02-10-2018, 11:41 PM
*** 11-Feb-18 World View -- Syrian war escalates sharply, after Israel, Iran, Turkey and Russia all lose aircraft
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Israel's F-16 warplane shot down in aftermath of downing Iranian drone
****
![[Image: g180210b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g180210b.jpg)
Russian warplane shot down in Idlib province last week by al-Qaeda linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), using a portable surface-to-air missile. (AFP)
It was just a week ago, on February 3, that a Russian warplane was
shot down in Idlib province by al-Qaeda linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham
(HTS), using a portable surface-to-air missile. The pilot ejected,
and was killed on the ground.
An Israeli F-16 warplane was shot down on Saturday by massive
anti-aircraft fire fired by the regime of Syria's president Bashar
al-Assad and by Hezbollah in Lebanon. Both pilots ejected and were
rescued on Israeli soil. One pilot was severely injured.
The series of incidents began when Israel detected what it assessed
was an Iranian drone crossing into Israel from Syria. The Iranian
drone was successfully intercepted by an Apache combat helicopter.
the drone was downed by the Apache and recovered intact.
The drone had been launched from an Iranian launch pad near Palmyra in
central Syria. Israel retaliated with an air strikes against the
launch pad, as well as against a dozen Syrian and Iranian targets.
Israel's warplanes were met with heavy anti-aircraft fire from both
Syria and Lebanon, suggesting that the drone attack might have been a
planned ambush, with retaliation by the Syrian regime and Hezbollah.
One Israeli F-16 warplane was downed by a Syrian anti-aircraft weapon,
most likely an SA-5 supplied by Iran.
Iran's foreign ministry spokesman said that Iran was only in Syria in
an "advisory" role:
<QUOTE>"The claim about the flight of an Iranian drone and
Iran’s involvement in the downing of a Zionist fighter jet is so
ridiculous that it does not merit a comment.
This is because the Islamic Republic of Iran has advisory presence
in Syria at the request of the country’s legitimate and lawful
government."<END QUOTE>
Iran's Brigadier General Hossein Salami was even more belligerent,
saying that Iran would create a "hell" for the Zionists, and that all
American military bases in the region are within range of Iranian
missile strikes.
Many analysts had hoped that the Iran nuclear deal would moderate
Iran's behavior. Instead, it appears that the infusion of huge
amounts of money by lifting sanctions has made Iran much more
aggressive in Syria, Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen. Iran continues to
militarize its "Shia Crescent," and threaten Israel.
Israel's prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu said:
<QUOTE>"I've been warning for some time about the dangers of
Iran's military entrenchment in Syria. Iran seeks to us a Syrian
territory to attack Israel, for its professed goal of destroying
Israel. ...
Our policy is absolutely clear: Israel will defend
itself against any attack and any attempt to harm our sovereignty.
Iran made such an attempt today. It violated our sovereignty, it
infiltrated Israeli territory with an [unmanned] aircraft from
Syrian territory.
This is both our right and our duty and we will continue to do so
as much as necessary. Let no one make a mistake about
this."<END QUOTE>
Reuven Ben Shalom, a former Israeli fighter pilot, was even more
belligerent, saying that Israel's aggressive actions send a clear
message to Iran and Syria:
<QUOTE>"This demonstrates our capabilities, demonstrates our
resolve not to allow the breach of Israeli sovereignty. That means
we can do whatever we want to do, we can take out any component we
want, wherever we want. And I think it’s good that our enemies
learn and understand these capabilities."<END QUOTE>
Debka (Israel) and Jerusalem Post and Tasnim News (Tehran) and Tasnim News and VOA
Related Articles
****
**** Turkish helicopter shot down in Afrin, days after Russian warplane downed in Idlib
****
On January 20, Turkey began its invasion of northern Syria, ironically
named "Operation Olive Branch," to defeat the Kurdish People’s
Protection Units (YPG). The plan was a quick victory in the northern
city of Afrin, followed by an advance eastward toward Manbij, where it
was feared that they would clash with US forces.
