02-25-2017, 11:14 PM
*** 26-Feb-17 World View -- Syria's so-called ceasefire collapses after terrorist bombings in Homs
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Terrorist bombings in Homs Syria trigger retaliation by al-Assad regime
****
![[Image: g170225b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g170225b.jpg)
A recent picture of Homs, where the Syrian government claims that it has restored peace, security and stability (Der Spiegel)
Six suicide bombers infiltrated heavily guarded security centers in
Homs, Syria, on Saturday, killing 32 people and injuring 24 others.
Each of the two security centers was infiltrated in coordinated
attacks by three suicide bombers, where they began killing people with
gunfire before detonating their bombs.
In particular, Major-General Hassan Daaboul, head of Syrian regime's
Military Security Department, was killed during the attacks.
This was a very complex, well-planned major attack on some of the
regime's most highly secure military installations. At the very
least, this is a major embarrassment to Syria's president Bashar
al-Assad, and the attack was likely partially an inside job.
Syrian opposition leaders condemned the terrorist attack, and
suggested that only people with security clearances could get close to
the areas where the attacks took place.
Syrian state media is blaming the attack on Tahrir al-Sham, an
alliance of al-Qaeda linked terrorists, including Jabhat al-Nusra
(al-Nusra Front, now Jabhat Fateh al-Sham or JFS). According to
Syrian regime media, "the victories of the Syrian Army made the
terrorists frenzied and pushed them to commit this coward terrorist
atrocity in a hopeless attempt to undermine the capability of the
security services, which managed to establish security and stability
in Homs city."
The Syrian air force retaliated for the suicide bombings. The air
force had previously stopped bombing rebel-held positions around
Damascus because of an agreed ceasefire. The ceasefire was not really
being held anyway, but after today's suicide bombings, the Syrian
airforce resumed bombing Sunni enclaves around the city.
In a separate attack blamed on the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS
or ISIL or Daesh), terrorists shot mortar rocket shells into the
targeting several sites at a gas factory, including its main natural
gas pipeline, starting a fire.
Early in 2011, all Bashar al-Assad had to put up with in Homs was
peaceful protests. He responded to the peaceful protests with tanks,
gunfire, bombs and missiles. The picture at the top of this article
shows why there are no more peaceful protests. Now that al-Assad has
established "security and stability" in Homs, he no longer has to put
up with peaceful protesters. Instead, he has to deal with suicide
bombers from al-Nusra, and mortar rocket shells from ISIS. Sputnik News (Moscow) and SANA (Damascus) and AP and SANA (Damascus)
and Xinhua (Beijing)
Related Articles
****
**** Once again, so-called Syria 'peace talks' are near collapse
****
A new Syria peace conference is just beginning in Geneva. There
have been so many of these conferences, each one ending in farce,
so no one was expecting much from the one either. The multiple
coordinated attacks in Homs on Saturday seems to indicate that
this peace conference will end like the others.
Last year, Bashar al-Assad predicted that the destruction of
Aleppo was "history in the making," and would end the war:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"[The liberation of Aleppo was] history in the making
> and worthy of more than the word congratulations.
>
> History is being written in these moments. Every Syrian citizen is
> taking part in the writing. It started not today, but years ago
> when the crisis and the war on Syria began.
>
> I think that after the liberation of Aleppo we’ll talk about the
> situation as ... before the liberation of Aleppo and after the
> liberation of Aleppo."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
This was pure fantasy by al-Assad who, as I've written many times in
the past, is a delusional psychopath and genocidal war criminal.
Al-Assad was thought to believe that as soon as Aleppo was
destroyed, the jihadists groups would go home, as they had no
reason to go on fighting. As I've written many times, this
is a generational Awakening era in Syria, which means that
young people would never simply give up and go home.
In fact, this gives rise to a question I've raised many times.
