11-15-2022, 01:56 PM
(This post was last modified: 11-15-2022, 02:11 PM by Eric the Green.)
Attitudes and alignments have shifted since the sixties. There were important political and cultural shifts and changes. I think it's still an interesting comparison of Obama and Ike, especially in how the political label switched in the Obama-era's "blue" states indicated in white on your graph, but Obama was a 4T president and Ike a 1T president. Both were S&H nomads, but Obama is a cusper idealist and that makes a difference. He is capable of visionary thought that inspires; "the hope and change guy". Ike was a wide-smiling confident moderate unifier like Obama who nevertheless appointed more-reactionary cabinet members than did Obama, and whose talk and speeches were practical-oriented and often sounded a bit irritated in typical-nomad "don't bother me and get off my lawn" nomad-elder style rather than middle-aged idealistic and inspiring. Ike's horoscope score was quite inferior to Obama's but vastly better than his "egghead" opponent's.
A yougov poll puts DeSantis ahead of Trump now in some key states. It's way too early to tell, and the campaigns would make a difference. Could Trump run if indicted and jailed? Trump has a higher horoscope score than DeSantis, and so is indicated to be the better campaigner, but Trump has enough baggage that it could over-rule his higher score. Biden outscores both of them, but his age is a factor. His incumbency is still an advantage though, and he is still fully functional, even if "slow" at times to do what is really needed. But his latest speeches show him physically and rhetorically rising to the occasion spendidly. It is great to still have Obama as a supporting character. His score is vastly better than that of Biden, Trump or DeSantis, as is amply demonstrated.
Gavin Newson is waiting in the wings, and he will support Biden if he runs again. Newsom has a lot of work to do to get California back on track, and he knows it. His re-election support declined by a point or so against an unknown opponent, and Democrats could not take back the 2018 House seats they lost in 2020. The 60-40% 2022 Democratic statewide officer victories down the slate is not quite the 64%, 5 or 4 million-vote margin win CA gave opponents of Trump. But Newson is an on-the-ball character who knows how to work and how to speak well.
A yougov poll puts DeSantis ahead of Trump now in some key states. It's way too early to tell, and the campaigns would make a difference. Could Trump run if indicted and jailed? Trump has a higher horoscope score than DeSantis, and so is indicated to be the better campaigner, but Trump has enough baggage that it could over-rule his higher score. Biden outscores both of them, but his age is a factor. His incumbency is still an advantage though, and he is still fully functional, even if "slow" at times to do what is really needed. But his latest speeches show him physically and rhetorically rising to the occasion spendidly. It is great to still have Obama as a supporting character. His score is vastly better than that of Biden, Trump or DeSantis, as is amply demonstrated.
Gavin Newson is waiting in the wings, and he will support Biden if he runs again. Newsom has a lot of work to do to get California back on track, and he knows it. His re-election support declined by a point or so against an unknown opponent, and Democrats could not take back the 2018 House seats they lost in 2020. The 60-40% 2022 Democratic statewide officer victories down the slate is not quite the 64%, 5 or 4 million-vote margin win CA gave opponents of Trump. But Newson is an on-the-ball character who knows how to work and how to speak well.