Achieving victory in Afrin has been going slower than promised, and on
Saturday, YPG militias shot down a Turkish helicopter, resulting in
the deaths of up to 11 Turkish soldiers.
Estimates are that since Operation Olive Branch began, the YPG has
killed over 20 Turkish soldiers, and the Turks have killed over 150
Kurdish fight.
On Saturday, Turkey's president Recep Tayyip Erdogan gave a speech,
saying:
<QUOTE>"A little while ago, one of our helicopters was
downed. Of course all these things will happen - we are in a war.
We will have losses, but we will also cause losses. Yesterday we
destroyed and annihilated a very large rocket depot. Of course
the YPG got mad about that. But of course we will make them pay
heavily for that. Maybe one of our helicopters is gone, but they
will pay for this. Not in kind, but so much more, because we are
determined, and we believe we are superior. We will succeed in
this as well."<END QUOTE>
It was just a week ago, on February 3, that a Russian warplane was
shot down in Idlib province by al-Qaeda linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham
(HTS), using a portable surface-to-air missile. The pilot ejected,
and was killed on the ground.
Russia and Syria have both been taking revenge this past week by
massive bombing of civilian neighborhoods in Eastern Ghouta and Idlib,
including continued use of chlorine gas. Estimates are that 230
civilians have been killed by Russia and Syria in the last week.
Hurriyet (Ankara) and Reuters and Globe and Mail (Canada)
Related Articles
****
**** With defeat of ISIS, war escalates, and Syria becomes more fragmented and chaotic
****
The war in Syria has sharply escalated this week. Four countries have
lost a military aircraft in Syria in the last week. On Saturday,
three countries lost military aircraft on a single day, just days
after the same happened to a fourth country. So Iran lost a drone,
Israel lost a warplane, Turkey lost a helicopter, and Russia lost a
warplane.
There are at least 14 armies and militias operating in Syria now:
Syria, Russia, Iran, Hezbollah, Turkey, Free Syrian Army (FSA), Syrian
Democratic Forces (SDF), People’s Protection Units (YPG), Saudi
Arabia, Iraq, Israel, United States, al-Qaeda linked Hayat Tahrir
al-Sham (HTS), and the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or
Daesh).
Sometimes the alliances are clear. For example, Turkey and the FSA
are allied against the SDF and the YPG. Syria, Iran and Hezbollah are
allied against Israel. Syria, Iran, Hezbollah and Russia are allied
against Sunni civilians. In other cases, the alliances are fuzzy,
such as the relationship between Turkey and the FSA.
As we've been saying for months, all of these forces (except ISIS)
have been united only in that they were all nominally fighting against
ISIS, albeit with a variety of hidden and conflicting objectives. Now
that ISIS has been defeated, all of these conflicting objectives have
been exposed, and all of these different armies and militias have no
one to shoot at but each other.
Each of these 14 armies and militias has a different objective. Some
of them want a piece of Syria. Other just want to keep someone else
from getting a piece of Syria. In the middle of everything, you have
the psychopathic war criminal Bashar al-Assad. These conflicting
objectives mean that there will be no peace in Syria for a long, long
time. The Drive
Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Syria, Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu,
Reuven Ben Shalom, Hossein Salami,
Iran, Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Hezbollah,
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, HTS, Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Nusra Front,
Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh,
Eastern Ghouta, Hama, Idlib, barrel bombs,
chlorine, ammonia, phosphorous, Sarin gas,
People’s Protection Units, YPG, Afrin, Manbij
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Israel's F-16 warplane shot down in aftermath of downing Iranian drone
- Turkish helicopter shot down in Afrin, days after Russian warplane downed in Idlib
- With defeat of ISIS, war escalates, and Syria becomes more fragmented and chaotic
****
**** Israel's F-16 warplane shot down in aftermath of downing Iranian drone
****
Russian warplane shot down in Idlib province last week by al-Qaeda linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), using a portable surface-to-air missile. (AFP)
It was just a week ago, on February 3, that a Russian warplane was
shot down in Idlib province by al-Qaeda linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham
(HTS), using a portable surface-to-air missile. The pilot ejected,
and was killed on the ground.
