12-25-2017, 05:41 PM
(12-25-2017, 12:10 AM)Cynic Hero 86 Wrote: > These paragraphs as currently phrased is nonsense. The danger of
> war between China and the US comes from the fact China wants to
> invade Taiwan as well as the hostility between China and Japan
> left over from WW2 and the fact that the US is obligated to defend
> these countries. Those countries therefore don't have the option
> of remaining neutral in a war with China. It is America that has
> the option of neutrality. The danger of war with China comes from
> the fact that if war breaks out between China and Taiwan or China
> and Japan, the Chinese would be tempted to attack the US as well
> due to the defence treaty. Thus There are potential scenarios in
> which China attacks taiwan, japan and the US simulataniously or
> instead China attacks taiwan or even Japan without attacking the
> US. However there is no possibility of China attacking the US
> without also attacking Japan and Taiwan. This is because if you
> took away the interlocking treaty system, there would afterwards
> be no casus belli between China and the US. However if you took
> away said treaties the hostility between China and Taiwan and
> especially China and Japan would still exist.
I agree that there's no casus belli between China and the US,
especially since the US saved China's butt in WW II. But was there a
casus belli between Japan and the US or between Britain and
Germany in WW II?
I keep comparing generational crisis wars to sexual affairs because
they're entirely emotional, and are often completely irrational.
Erotic desire is a very powerful emotion in an individual, and
nationalism and xenophobia are very powerful emotions in a generation
or an entire population. People destroy their lives for no good
reason by having an affair, and countries destroy their way of life
for no good reason by launching a generational crisis war.
Friedrich Nietzsche: "Insanity in individuals is something rare -
but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule."