10-28-2016, 08:53 PM
*** 29-Oct-16 World View -- China's president Xi Jinping given dictatorial powers
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** China's president Xi Jinping given dictatorial powers
****
![[Image: g120212c.jpg]](http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g120212c.jpg)
Xi Jinping and wife, popular folk singer Peng Liyuan (Chinese Hour, 2012)
China now has a need of a "strongman leader" or "Great Leader," the
first since Mao Zedong, according to Chinese state media, so that
China can again rise to greatness.
Apparently that wish has been granted by last week's four-day sixth
plenum of the Central Committee, which issued a statement granting
China's president Xi Jinping the role of "core of the leadership,"
giving Xi unchallenged personal authority in the Chinese Communist
Party (CCP).
Ever since taking office in 2012, Xi has led a breathtaking
anti-corruption drive that has punished more than one million
officials for such crimes as bribery and abuse of power. Xi's
opponents claim that the anti-corruption campaign was really a purge
of political rivals, which is certainly true, given that Xi is a
politician.
According to professor David Zweig of Hong Kong University of Science
and Technology professor, Xi has been making powerful enemies:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"The risk is that you will take power to yourself,
> undermine the power bases of the people beneath you. ...
>
> Everyone in the Politburo has their networks, even in the
> Standing Committee of the Politburo, so if you give all the power
> to one guy you give him the power to push your people out and push
> his people through.
>
> "Entrenched resistance was strong but if you really want to see
> China reform, you want to take some power away (from those) who
> protect their vested interests, like the state
> enterprises."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
The contrast is to Xi's predecessor, Hu Jintao, who did not have the
"core of the leadership" blessing, but instead was "first among
equals," meaning that he had to rule by consensus. Xi has taken
advantage of the anti-corruption drive to push his political enemies
out and replace them with his acolytes, which means that he can rule
in a dictatorial manner, without as much of a consensus.
As long-time readers know, Generational Dynamics predicts that China
is headed for two wars -- an internal civil war, the first major civil
war since the Communist revolution, and an external war, leading a
world war with the United States, their first world war since World
War II. These two wars are not inconsistent with each other, any more
than the Communist Revolution and World War II were not inconsistent
with each other. Xi can similarly expect to be fighting two wars --
an internal civil war and an external world war with the United
States. South China Morning Post (Hong Kong) and Washington Post and SCMP (23-Oct) and BBC (24-Oct)
Related Articles
****
**** China permits Philippines to fish in Scarborough Shoal
****
A week ago, Philippine president Rodrigo R. Duterte visited China and
said "I announce my separation from the United States. Both in
military... not maybe social, but economics also, America has lost. I
will be dependent on you." This was after calling President Obama the
"son of a whore."
Now China's president Xi Jinping has apparently waved his magic wand
and granted a reward to Duterte -- China's warships have withdrawn
from Scarborough Shoal, allowing Philippines fishermen to fish there
for the first time since 2012.
Scarborough Shoal is an island off the coast of Manila and far from
China's shores. Philippine fishermen fished there for centuries,
until blocked by the Chinese.
In its July 12 ruling on the South China Sea, the United Nations
Permanent Court of Arbitration eviscerated China's claims to the South
China Sea, and said:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"[The Tribunal] FINDS that Scarborough Shoal has been
> a traditional fishing ground for fishermen of many nationalities
> and DECLARES that China has, through the operation of its official
> vessels at Scarborough Shoal from May 2012 onwards, unlawfully
> prevented fishermen from the Philippines from engaging in
> traditional fishing at Scarborough Shoal."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
So China has rewarded the Philippines by granting to them
rights that they were legally entitled to anyway.
Among the Philippine people, 54% have a favorable view of China, while
92% have a favorable view of the United States, so it won't be very
long before Duterte is forced to make some policy change that will
infuriate the Chinese, and the warships could come back quickly. To
paraphrase an old saying, Duterte should remember this: "The Xi
giveth, and the Xi taketh away." Manila Bulletin and Reuters and The Diplomat
Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, Mao Zedong, Xi Jinping, Peng Liyuan,
David Zweig, Hu Jintao, Philippines, Rodrigo R. Duterte,
Scarborough, United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- China's president Xi Jinping given dictatorial powers
- China permits Philippines to fish in Scarborough Shoal
****
**** China's president Xi Jinping given dictatorial powers
****
Xi Jinping and wife, popular folk singer Peng Liyuan (Chinese Hour, 2012)
China now has a need of a "strongman leader" or "Great Leader," the
first since Mao Zedong, according to Chinese state media, so that
China can again rise to greatness.
