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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 2-Dec-17 World View -- UN asks for 2018 increase in humanitarian aid despite compassion fatigue

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • UN asks for 2018 increase in humanitarian aid despite compassion fatigue
  • Humanitarian crises continue to grow year after year

****
**** UN asks for 2018 increase in humanitarian aid despite compassion fatigue
****


[Image: g171201b.gif]
Funding gap for humanitarian aid for each year 2007-2017, showing gap between needed funds and received funds. HRP = Humanitarian Response Plans.

The United Nations is asking the world community for an increase in
donations for humanitarian aid, requesting $22.5 billion for 2018,
above the $22 billion originally requested for 2017. More than $10
billion is needed to address the humanitarian crises in Syria and
Yemen alone.

According to the "Global Humanitarian Overview 2018" report published
on Friday:

<QUOTE>"Many humanitarian crises have become so protracted
that they seem permanent. Nineteen of the 21 humanitarian response
plans presented in this overview are for humanitarian crises that
have been running for five years or more. Three have had
humanitarian plans and appeals each year for at least 18 years
(Democratic Republic of the Congo, Sudan and Somalia).

The steep rise in funding requirements over the years is mainly
driven by a set of large-scale protracted crises with humanitarian
funding requirements over a billion dollars per year (primarily
the Syria crisis, Yemen and South Sudan).

Food insecurity is also often a consequence of protracted
conflict. In late 2017, the Famine Early Warning Systems Network
(FEWSNet) highlighted 12 countries in which at least a
half-million people will need emergency food assistance (Yemen,
Ethiopia, South Sudan, Afghanistan, Nigeria, Somalia, Sudan, DR
Congo, Uganda, Kenya, Central African Republic and Niger). Of
these, five are rated in the ‘emergency’ phase of food insecurity,
one step short of the worst phase of ‘famine’. Four (Yemen, South
Sudan, Somalia and Nigeria) are still at risk of famine
conditions."<END QUOTE>


In the request for 2017 (the current year), the $22 billion was
requested to\help 92.8 million people in need. Over the course of the
year 2017, additional crises increased the need for $24 billion, to
help 105.1 million people.

However, there's little chance and the UN will get the funding that
it's requesting. The number of humanitarian crises around the world
has been increasing sharply. This requires a lot more humanitarian
aid, but it also creates a lot more "compassion fatigue" among
potential donors, who (correctly) see the demands for humanitarian aid
increasing constantly, but then draw the conclusion that they are no
longer willing to respond with money.

The graph above shows the funding requested (black line) and funding
received (blue line). As the graph shows, the amount of funding
requested has been increasing much faster than the amount of funding
received.

So in 2017, $22 billion was initially requested, rising to $24 billion
during the year, but the actual funding received was just $12.6
billion, or just 52% of the amount needed, according to the UN.
Relief Web and Global Humanitarian Overview 2018 (PDF)

****
**** Humanitarian crises continue to grow year after year
****


As you can see from the above graph, the amount of funding requested
went up during the financial crisis until 2010, then fell and leveled
off, and then began to surge in 2012. This was the time following the
"Arab Spring," when the Mideast and other places in the world began to
seriously destabilize. In the Mideast, the war in Libya began, and
the genocide in Syria by the Bashar al-Assad also began. More crises
began in the years that followed. In Central Asia, the Burma genocide
and ethnic cleansing of the Rohingya Muslims began. In North America,
the Haiti earthquake was an enormous disaster. In Africa, wars in
South Sudan, Mali, and Central African Republic started, followed by
the war in Yemen.

On top of that, there were continuing humanitarian crises in some
countries. In three countries, they had lasted for at least 18 years:
Democratic Republic of the Congo, Sudan, and Somalia.

I remember reading an article in 2004 claiming that the number of wars
in the world was at the lowest in history. That was the end of the
generational Unraveling era, a time during the 1990s when the world
was run by the Silent generation of people who had grown up in the
1930s. They had lived through World War II, and had learned the
dangers of extreme nationalism, xenophobia, large refugee flows, and
unmet humanitarian crises. Since the world leaders were well aware of
these dangers, they made sure that they wouldn't spiral out of
control.

Since 2003-4, most of the world has been in a generational Crisis era,
with the survivors of WW II disappearing. And now, about 14 years
into a Crisis era, we see all the things that led to WW II occurring
again, leading up to a new world war. The things that the World War
II survivors devoted their lives to keep from happening again are now
happening again and spiraling out of control.

In yesterday's World View article

on the rise of slavery and slave auctions in Libya, I described how
huge migration flows in Africa, the Mideast, Central Asia, and even in
Beijing China are destabilizing major regions of the world, depleting
resources and triggering xenophobia and violence. At the same time,
"compassion fatigue" means that less aid is available for desperate
people.

All of these factors -- slave auctions, growing refugee flows, growing
humanitarian crises -- are factors that have occurred in the 1930s and
prior to other major wars in history, and they are only going to
continue growing, and lead to a new world war.

In 2018, expect more countries to become unstable, more refugee flows,
more slave auctions, and more humanitarian crises, and expect more
intolerance and political bickering by politicians overwhelmed by the
crises and looking for easy solutions that don't exist. From the
point of view of Generational Dynamics, that's what always happens in
a generational Crisis era. AFP and Al Jazeera and Reuters

Related Articles


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, United Nations, Global Humanitarian Overview,
Syria, Yemen, Sudan, Libya, Burma, Myanmar,
Democratic Republic of the Congo, Sudan, Somalia

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John J. Xenakis
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by noway2 - 11-20-2017, 04:31 PM
2-Dec-17 World View -- UN asks for 2018 increase in humanitarian aid despite compassi - by John J. Xenakis - 12-01-2017, 11:35 PM
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