02-05-2017, 03:27 PM
John Xenakis,
I absolutely agree with you that we are in a position analogous to the 1930s, now. I view a major crisis war as a real possibility, which I have discussed on this and the previous board at length. My readings of S & H, Thompson and Modelski, Mearsheimer, and others inclines me to believe that China, as the major rising power in the international system today, and the US, as the existing hegemon, will play a major role in coming conflicts. That's why I am talking about this with you, Mikebert, and others. The only difference I see (beyond some quibbles over finer points of theory/turning placement for certain countries) is that I disagree that China and Russia are going to be adversaries this time around. I absolutely support the efforts of Trump and some of his advisors, and similar right-wing parties in Europe, to effect a rapprochement with Russia, even if only for the short-term. I simply don't see bearing fruit to the extent you seem to.
I absolutely agree with you that we are in a position analogous to the 1930s, now. I view a major crisis war as a real possibility, which I have discussed on this and the previous board at length. My readings of S & H, Thompson and Modelski, Mearsheimer, and others inclines me to believe that China, as the major rising power in the international system today, and the US, as the existing hegemon, will play a major role in coming conflicts. That's why I am talking about this with you, Mikebert, and others. The only difference I see (beyond some quibbles over finer points of theory/turning placement for certain countries) is that I disagree that China and Russia are going to be adversaries this time around. I absolutely support the efforts of Trump and some of his advisors, and similar right-wing parties in Europe, to effect a rapprochement with Russia, even if only for the short-term. I simply don't see bearing fruit to the extent you seem to.