12-04-2016, 09:17 PM
*** 5-Dec-16 World View -- No war erupted from Trump's ten minute phone call with Taiwan's Tsai Ing-wen
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
There was no "Generational Dynamics World View" posting on Sunday
because Comcast crashed, and the internet was unavailable most of
Saturday and Sunday. I apologize to my readers for any inconvenience.
****
**** No war erupted from Trump's ten minute phone call with Taiwan's Tsai Ing-wen
****
![[Image: g161204b.jpg]](http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g161204b.jpg)
Trump and Tsai (South China Morning Post)
On Friday, Taiwan's president Tsai Ing-wen had a "shock" 10-minute
phone conversation with US President-elect Donald Trump. As usual,
the mainstream media have reported this story in the most incompetent
way possible. I saw and heard so-called "experts" talking on the BBC
and CNN ranting and raving how this was going to cause a war. The
printed mainstream press referred to it as a "major crisis."
The utter incompetence of the mainstream media in dealing with this
story was amazing. We know that the SAT scores of students have been
falling for decades, and now it seems like the reporters at the NY
Times, NBC News, CNN and others apparently majored in sociology and
women's studies in college, so they have no clue what journalism is.
Furthermore, having spent eight years simply re-publishing statements
and press releases from the Obama administration, these reporters have
absolutely no journalistic experience that would allow them to report
a story on their own, which reporters were able to do before the rise
of Generation-X.
As regular Generational Dynamics readers know, China has been
aggressively preparing for full-scale war with the United States for
years. They've developed one nuclear missile system after another,
and manufactured perhaps hundreds of those missiles, with no other
purpose than to destroy American cities, military bases and aircraft
carriers. These developments have been deliberately planned, and it's
clear that China plans to attack at a time of its own choosing, not to
be triggered in a panic because of a ten-minute phone call.
Furthermore, China did not launch a war after much worse provocations.
In January Tsai Ing-wen, president of the pro-independence Democratic
Progressive Party (DPP), won an overwhelming and decisive electoral victory in January.
China was
outraged, but didn't start a war.
On July 12 ruling on the South China Sea, the United Nations Permanent
Court of Arbitration eviscerated China's claims to the South China Sea
in a legal challenge brought by the Philippines. China was
FURIOUS and thoroughly humiliated by the decision, and issued one
angry, contemptuous statement after another, but didn't launch a war.
So it was really pretty obvious that China wasn't going to launch a
war over a ten-minute phone call. The Gen-X so-called "journalists"
at the BBC, NY Times, and CNN could have figured that out as easily as
I could. In addition to being incompetent as journalists, they're
emotionally traumatized by the enormous humiliation they suffered in
the election results after aggressively supporting Clinton during the
campaign with some of the most moronic "news" reporting in history.
As I've been writing for years, Generational Dynamics predicts that
the world is headed for a new world war, the Clash of Civilizations
world war. The allies of the West will include Japan, India, Russia
and Iran. The enemies will be China, Pakistan, and the Sunni Muslim
countries. This will be the world's greatest war in history.
So a war with China is coming, and would be coming irrespective of
whether Trump or Clinton had won. It would be nice if the mainstream
media could start reporting actual news instead of fatuous nonsense,
but that's apparently too much to hope for. Xinhua and International Business Times and South China Morning Post (Hong Kong)
Related Articles
****
**** From the Truman Doctrine to renewed nationalism
****
I've written
many times about the
Truman Doctrine, from President Harry Truman in 1947, which made
America policeman of the world. The justification is that it's better
to have a small military action to stop an ongoing crime than to let
it slide and end up having an enormous conflict like World War II.
The Truman Doctrine was reaffirmed in President John Kennedy's "ask
not" speech, and every president since WW II has followed the Truman
Doctrine, up to and including George Bush. Barack Obama is the first
president to repudiate the Truman Doctrine, essentially leaving the
world without a policeman. As I've written numerous times, I believe
that the cause of Obama's numerous foreign policy disasters is his
repudiation of the Truman Doctrine. From various apology tours to
flip-flopping on the Syria Sarin gas red line to prematurely pulling
American troops from Iraq, Obama's rejection of America's role as
policeman of the world has left the world without a policeman, and
we've seen the results.
The phone call between Donald Trump and Taiwan's president Tsai
Ing-wen indicates another serious turn in American foreign policy.
As I've been writing for over ten years, America and much of the world
are in a generational Crisis era, and I've documented numerous
examples in country after country of what always happens in a
generational Crisis era -- the rise of xenophobia and nationalism.
