Election 2020

[Bob Butler 54]

(08-13-2020, 12:58 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: Biden going the affirmative action route limited his VP choices. In the short-run, it may help. In the long run, 4 years from now, it means an unskilled candidate has a leg up for the nomination, and therefore likely a Republican takeover after just 4 years of a centrist trying to fix a country that needs desperately to spend 8 years or more going further left.

Not sure of that analysis.  The conservatives seem to be split into three.  You have the Trump base which used to hold a good number of votes but are going down with Trump.  You have the establishment that has elitist ties and cannot get a candidate though the primaries without the base.  You have the Republican Voters Against Trump,  Lincoln Project and VoteVets who might have a vision of conservatives as they should have been, without the elitist or racist ties.

I am not sure if the fight for the remnants of the Republican Party will be successfully over in two or four years, or if the winner will have the clout it once had.  The progressives lost dominance in Nixon's time as there were more racist and wannabe elitist votes than worker and minority votes.  Granted it was close.  The see saw between parties was in great part trying to balance helping the workers against hurting minorities.  If you tried to do one, the people in the middle would vote for the other.  

That possibly is not true anymore.  COVID and Black Lives Matter could shift voters towards respecting the science, solving problems, and to remove systematic racism.  Maybe.  I hope.

Eventually the conservatives have the potential to resurface.  If nothing else, there will eventually be another unraveling.  The Democratic tendency to spend money to solve problems will eventually be overdone and the national mood will shift.  But in the meantime the Republicans have much regrouping to do.