10-01-2017, 07:20 PM
(09-29-2017, 10:15 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: Bannon and Kissinger share the view that China and America are headed
for a world war, and both are them are (in my view) desperately
looking for a way to avoid it, by means of an economic alliance.
From where I stand, that may be accurate for Kissinger, but exactly wrong for Bannon; he seems to want to start a trade war with China that will necessarily lead to a hot war with China.
Quote:From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, avoiding this world
war is impossible. In every century for millennia, every continent of
the world has had massive wars that have killed half the population.
In the last century, there were two world wars, plus additional
massive wars in Africa, China, South America and South Asia. That
this will happen in this century is 100% certain.
Avoiding the world war is impossible, but minimizing its impact on the US is not. Your view that the US will necessarily be on the opposite side from China is, as I've pointed out before, based on misreadings of Chinese history; the last time you claimed this, it was on the basis that China was the successor state to the mongols. In reality, the successor state to the mongols, to the extent there is one, is Kazakhstan, or more broadly the central Asian Islamic states. A crisis war that starts with them may actually be relatively benign to the US, since it hits Asia first, and allows us to wait and step in on the appropriate side to maintain a balance of power.