Apparently that wish has been granted by last week's four-day sixth
plenum of the Central Committee, which issued a statement granting
China's president Xi Jinping the role of "core of the leadership,"
giving Xi unchallenged personal authority in the Chinese Communist
Party (CCP).
Ever since taking office in 2012, Xi has led a breathtaking
anti-corruption drive that has punished more than one million
officials for such crimes as bribery and abuse of power. Xi's
opponents claim that the anti-corruption campaign was really a purge
of political rivals, which is certainly true, given that Xi is a
politician.
According to professor David Zweig of Hong Kong University of Science
and Technology professor, Xi has been making powerful enemies:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"The risk is that you will take power to yourself,
> undermine the power bases of the people beneath you. ...
>
> Everyone in the Politburo has their networks, even in the
> Standing Committee of the Politburo, so if you give all the power
> to one guy you give him the power to push your people out and push
> his people through.
>
> "Entrenched resistance was strong but if you really want to see
> China reform, you want to take some power away (from those) who
> protect their vested interests, like the state
> enterprises."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
The contrast is to Xi's predecessor, Hu Jintao, who did not have the
"core of the leadership" blessing, but instead was "first among
equals," meaning that he had to rule by consensus. Xi has taken
advantage of the anti-corruption drive to push his political enemies
out and replace them with his acolytes, which means that he can rule
in a dictatorial manner, without as much of a consensus.
As long-time readers know, Generational Dynamics predicts that China
is headed for two wars -- an internal civil war, the first major civil
war since the Communist revolution, and an external war, leading a
world war with the United States, their first world war since World
War II. These two wars are not inconsistent with each other, any more
than the Communist Revolution and World War II were not inconsistent
with each other. Xi can similarly expect to be fighting two wars --
an internal civil war and an external world war with the United
States. South China Morning Post (Hong Kong) and Washington Post and SCMP (23-Oct) and BBC (24-Oct)
Related Articles
- China builds Navy designed to overwhelm the US Navy (05-May-2015)
- China could defeat U.S. in war over Taiwan (02-Aug-2011)
- Hu Jintao gives President Bush a copy of Sun Tzu's 'The Art of War' (20-Apr-2006)
- China approaches Civil War (16-Jan-2005)
****
**** China permits Philippines to fish in Scarborough Shoal
****
A week ago, Philippine president Rodrigo R. Duterte visited China and
said "I announce my separation from the United States. Both in
military... not maybe social, but economics also, America has lost. I
will be dependent on you." This was after calling President Obama the
"son of a whore."
Now China's president Xi Jinping has apparently waved his magic wand
and granted a reward to Duterte -- China's warships have withdrawn
from Scarborough Shoal, allowing Philippines fishermen to fish there
for the first time since 2012.
Scarborough Shoal is an island off the coast of Manila and far from
China's shores. Philippine fishermen fished there for centuries,
until blocked by the Chinese.
In its July 12 ruling on the South China Sea, the United Nations
Permanent Court of Arbitration eviscerated China's claims to the South
China Sea, and said:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"[The Tribunal] FINDS that Scarborough Shoal has been
> a traditional fishing ground for fishermen of many nationalities
> and DECLARES that China has, through the operation of its official
> vessels at Scarborough Shoal from May 2012 onwards, unlawfully
> prevented fishermen from the Philippines from engaging in
> traditional fishing at Scarborough Shoal."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
So China has rewarded the Philippines by granting to them
rights that they were legally entitled to anyway.
Among the Philippine people, 54% have a favorable view of China, while
92% have a favorable view of the United States, so it won't be very
long before Duterte is forced to make some policy change that will
infuriate the Chinese, and the warships could come back quickly. To
paraphrase an old saying, Duterte should remember this: "The Xi
giveth, and the Xi taketh away." Manila Bulletin and Reuters and The Diplomat
Related Articles
- Philippines leader Rodrigo Duterte in comic dance with China (23-Oct-2016)
- Hagel sets a 'red line' for China in South China Sea (01-Jun-2014)
- Philippines and China in nationalistic confrontation in South China Sea (12-Apr-2012)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, Mao Zedong, Xi Jinping, Peng Liyuan,
David Zweig, Hu Jintao, Philippines, Rodrigo R. Duterte,
Scarborough, United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