This has happened in China vs Japan, China vs Vietnam, India vs
Pakistan, Europe vis-à-vis the Muslims and the Roma, and America
vis-à-vis the Muslims and the Mexicans.
Fortunately, and much to my great relief, president-elect Trump has
almost completely walked back his xenophobic remarks about Mexicans
and Muslims, and this gives me hope that, unlike our current
president, he's a person who is able to learn, though that remains to
be seen.
However, even without the xenophobia, Trump has tapped into the
increasing mood of nationalism that we see in America, and other
countries. We saw the growth of nationalism in the anti-EU Brexit
vote in Britain, we saw it on Sunday with the anti-EU referendum vote
in Italy that may force the resignation of Matteo Renzi, and we saw it
in the phone call with Taiwan's president.
Nationalism is not the same as the Truman Doctrine. The Truman
Doctrine provides guidelines for a military action whose purpose
is to prevent a foreign war from spiraling into a major war. A
police analogy would be the Los Angeles police taking action
to prevent further fighting between the Crips and the Bloods.
Nationalism is much more ideological, as if the LA police took
the side of the Crips for ideological reasons and fought with
them against the Bloods.
Foreign policy for the last eight years has repudiated the Truman
Doctrine and been highly anti-nationalistic and hence highly
ideological, with highly undesirable outcomes. It remains to be seen
in the next few years whether America follows a new ideological
foreign policy, dictated by nationalism, or whether it's a return to a
reasoned, methodical foreign policy, such as the one dictated by the
Truman Doctrine, followed by every president from Harry Truman to
George Bush. A war between China and Taiwan is inevitable, at a time
of Beijing's choosing, no matter what president Trump does, but too
much nationalism can make it appear that we're taking sides. With the
Clash of Civilizations world war approaching, a reasoned, methodical,
non-ideological foreign policy is what we need.
Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Donald Trump, Taiwan, Tsai Ing-wen,
China, Philippines, South China Sea, Permanent Court of Arbitration,
Harry Truman, Truman Doctrine, John Kennedy
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- No war erupted from Trump's ten minute phone call with Taiwan's Tsai Ing-wen
- From the Truman Doctrine to renewed nationalism
There was no "Generational Dynamics World View" posting on Sunday
because Comcast crashed, and the internet was unavailable most of
Saturday and Sunday. I apologize to my readers for any inconvenience.
****
**** No war erupted from Trump's ten minute phone call with Taiwan's Tsai Ing-wen
****
Trump and Tsai (South China Morning Post)
On Friday, Taiwan's president Tsai Ing-wen had a "shock" 10-minute
phone conversation with US President-elect Donald Trump. As usual,
the mainstream media have reported this story in the most incompetent
way possible. I saw and heard so-called "experts" talking on the BBC
and CNN ranting and raving how this was going to cause a war. The
printed mainstream press referred to it as a "major crisis."
The utter incompetence of the mainstream media in dealing with this
story was amazing. We know that the SAT scores of students have been
falling for decades, and now it seems like the reporters at the NY
Times, NBC News, CNN and others apparently majored in sociology and
women's studies in college, so they have no clue what journalism is.
Furthermore, having spent eight years simply re-publishing statements
and press releases from the Obama administration, these reporters have
absolutely no journalistic experience that would allow them to report
a story on their own, which reporters were able to do before the rise
of Generation-X.
As regular Generational Dynamics readers know, China has been
aggressively preparing for full-scale war with the United States for
years. They've developed one nuclear missile system after another,
and manufactured perhaps hundreds of those missiles, with no other
purpose than to destroy American cities, military bases and aircraft
carriers. These developments have been deliberately planned, and it's
clear that China plans to attack at a time of its own choosing, not to
be triggered in a panic because of a ten-minute phone call.
Furthermore, China did not launch a war after much worse provocations.
In January Tsai Ing-wen, president of the pro-independence Democratic
Progressive Party (DPP), won an overwhelming and decisive electoral victory in January.
China was
outraged, but didn't start a war.
On July 12 ruling on the South China Sea, the United Nations Permanent
Court of Arbitration eviscerated China's claims to the South China Sea
in a legal challenge brought by the Philippines. China was
FURIOUS and thoroughly humiliated by the decision, and issued one
angry, contemptuous statement after another, but didn't launch a war.
So it was really pretty obvious that China wasn't going to launch a
war over a ten-minute phone call. The Gen-X so-called "journalists"
at the BBC, NY Times, and CNN could have figured that out as easily as
I could. In addition to being incompetent as journalists, they're
emotionally traumatized by the enormous humiliation they suffered in
the election results after aggressively supporting Clinton during the
campaign with some of the most moronic "news" reporting in history.
