Generational Dynamics World View

[John J. Xenakis]

** 09-Aug-2021 World View: Spread of Wuhan Coronavirus in China

A web site reader has called my attention to medical studies in
South America that raise the question of whether Chinese vaccines
are very effective against the lambda variant.

-- Infectivity and immune escape of the new SARS-CoV-2 variant of
interest Lambda
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/...21259673v1
(Medrxiv, 1-Jul-2021)

This corresponds to more prosaically written reports that the
many people who have received the Sinovac or Sinopharm vaccines
are still getting sick from Covid. This may be not because the
vaccine is initially ineffective, but instead because its
effectiveness wears off within a few months.

And this corresponds to reports that the delta variant is
spreading rapidly within China itself:

• Spread of Wuhan Coronavirus delta variant in China (Bloomberg)

If the virus continues to spread in China, it would be a major
political disaster for Xi Jinping, who has essentially bet his
leadership on having already won the historic war against Covid,
claiming proof that Communism is superior to Western Democracies. Not
only was the virus not conquered in China, as Xi claimed, but the
China vaccines have been shown to be inferior to vaccines from the
hated democracies.

It's now clear that the Wuhan Virus Event was supposed to work as
follows:

• The virus was developed in the Wuhan and planted in the wet
  market. Steps were taken, including super-spreader events, to make
  sure that it spread around Wuhan. Doctors and scientists were jailed
  if they reported what was going on.
  
  
• The Chinese would claim that it was mutated from bats, jumping to
  humans in a wet market, and that China was a victim of the virus.
  
  
• China would "innocently" spread the virus around the world, while
  protecting China, and nobody would catch on.
  
  
• Xi Jinping would loudly claim that the virus was a historic war,
  and that China had defeated the virus long before the Western
  Democracies.

The Wuhan Virus Event was to be some sort of "beta test" of technology
to develop lethal viruses and spread them around the world.
Unfortunately for them, it backfired badly because it's clear to
pretty much everyone outside of China that China is completely to
blame.

This has also been one of several events that have temporarily
derailed Xi Jinping's plan for a major nuclear attack to defeat it in
one blow, and then use a biological weapon to "clean America up" so
that its land can be colonized by the Chinese.

There have been a string of events that have temporarily derailed Xi
Jinping's plans and threw him off his script:

• Trump refused to sign the US-China trade deal in May
  2019;
  
  
• Trump shut down travel from China and Europe in early February
  2020 in order to defeat China's plan, and mitigate the spread of the
  virus. This infuriated the Chinese.
  
  
• Trump's Operation Warp Speed developed three vaccines much faster
  than the Chinese (or anyone expected), thus proving the superiority of
  Western Democracies to Chinese Communism.
  
  
• The Communists had wanted Biden to win, because they expected
  Biden to remove Trump's sanctions. The Chinese are shocked that Biden
  is not doing so.
  
  
• Countries like Thailand and Indonesia are rejecting the
  Chinese vaccines, which don't seem to work, in favor of the
  Western vaccines, thus humiliating the Chinese further.
  
  
• The delta variant is spread in China with two humiliations for
  China: It shows that Xi Jinping was wrong when he says that he won the
  war, and it shows that the China's vaccines are inferior.

Xi Jinping is getting desperate to show some results. I've been
expecting him to announce or do something major in the Sep-Oct time
frame. This might be a war, or it might be something domestic. The
spread of the virus in China must be really throwing him off his game,
and opening him up to enormous criticisms and threats from opposing
factions.

One sign is that China has been taking steps to cut itself off
financially from the West. I'm not sure what this is signaling,
but it could be something major.


---- Sources:

-- China records 94 more locally transmitted cases, including 41 in
flood-ravaged Henan province
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/...us-hits-17
(South China Morning Post, Hong Kong, 9-Aug-2021)

-- China Punishes Dozens of Officials as Delta Outbreaks Spread
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/...ks-expands
(Bloomberg, 9-Aug-2021)

-- Covid: Is China's vaccine success waning in Asia?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-57845644
(BBC, 19-Jul-2021)

-- China: How Delta threatens a prized zero Covid strategy
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-58095909
(BBC, 6-Aug-2021)

-- Infectivity and immune escape of the new SARS-CoV-2 variant of
interest Lambda
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/...21259673v1
(Medrxiv, 1-Jul-2021)