05-17-2016, 06:15 PM
(05-16-2016, 01:03 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: If Trump can win Ohio, where he now leads, and PA and FL, where he is within margin of error, then he can win. My system would be adjusted accordingly too, and Hillary might get a lower score than 12-9, and Trump keep his 8-4 score securely.
Here's How The Donald gets to 270:
PA 20
OH 18
FL 29
NC 15
SC 9
GA 16
WV 5
KY 8
TN 11
IN 11
AL 9
MS 6
LA 8
AR 6
MO 10
TX 38
OK 7
KS 6
NE 5
ND 3
SD 3
MT 3
WY 3
ID 4
AK 3
AZ 11? hispanic vote a factor
UT 6? Mormons/Romney a factor
= 273
I read an article on The New York Times that shows that online polling might be less accurate than live-telephone polling. Also, live-telephone polling is being used less now than it was before Donald Trump became the presumptive GOP nominee.