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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 22-Apr-17 World View -- Kashmiri students at two Indian colleges harassed and beaten

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Kashmiri students at two Indian colleges harassed and beaten
  • Indians seek solutions and blame intervention from Pakistan and China

****
**** Kashmiri students at two Indian colleges harassed and beaten
****


[Image: g170421b.jpg]
Kashmiri students at Rajasthan University (Kashmir Monitor)

It seems that hardly a day goes by without the situation in
Indian-governed Kashmir becoming worse than the day before.

Students studying in colleges in India far from Kashmir are being
harassed and beaten by perpetrators described a "nationalist Hindus."

At Rajasthan University, six Muslim Kashmiri students were called
"terrorists" and assaulted by locals. According to one:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"Six of us were assaulted in three separate attacks
> that took place at the same time in the market. The attacks seemed
> coordinated. They hurled abuses, called us terrorists and said we
> throw stones at the army. They told us to go back to Kashmir and
> threatened that they won’t let us study here."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

The words "said we throw stones at the army" refers to the worsening
situation in Kashmir, where separatists are throwing stones at police
and army personnel, and security forces are shooting Kashmiris with
pellet guns, sometimes blinding them.

At another college, Rawal Institute of Technology, female Kashmiri
students are being harassed and threatened. According to one student,
"The boys used abusive language today and followed Kashmiri girls
which led to clashes between Kashmir boys and offenders."

I've written enough of these stories about Kashmir to know how
emotional the responses to this article will be. Some people will put
the blame entirely on the Muslims, or at least on the Kashmiri
separatists, and other people will put the blame entirely on the
Hindus, or at least on the government security forces.

But I'm just reporting an ongoing situation that gets worse almost
every day, and is almost certainly going to lead to war.

India's Home Affairs Minister Rajnath Singh issued a directive saying
that the Kashmiris were part of India's "family," and that:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"The Kashmiri youth also contribute in the progress of
> India. Action should be taken by the states against those who
> target them."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

Many Indians blame the "Islamization" of Kashmir by Pakistan. On the
other hand, Pakistan's Foreign Office spokesman Nafees Zakaria said:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"Indian occupation forces have launched an all-out war
> on Kashmiri students. They have attacked women’s education
> institutions as well. A dozen colleges have been attacked,
> injuring thousands of students – both boys and
> girls."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

Whatever the truth is, it's clear that the situation in Kashmir has
worsened significantly in the last year, and even worsened
significantly in the last couple of weeks. Kashmir Monitor and Kashmir Observer and Express Tribune (Pakistan)

Related Articles

****
**** Indians seek solutions and blame intervention from Pakistan and China
****


As I've written many times, the situation in Kashmir is on a trend
line that's spiraling into full-scale war. From the point of view of
Generational Dynamics, Kashmir is replaying previous generations of
violence according to a fairly standard template.

India's previous two generational crisis wars were India's 1857
Rebellion, which pitted Hindu nationalists against British colonists,
and the 1947 Partition War, one of the bloodiest wars of the 20th
century, pitting Hindus versus Muslims, following the partitioning of
the Indian subcontinent into India and Pakistan. Now, as the
survivors of the 1947 Partition War have almost all died off, leaving
behind younger generations with no fear of repeating past disasters,
Kashmir is showing signs of repeating the violence of 1857 and 1947.

Indians accuse Pakistan of encouraging the Kashmir violence, and even
supporting it with money and weapons. There's little doubt that the
accusations are true. After all, Pakistan's Inter-Services
Intelligence (ISI) organization has funded terrorist groups that have
attacked targets in both India and Pakistan.

And now an opinion writer is blaming China:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"While the Chinese claim to have been miffed over the
> Dalai Lama’s visit to Tawang and Arunachal Pradesh, and have now
> given Chinese names to places in that state to buttress their
> territorial claims, the reality is that the dragon is keen to have
> the status quo changed in Jammu & Kashmir too. Reason: large parts
> of Pakistan-occupied Kashmir are critical to its new
> China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), including land access to
> Gwadar port in Balochistan.
>
> Without the covert Chinese go-ahead to Pakistani aims in J&K, it
> is doubtful if an economically and politically isolated country
> would have dared change the game in Kashmir Valley. Here’s what’s
> new in this round of bloodletting in the Valley. ...
>
> China may not be overtly keen to promote Pakistan-based jihadis
> who may well end up becoming a headache in its own Xinjiang
> province, where the Muslim Uighurs are restive. But one thing is
> certain: it appears to have decided to prop up the Pakistani deep
> state, both to further its own economic interests, and as a way of
> containing India.
>
> Chinese pressure on Pakistan to declare Gilgit-Baltistan as its
> fifth province is key to legalizing its highway to Gwadar, which
> passes through this area. China has decided that a strong Pakistan
> is in its interests – and this has negative consequences for
> India, especially in terms of Pakistan’s Kashmir
> policy."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

It's very likely that this accusation is true as well. After all,
China is building artificial islands in the South China Sea, and
using its vast military power to threaten regions belonging to
Vietnam, the Philippines, Japan and India. So China wouldn't
hesitate to subvert Kashmir for its own imagined benefit.

The problem is that while these accusations are true, they make no
difference. Pakistan, and probably China, have been subverting
Kashmir for years, but it had only a transient effect until the last
year. What's changed is that the younger generations, with little
fear of a new war, are driving the violence. The growing violence in
Kashmir is leading to all-out war, and it won't be stopped.

One Indian editorial writer is claiming that the problems in Kashmir
can be solved, and that there are three solutions:
  • Deport the Muslim separatists from Kashmir Valley.
  • Be tough with stone-pelting mobs, but use non-lethal force.
  • Keep existing promises on distributing funds for flood relief,
    investing in the Valley and rehabilitating Pandits.

Of course these "solutions" are completely delusional, though it's
good to have them listed. I do wonder if these solutions might have
been effective if they had been adopted wholeheartedly starting in the
1970s. At any rate, it's way too late now.

Furthermore, with Kashmiri students being harassed and beaten in
colleges far away from Kashmir, we're seeing the Kashmir violence
begin to spread to other parts of India. This is a new development,
and it portends more and more violence this summer.

As I've been writing for years, Generational Dynamics predicts that in
the approaching Clash of Civilizations world war, and that China,
Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim countries will be pitted against the US,
India, Russia and Iran. Times of India and BBC and Daily O (India)

Related Articles

KEYS: Generational Dynamics, India, Kashmir, Rajasthan University,
Rawal Institute of Technology, Rajnath Singh,
Pakistan, Nafees Zakaria, China

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John J. Xenakis
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-14-2016, 03:21 PM
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 01-18-2017, 09:23 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 02-04-2017, 10:08 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 03-13-2017, 03:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 02:56 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 03:13 PM
22-Apr-17 World View -- Kashmiri students at two Indian colleges harassed and beaten - by John J. Xenakis - 04-21-2017, 10:25 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 05-30-2017, 01:04 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 07-08-2017, 01:34 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-09-2017, 11:07 AM
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-18-2018, 03:42 AM
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-16-2020, 03:21 PM
RE: 58 year rule - by Tim Randal Walker - 04-01-2020, 11:17 AM
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