear about is that China's vaccines, Sinovac and Sinopharm.
There are many suspicions in Asia that these vaccines aren't very
effective, and so they wouldn't be very effective within China either.
*** Covid: Is China's vaccine success waning in Asia?
*** https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-57845644
*** Indonesia is the new COVID epicentre, so some are heading
*** to the US to skip the vaccine queue
*** https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-18/a.../100288904
So all of this contributes to a view of incompetence, or the "leaky
boat" analogy that you used.
Unfortunately, that just makes China more dangerous. A cornered,
desperate animal is the most dangerous of all, and most likely to
strike out and try to kill you.