Al-Assad started his massive exterminations of Sunni civilians,
including many women and children, simply because they were peacefully
protesting. Suppose, hypothetically, al-Assad "won" the war in some
sense. What would he do if young people started protesting again --
which would certainly happen in a generational Awakening era? Would
he start barrel-bombing innocent women and children again? And in a
generational Awakening era, you can be certain the protests would
continue.
So the obvious questions is - what happens now? Al-Nusra and ISIS
aren't even party to the so-called peace talks, so they're going to
continue fighting -- as long as al-Assad is in power. There is
no hope whatsoever of an end to this war in Syria as long as
al-Assad is in power.
Russia is widely believed to want to stop fighting in Syria.
Al-Assad's army was close to collapse, by al-Assad's own admission, in
2015, forcing Russia to enter the war to keep al-Assad's army from
collapsing completely. I've heard several analysts point out that
Russia's economic situation is so bad that the government has to cut
expenses, and withdrawing most Russian forces from Syria is one way to
do that.
It may at some point occur to Russia's president Vladimir Putin
that if he wants the war in Syria to end, then he has to stop
supporting Bashar al-Assad, and allow someone else to replace him.
There's no sign of anything like that yet, especially because
Iran is bitterly opposed to allowing al-Assad to step down,
but Putin at some point may realize that it's the best choice
for Russia.
Generational Dynamics predicts that the Mideast is headed for a major
regional war, pitting Jews against Arabs, Sunnis against Shias, and
various ethnic groups against each other. Reuters (24-Feb) and AFP and Reuters and RTE (Ireland)
Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Syria, Homs, Bashar al-Assad, Hassan Daaboul,
Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Nusra Front, Tahrir al-Sham,
Jabhat Fateh al-Sham, JFS, Front for the Conquest of Syria,
Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh,
Aleppo, Russia, Iran
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Terrorist bombings in Homs Syria trigger retaliation by al-Assad regime
- Once again, so-called Syria 'peace talks' are near collapse
****
**** Terrorist bombings in Homs Syria trigger retaliation by al-Assad regime
****
A recent picture of Homs, where the Syrian government claims that it has restored peace, security and stability (Der Spiegel)
Six suicide bombers infiltrated heavily guarded security centers in
Homs, Syria, on Saturday, killing 32 people and injuring 24 others.
Each of the two security centers was infiltrated in coordinated
attacks by three suicide bombers, where they began killing people with
gunfire before detonating their bombs.
In particular, Major-General Hassan Daaboul, head of Syrian regime's
Military Security Department, was killed during the attacks.
This was a very complex, well-planned major attack on some of the
regime's most highly secure military installations. At the very
least, this is a major embarrassment to Syria's president Bashar
al-Assad, and the attack was likely partially an inside job.
Syrian opposition leaders condemned the terrorist attack, and
suggested that only people with security clearances could get close to
the areas where the attacks took place.
Syrian state media is blaming the attack on Tahrir al-Sham, an
alliance of al-Qaeda linked terrorists, including Jabhat al-Nusra
(al-Nusra Front, now Jabhat Fateh al-Sham or JFS). According to
Syrian regime media, "the victories of the Syrian Army made the
terrorists frenzied and pushed them to commit this coward terrorist
atrocity in a hopeless attempt to undermine the capability of the
security services, which managed to establish security and stability
in Homs city."
The Syrian air force retaliated for the suicide bombings. The air
force had previously stopped bombing rebel-held positions around
Damascus because of an agreed ceasefire. The ceasefire was not really
being held anyway, but after today's suicide bombings, the Syrian
airforce resumed bombing Sunni enclaves around the city.
In a separate attack blamed on the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS
or ISIL or Daesh), terrorists shot mortar rocket shells into the
targeting several sites at a gas factory, including its main natural
gas pipeline, starting a fire.