An Israeli F-16 warplane was shot down on Saturday by massive
anti-aircraft fire fired by the regime of Syria's president Bashar
al-Assad and by Hezbollah in Lebanon. Both pilots ejected and were
rescued on Israeli soil. One pilot was severely injured.
The series of incidents began when Israel detected what it assessed
was an Iranian drone crossing into Israel from Syria. The Iranian
drone was successfully intercepted by an Apache combat helicopter.
the drone was downed by the Apache and recovered intact.
The drone had been launched from an Iranian launch pad near Palmyra in
central Syria. Israel retaliated with an air strikes against the
launch pad, as well as against a dozen Syrian and Iranian targets.
Israel's warplanes were met with heavy anti-aircraft fire from both
Syria and Lebanon, suggesting that the drone attack might have been a
planned ambush, with retaliation by the Syrian regime and Hezbollah.
One Israeli F-16 warplane was downed by a Syrian anti-aircraft weapon,
most likely an SA-5 supplied by Iran.
Iran's foreign ministry spokesman said that Iran was only in Syria in
an "advisory" role:
<QUOTE>"The claim about the flight of an Iranian drone and
Iran’s involvement in the downing of a Zionist fighter jet is so
ridiculous that it does not merit a comment.
This is because the Islamic Republic of Iran has advisory presence
in Syria at the request of the country’s legitimate and lawful
government."<END QUOTE>
Iran's Brigadier General Hossein Salami was even more belligerent,
saying that Iran would create a "hell" for the Zionists, and that all
American military bases in the region are within range of Iranian
missile strikes.
Many analysts had hoped that the Iran nuclear deal would moderate
Iran's behavior. Instead, it appears that the infusion of huge
amounts of money by lifting sanctions has made Iran much more
aggressive in Syria, Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen. Iran continues to
militarize its "Shia Crescent," and threaten Israel.
Israel's prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu said:
<QUOTE>"I've been warning for some time about the dangers of
Iran's military entrenchment in Syria. Iran seeks to us a Syrian
territory to attack Israel, for its professed goal of destroying
Israel. ...
Our policy is absolutely clear: Israel will defend
itself against any attack and any attempt to harm our sovereignty.
Iran made such an attempt today. It violated our sovereignty, it
infiltrated Israeli territory with an [unmanned] aircraft from
Syrian territory.
This is both our right and our duty and we will continue to do so
as much as necessary. Let no one make a mistake about
this."<END QUOTE>
Reuven Ben Shalom, a former Israeli fighter pilot, was even more
belligerent, saying that Israel's aggressive actions send a clear
message to Iran and Syria:
<QUOTE>"This demonstrates our capabilities, demonstrates our
resolve not to allow the breach of Israeli sovereignty. That means
we can do whatever we want to do, we can take out any component we
want, wherever we want. And I think it’s good that our enemies
learn and understand these capabilities."<END QUOTE>
Debka (Israel) and Jerusalem Post and Tasnim News (Tehran) and Tasnim News and VOA
Related Articles
- Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah heading for a military confrontation in Syria (26-Dec-2017)
- Israel and Syria have unprecedented missile clash over Jordan (19-Mar-2017)
- Syria says that Israel bombed al-Mazzeh military airport near Damascus (14-Jan-2017)
- Hezbollah building tunnels into Israel to prepare for next war (04-Jun-2016)
****
**** Turkish helicopter shot down in Afrin, days after Russian warplane downed in Idlib
****
On January 20, Turkey began its invasion of northern Syria, ironically
named "Operation Olive Branch," to defeat the Kurdish People’s
Protection Units (YPG). The plan was a quick victory in the northern
city of Afrin, followed by an advance eastward toward Manbij, where it
was feared that they would clash with US forces.
Achieving victory in Afrin has been going slower than promised, and on
Saturday, YPG militias shot down a Turkish helicopter, resulting in
the deaths of up to 11 Turkish soldiers.
Estimates are that since Operation Olive Branch began, the YPG has
killed over 20 Turkish soldiers, and the Turks have killed over 150
Kurdish fight.
