Election 2018

[David Horn]

(11-06-2018, 03:12 PM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote:

(11-06-2018, 02:44 PM)David Horn Wrote:

(11-05-2018, 08:42 PM)Mikebert Wrote: ...  This 4T the two sides have been fighting for 10 to 17 years, depending on when you choose to start the 4T. There is, at present, no clear-cut winner. The Republicans are in a position similar to where they were in 2006 and Democrats were in 2010. The election tomorrow will be another "battle" in this political war. Unless the polling is way off, Republicans look likely to lose the House next year, like Democrats in 2010. That is 2018 looks likely not to give the sort of final resolution of the internal political conflict that 1934 did. And given the prospect of a major bear market, possibly associated with financial crisis, we could well see another shift in the winds of fortune in this seemingly never-ending political war.

Agreed. This looks less like a crisis than a marathon: the two sides gaining and losing position, the country slowly decaying, but nothing getting resolved.  The only potential triggers to bring this to a head and set a new and singular course would be a major war (none on the horizon) or a financial collapse.  Let's assume the market goes into a tailspin and that's the real crisis we've been waiting to address.  How much longer can we wait?  What would be the catalyst to push things over the edge?

Or, If my theory is correct, the major changes to society in the new age occur at the 2T, with an awakening.  Around the 50s, 60s, and 70s, the Civil Rights movement, the Woman's Movement, the Environmental movement, the way the Domino Theory is viewed (The Peace Movement) were major events.  No more major events will swing by until the next awakening.  We are on the see saw until then?

I'm afraid that's the case.  It's hard to see any definitive movement, barring some catastrophic event that I don't find all that likely.  A recession won't do it, nor will another proxy war.  It look like we're on the rinse-repeat pattern until the 2T, and then, who knows.