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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 17-Jan-17 World View -- European leaders shocked and surprised at Trump's foreign policy comments

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • China threatens to 'take off the gloves' with Donald Trump
  • European leaders shocked and surprised at Trump's foreign policy comments

****
**** China threatens to 'take off the gloves' with Donald Trump
****


[Image: g170116b.jpg]
Trump interview on Monday (dpa)

A kind of war of words continues to grow between by president-elect
Donald Trump and China's media over Trump's repeated comments
appearing to challenge the "One-China Policy," which states that there
is one China, not two, but leaves it to mainland China and Taiwan to
interpret it differently.

Recently, an editorial in China's Global Times threatened "revenge"
against Trump over his comments. Although Global Times is Chinese
state media, it is the most nationalistic of the state
English-language publications, and its editorials are sometimes
ignored just ravings.

So it's worth noting that the latest editorial with a threat is in
China Daily, which is a more mainstream state media outline. The
editorial appears to be carefully worded, talking about China's "warm
heart" at the beginning, and leaving the threat of taking the "gloves
off" almost to the end.

According to the editorial, because Trump is making repeated comments,
he's now "showing intent" to challenge the policy:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"When it comes to tolerance, it is our tradition to
> display a big heart. That is why one can normally get away with
> making the same mistake twice, as one will be given the benefit of
> the doubt.
>
> But one will seldom be given the benefit of the doubt twice,
> because doing the same wrong for a third time shows intent.
>
> When United States president-elect Donald Trump broke his
> country's longstanding diplomatic protocol and answered a
> "congratulatory call" from Taiwan leader Tsai Ing-wen, the Chinese
> foreign minister merely responded by calling it a "petty trick" by
> Taipei.
>
> When, just nine days later, Trump told Fox News Sunday the US
> would not "be bound by the one-China policy", Beijing simply
> reiterated that acknowledgement of one China is fundamental, and
> non-negotiable, for healthy ties.
>
> To many, that was a mistake Trump made twice. ...
>
> It seems wishful thinking to assume Trump and his team's remarks
> on Taiwan have been based on bluster or miscalculation. On the
> contrary, it appears the next administration is intending to use
> the one-China policy as its trump card. ...
>
> If Trump is determined to use this gambit on taking office, a
> period of fierce, damaging interactions will be unavoidable, as
> Beijing will have no choice but to take off the
> gloves."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

The latest Global Times editorial says that "China cannot and will not
offer anything in exchange for the one-China policy, and Trump must
understand that." It adds that China will be closely watching what
Trump does as president rather than what he has been saying. China Daily and Global Times (Beijing)

****
**** European leaders shocked and surprised at Trump's foreign policy comments
****


European leaders are expressing shock and surprise at comments made by
president-elect Donald Trump in a pair of newspaper interviews.

Trump expressed great support for Brexit, referring to the plans
underway for Britain to leave the European Union:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"I think Brexit’s going to end up being the great
> thing. And I predicted it – but the heat I took was
> unbelievable. And I said – it’s because people don’t wanna have
> other people coming in and destroying their country. I thought the
> UK was so smart in getting out."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

Trump said that NATO is obsolete:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"And I said long time ago that NATO had problems and
> the one of them it was obsolete because it was designed many many
> years ago. And, number two, the countries weren’t paying what they
> were supposed to pay."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

Trump's attitudes on immigrants are well-known, after his campaign
remarks about Mexican immigrants being rapists and murderers and about
deporting all Muslims. He's highly critical of the 2015 remarks by
Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel which many people blame for much of
the refugee crisis in Europe. In the interview, Trump said:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"I have great respect for her (Merkel), I felt she was
> a great great leader. I think she made one very catastrophic
> mistake – and that was taking all of these illegals, taking all of
> the people wherever they come from – and nobody really knows where
> they come from."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

European leaders have expressed shock and dismay at Trump's remarks,
but were careful not to inflame the situation further. Some pointed
out that not all immigrants are illegals.

From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, the question is: How
are these remarks affecting the course of events? As long-time
readers are aware, Generational Dynamics predicts that the world is
headed for a new world war, and that this will be brought about by a
worldwide renewal of nationalism, racism and xenophobia, as the
survivors of World War II continue to die off, and memories of the
horrors of WW II are forgotten.

My own belief is that Trump's remarks will have no effect at all on
the course of events, except to create a flurry of global political
posturing. The events of the next year may prove or disprove that
belief. Euro News and Deutsche Welle and France 24

Related Articles


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Donald Trump, China, Taiwan, One-China policy,
Brexit, Germany, Angela Merkel, Nato
Generational Dynamics, Donald Trump, China, Taiwan, One-China policy,
Brexit, Germany, Angela Merkel, Nato

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John J. Xenakis
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17-Jan-17 World View -- European leaders shocked and surprised at Trump's statements - by John J. Xenakis - 01-16-2017, 11:35 PM
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