On Saturday, Turkey's president Recep Tayyip Erdogan gave a speech,
saying:
<QUOTE>"A little while ago, one of our helicopters was
downed. Of course all these things will happen - we are in a war.
We will have losses, but we will also cause losses. Yesterday we
destroyed and annihilated a very large rocket depot. Of course
the YPG got mad about that. But of course we will make them pay
heavily for that. Maybe one of our helicopters is gone, but they
will pay for this. Not in kind, but so much more, because we are
determined, and we believe we are superior. We will succeed in
this as well."<END QUOTE>
It was just a week ago, on February 3, that a Russian warplane was
shot down in Idlib province by al-Qaeda linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham
(HTS), using a portable surface-to-air missile. The pilot ejected,
and was killed on the ground.
Russia and Syria have both been taking revenge this past week by
massive bombing of civilian neighborhoods in Eastern Ghouta and Idlib,
including continued use of chlorine gas. Estimates are that 230
civilians have been killed by Russia and Syria in the last week.
Hurriyet (Ankara) and Reuters and Globe and Mail (Canada)
Related Articles
- Turkey begins invasion of Syria while China lies about 'indisputable sovereignty' (21-Jan-2018)
- Turkey announces major military operation in Syria's Idlib province (09-Oct-2017)
- In dramatic development, US warplanes smash fortified wall in Raqqa, Syria (05-Jul-2017)
- Turkey builds a northern Syria 'National Army' from Free Syrian Army militias (31-May-2017)
****
**** With defeat of ISIS, war escalates, and Syria becomes more fragmented and chaotic
****
The war in Syria has sharply escalated this week. Four countries have
lost a military aircraft in Syria in the last week. On Saturday,
three countries lost military aircraft on a single day, just days
after the same happened to a fourth country. So Iran lost a drone,
Israel lost a warplane, Turkey lost a helicopter, and Russia lost a
warplane.
There are at least 14 armies and militias operating in Syria now:
Syria, Russia, Iran, Hezbollah, Turkey, Free Syrian Army (FSA), Syrian
Democratic Forces (SDF), People’s Protection Units (YPG), Saudi
Arabia, Iraq, Israel, United States, al-Qaeda linked Hayat Tahrir
al-Sham (HTS), and the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or
Daesh).
Sometimes the alliances are clear. For example, Turkey and the FSA
are allied against the SDF and the YPG. Syria, Iran and Hezbollah are
allied against Israel. Syria, Iran, Hezbollah and Russia are allied
against Sunni civilians. In other cases, the alliances are fuzzy,
such as the relationship between Turkey and the FSA.
As we've been saying for months, all of these forces (except ISIS)
have been united only in that they were all nominally fighting against
ISIS, albeit with a variety of hidden and conflicting objectives. Now
that ISIS has been defeated, all of these conflicting objectives have
been exposed, and all of these different armies and militias have no
one to shoot at but each other.
Each of these 14 armies and militias has a different objective. Some
of them want a piece of Syria. Other just want to keep someone else
from getting a piece of Syria. In the middle of everything, you have
the psychopathic war criminal Bashar al-Assad. These conflicting
objectives mean that there will be no peace in Syria for a long, long
time. The Drive
Related Articles
- US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) clash with Syrian regime forces (09-Feb-2018)
- Armies and militias fighting ISIS in Iraq and Syria increasingly turn on each other (15-Oct-2017)
- US shoots down Syrian warplane, as Iran launches missiles into Syria (19-Jun-2017)
- US and Iran headed for military confrontation in Deir az-Zour in eastern Syria (09-Jun-2017)
- US warplanes strike Syrian regime military convoy near al-Tanf base (19-May-2017)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Syria, Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu,
Reuven Ben Shalom, Hossein Salami,
Iran, Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Hezbollah,
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, HTS, Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Nusra Front,
Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh,
Eastern Ghouta, Hama, Idlib, barrel bombs,
chlorine, ammonia, phosphorous, Sarin gas,
People’s Protection Units, YPG, Afrin, Manbij
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
