Generational Dynamics World View

[John J. Xenakis]

*** 22-Nov-16 World View -- China puts army on high alert along border with Burma (Myanmar)

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com

• China puts army on high alert along border with Burma (Myanmar)
  
• Burma's army appears to be exterminating Rakhine State Rohingyas
  

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**** China puts army on high alert along border with Burma (Myanmar)
****


Kachin soldiers in Burma praying

In October of last year, the government of Myanmar (Burma) concluded a
peace agreement with its armed ethnic groups that had been under
negotiation since 2011. According to the government rhetoric, the
agreement was "bringing hope" that the entire country would soon be
"at peace."

However, of the 15 armed ethnic groups in Burma, only eight attended
the lavish signing ceremony and signed the agreement. The others
indicated that they wished to continue fighting Burma's army.

Now three of the non-signers have launched a series of violent attacks
on military outposts and police stations across the northern part of
the country. Hundreds of people have been forced to flee their homes,
some crossing the border into China. The groups are:

• The Kachin Independence Army (KIA) is the military wing of a
  population of ethnic Kachins in northern Myanmar. The Kachins are a
  coalition of at least six tribes whose homeland encircles territory in
  Yunnan in China and Northeast India, in addition to Kachin State in
  Myanmar.
  
  
• The Ta’ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) is the armed wing of
  the Palaung State Liberation Front and promotes self-determination for
  the Ta’ang people living in Shan State, Yunnan and Northern
  Thailand.
  
  
• Kokang’s Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA), is led
  by ethnic-Chinese commander Peng Jiasheng and is an active insurgent
  group in the Chinese-speaking Kokang region, an area in the northern
  part of Shan State on the border with Yunnan.

The conflicts have resulted in a central part of the country dominated
by the majority Burmese, surrounded by various ethnic minority
populations who form the majority in their own areas. Most of
Myanmar’s ethnic groups are now concentrated within particular regions
corresponding more or less to the states named after the seven ethnic
nationalities: Karen, Kachin, Mon, Arakanese, Karenni, Chin and Shan.

China's defense ministry issued a statement saying, "The Chinese army
is on high alert and will take the necessary measures to safeguard the
country's sovereignty and safety, as well as protect the lives and
property of Chinese citizens living along the border."

China has not intervened in the Burma conflicts, but might do so if
Chinese citizens, in either Burma or China, were threatened. There
have at least nine deaths and dozens of wounded.

Following World War II, Burma experienced a series of extremely bloody
crisis civil wars that only climaxed in 1958 when the army took over
power. There has been sporadic fighting among these groups in the
decades since then, but nothing that has escalated into a major war.

But now, 58 years after the climax of the last generational crisis
war, Burma is entering a new generational Crisis era. 58 years is the
point where the generations of survivors of the last crisis war lose
enough of their power (through death or retirement) so that they can
no longer influence events enough to prevent a new generational crisis
war, and so a major new war could break out now or at any time in the
future. South China Morning Post and International Business Times and Radio Free Asia

Related Articles

• Myanmar (Burma) government fails to conclude nationwide peace agreement (15-Oct-2015)
  
  
• Burma (Myanmar) approves birth control law targeting Rohingya Muslims (24-May-2015)
  
  
• Generational history of Burma (Myanmar) (26-Sep-2007)
  

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**** Burma's army appears to be exterminating Rakhine State Rohingyas
****

As we recently reported,
Burma's
army is conducting a scorched earth attack on Rohingya Muslims in
Rakhine state. As of a week ago, over 430 buildings had been burned
down. Now, Human Rights Watch has released new satellite photos
showing that 1,000 homes have been burned down, almost all in Rohingya
villages, many of which no longer exist. Dozens of people have been
killed, and at least 300,000 people have been forced to leave their
homes, with many fleeing into Bangladesh. Witnesses and alleged
victims also accused soldiers of widespread rape.

Burma's government has completely closed off the entire region,
refusing to allow reporters or investigators to see for themselves
what has happened. Furthermore, the government is saying that
thousands of Rohingyas have burned down their own homes. I must
admit, Dear Reader, that hearing crap like this from government
officials really infuriates me. But it's what we've come to expect
from leaders like Bashar al-Assad, Vladimir Putin, Robert Mugabe, and
Pierre Nkurunziza. AFP and BBC and Deutsche Welle

Related Articles

• Meiktila, Burma, violence has echoes of Kristallnacht (05-Apr-2013)
  
  
• Communal violence grows in Myanmar (Burma) between Buddhists and Rohingya Muslims (16-Nov-2016)
  
  
• Thousands of Bangladeshi and Burma Rohingya migrants stranded at sea in southeast Asia (16-May-2015)
  
  
• Burma (Myanmar) declares state of emergency over Buddhist/Muslim violence (11-Jun-2012)
  

KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Myanmar, Burma, China,
Kachin Independence Army, KIA, Ta’ang National Liberation Army, TNLA,
Kokang’s Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army, MNDAA, Peng Jiasheng,
Rakhine State, Rohingya, Bangladesh

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John J. Xenakis
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