Early in 2011, all Bashar al-Assad had to put up with in Homs was
peaceful protests. He responded to the peaceful protests with tanks,
gunfire, bombs and missiles. The picture at the top of this article
shows why there are no more peaceful protests. Now that al-Assad has
established "security and stability" in Homs, he no longer has to put
up with peaceful protesters. Instead, he has to deal with suicide
bombers from al-Nusra, and mortar rocket shells from ISIS. Sputnik News (Moscow) and SANA (Damascus) and AP and SANA (Damascus)
and Xinhua (Beijing)
Related Articles
- Syrian forces massively assaulting city of Homs (22-Jul-2011)
- Syria's regime launches 'sickening' assault on Homs (22-Feb-2012)
****
**** Once again, so-called Syria 'peace talks' are near collapse
****
A new Syria peace conference is just beginning in Geneva. There
have been so many of these conferences, each one ending in farce,
so no one was expecting much from the one either. The multiple
coordinated attacks in Homs on Saturday seems to indicate that
this peace conference will end like the others.
Last year, Bashar al-Assad predicted that the destruction of
Aleppo was "history in the making," and would end the war:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"[The liberation of Aleppo was] history in the making
> and worthy of more than the word congratulations.
>
> History is being written in these moments. Every Syrian citizen is
> taking part in the writing. It started not today, but years ago
> when the crisis and the war on Syria began.
>
> I think that after the liberation of Aleppo we’ll talk about the
> situation as ... before the liberation of Aleppo and after the
> liberation of Aleppo."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
This was pure fantasy by al-Assad who, as I've written many times in
the past, is a delusional psychopath and genocidal war criminal.
Al-Assad was thought to believe that as soon as Aleppo was
destroyed, the jihadists groups would go home, as they had no
reason to go on fighting. As I've written many times, this
is a generational Awakening era in Syria, which means that
young people would never simply give up and go home.
In fact, this gives rise to a question I've raised many times.
Al-Assad started his massive exterminations of Sunni civilians,
including many women and children, simply because they were peacefully
protesting. Suppose, hypothetically, al-Assad "won" the war in some
sense. What would he do if young people started protesting again --
which would certainly happen in a generational Awakening era? Would
he start barrel-bombing innocent women and children again? And in a
generational Awakening era, you can be certain the protests would
continue.
So the obvious questions is - what happens now? Al-Nusra and ISIS
aren't even party to the so-called peace talks, so they're going to
continue fighting -- as long as al-Assad is in power. There is
no hope whatsoever of an end to this war in Syria as long as
al-Assad is in power.
Russia is widely believed to want to stop fighting in Syria.
Al-Assad's army was close to collapse, by al-Assad's own admission, in
2015, forcing Russia to enter the war to keep al-Assad's army from
collapsing completely. I've heard several analysts point out that
Russia's economic situation is so bad that the government has to cut
expenses, and withdrawing most Russian forces from Syria is one way to
do that.
It may at some point occur to Russia's president Vladimir Putin
that if he wants the war in Syria to end, then he has to stop
supporting Bashar al-Assad, and allow someone else to replace him.
There's no sign of anything like that yet, especially because
Iran is bitterly opposed to allowing al-Assad to step down,
but Putin at some point may realize that it's the best choice
for Russia.
Generational Dynamics predicts that the Mideast is headed for a major
regional war, pitting Jews against Arabs, Sunnis against Shias, and
various ethnic groups against each other. Reuters (24-Feb) and AFP and Reuters and RTE (Ireland)
Related Articles
- Investigation reveals depraved new atrocities by Syria's Bashar al-Assad (08-Feb-2017)
- Russia, Iran, Turkey sign farcical Syria peace agreement (25-Jan-2017)
- UN Syria envoy Staffan de Mistura predicts total destruction of Aleppo by Christmas (07-Oct-2016)
- From 2013: The history of how Syria's Bashar al-Assad created ISIS (07-Sep-2016)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Syria, Homs, Bashar al-Assad, Hassan Daaboul,
Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Nusra Front, Tahrir al-Sham,
Jabhat Fateh al-Sham, JFS, Front for the Conquest of Syria,
Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh,
Aleppo, Russia, Iran
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