As I've been writing for years, Generational Dynamics predicts that
the world is headed for a new world war, the Clash of Civilizations
world war. The allies of the West will include Japan, India, Russia
and Iran. The enemies will be China, Pakistan, and the Sunni Muslim
countries. This will be the world's greatest war in history.
So a war with China is coming, and would be coming irrespective of
whether Trump or Clinton had won. It would be nice if the mainstream
media could start reporting actual news instead of fatuous nonsense,
but that's apparently too much to hope for. Xinhua and International Business Times and South China Morning Post (Hong Kong)
Related Articles
- New Taiwan poll shows overwhelming support for independence from China (02-Jun-2016)
- Philippines humiliates China in harsh Hague Tribunal ruling over South China Sea (13-Jul-2016)
- Arab views of Iran nuclear deal (15-Jul-2015)
****
**** From the Truman Doctrine to renewed nationalism
****
I've written
many times about the
Truman Doctrine, from President Harry Truman in 1947, which made
America policeman of the world. The justification is that it's better
to have a small military action to stop an ongoing crime than to let
it slide and end up having an enormous conflict like World War II.
The Truman Doctrine was reaffirmed in President John Kennedy's "ask
not" speech, and every president since WW II has followed the Truman
Doctrine, up to and including George Bush. Barack Obama is the first
president to repudiate the Truman Doctrine, essentially leaving the
world without a policeman. As I've written numerous times, I believe
that the cause of Obama's numerous foreign policy disasters is his
repudiation of the Truman Doctrine. From various apology tours to
flip-flopping on the Syria Sarin gas red line to prematurely pulling
American troops from Iraq, Obama's rejection of America's role as
policeman of the world has left the world without a policeman, and
we've seen the results.
The phone call between Donald Trump and Taiwan's president Tsai
Ing-wen indicates another serious turn in American foreign policy.
As I've been writing for over ten years, America and much of the world
are in a generational Crisis era, and I've documented numerous
examples in country after country of what always happens in a
generational Crisis era -- the rise of xenophobia and nationalism.
This has happened in China vs Japan, China vs Vietnam, India vs
Pakistan, Europe vis-à-vis the Muslims and the Roma, and America
vis-à-vis the Muslims and the Mexicans.
Fortunately, and much to my great relief, president-elect Trump has
almost completely walked back his xenophobic remarks about Mexicans
and Muslims, and this gives me hope that, unlike our current
president, he's a person who is able to learn, though that remains to
be seen.
However, even without the xenophobia, Trump has tapped into the
increasing mood of nationalism that we see in America, and other
countries. We saw the growth of nationalism in the anti-EU Brexit
vote in Britain, we saw it on Sunday with the anti-EU referendum vote
in Italy that may force the resignation of Matteo Renzi, and we saw it
in the phone call with Taiwan's president.
Nationalism is not the same as the Truman Doctrine. The Truman
Doctrine provides guidelines for a military action whose purpose
is to prevent a foreign war from spiraling into a major war. A
police analogy would be the Los Angeles police taking action
to prevent further fighting between the Crips and the Bloods.
Nationalism is much more ideological, as if the LA police took
the side of the Crips for ideological reasons and fought with
them against the Bloods.
Foreign policy for the last eight years has repudiated the Truman
Doctrine and been highly anti-nationalistic and hence highly
ideological, with highly undesirable outcomes. It remains to be seen
in the next few years whether America follows a new ideological
foreign policy, dictated by nationalism, or whether it's a return to a
reasoned, methodical foreign policy, such as the one dictated by the
Truman Doctrine, followed by every president from Harry Truman to
George Bush. A war between China and Taiwan is inevitable, at a time
of Beijing's choosing, no matter what president Trump does, but too
much nationalism can make it appear that we're taking sides. With the
Clash of Civilizations world war approaching, a reasoned, methodical,
non-ideological foreign policy is what we need.
Related Articles
- The cost of repudiating the Truman Doctrine (06-Sep-2015)
- Defense Sec'y Robert Gates repudiates the Truman Doctrine (11-Jun-2011)
- Awakenings and the Truman Doctrine (19-Sep-2006)
- 1946 Intelligence Report: Islam - A Threat to World Stability (23-Jun-2007)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Donald Trump, Taiwan, Tsai Ing-wen,
China, Philippines, South China Sea, Permanent Court of Arbitration,
Harry Truman, Truman Doctrine, John Kennedy
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
