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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 16-Mar-18 World View -- Concerns grow of humanitarian disaster in Afrin, Syria, as Turkey's forces enter

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Concerns grow of humanitarian disaster in Afrin, Syria, as Turkey's forces enter
  • Silence from North Korea puts Kim-Trump summit in doubt

****
**** Concerns grow of humanitarian disaster in Afrin, Syria, as Turkey's forces enter
****


[Image: g180315b.jpg]
Syrians flee from airstrikes and shelling of village near Afrin (Reuters)

Turkey's president Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Wednesday, "We have
got a little closer to Afrin. I hope that Afrin will, God willing,
have completely fallen by the evening."

Erdogan was alluding to Operation Olive Branch, the military operation
that began on January 20 with the objective of taking control of the
northeastern Syria city of Afrin from the Kurdish People's Protection
Units (YPG). Originally, Erdogan promised that the operation would be
completed by the end of January.

The YPG is linked to the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), which has
been conducting a violent insurgency in Turkey for three decades, and
has performed multiple major terrorist attacks in major Turkish cities
in the last three years. The PKK is considered a terrorist group by
the US and the EU.

The operation wasn't completed by Wednesday evening as Erdogan hoped,
but on Thursday Turkey's presidential spokesman said:

<QUOTE>"Over 70 percent of Syria’s Afrin region has been
secured during Operation Olive Branch.

The circle has been completely tightened around the terrorists. We
predict that the center of Afrin will be completely cleared of
terrorists within a short period of time. They wanted to make
Afrin a new Qandil. This [desire] has been eliminated through
Operation Olive Branch."<END QUOTE>


The phrase "new Qandil" refers to the Qandil mountains in Iraq where
the PKK has its headquarters.

In order to complete the mission, Turkish forces have been bombarding
the city with airstrikes and artillery shelling, to the extent that
many people are beginning to compare the Turkish assault on Afrin to
the ferocity of the attack on Eastern Ghouta by the army of Syria's
president Bashar al-Assad, backed up by Russian warplanes. However,
al-Assad has been regularly dropping barrel bombs packed with
explosives and metal and laced with chlorine gas onto civilian
neighborhoods and markets in order to kill as many women and children
as possible. Erdogan so far has not been taking similar steps in
Afrin.

Still, the bombs and artillery have taken their toll, to the point
where there is a fear of a full-scale humanitarian crisis. There are
350,000 people living in central Afrin, and in just the last 24 hours,
some 30,000 civilians were forced to flee from their homes, according
to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. The water supply has been
cut off, and a siege has prevented food and medicines from entering
the city, except for just one UN humanitarian aid convoy in early
March.

YPG leaders claim that the Turkish forces are nowhere close to winning
in Afrin, and it remains to be seen whether the Turkish forces will
become more and more like the Syrian army forces in Eastern Ghouta.
Middle East Eye and Yeni Safak (Ankara) and Al Arabiya and Asharq Al Awsat (London) and Middle East Eye

Related Articles:

****
**** Silence from North Korea puts Kim-Trump summit in doubt
****


There has been total silence from North Korean on the planned
summit meeting between Donald Trump and North Korea's child
dictator Kim Jong-un. There have been no articles or commentary
in the North Korean press. There is no word that North Korea
is making any preparations for a summit, even though the
initial invitation from Kim, sent through the South Koreans,
was that Kim "wanted to meet urgently" with Trump.

There has been no sign that the North Koreans want to go ahead with
the summit, whether urgently or not. When I first wrote about the planned summit,
one of the things I
speculated about was that Kim had extended the invitation expecting it
to be rejected, or at least expecting any acceptance to be burdened
down with a bundle of preconditions that would never be met. That
meant that the invitation was not real, but was a negotiating ploy
intended to humiliate Trump. But then Kim must have been surprised
when Trump accepted the invitation immediately, without preconditions,
although some preconditions were added later.

The first possible sign that some preparation is being made occurred
on Thursday, when North Korea's foreign minister Ri Yong Ho paid a
surprise visit to Sweden. However, the purpose of the meeting has not
been announced, except to discuss the security situation on the Korean
peninsula.

Meanwhile, North Korea is continuing to stall, in order to give
itself breathing space to complete development of its nuclear
weapon and long-range ballistic missile program. There's no
doubt that development work continued during the Olympics games,
and that it's continuing to this day.

Instead of meeting "very urgently," perhaps Kim just wants to stall
further, and delay the meeting as long as possible, until his weapons
program is a fait accompli. LA Times and CNN

Related Articles:


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Syria, Afrin,
Operation Olive Branch, Iraq, Qandil mountains,
People's Protection Units, YPG, Kurdistan Workers' Party, PKK,
Bashar al-Assad, Eastern Ghouta, Russia,
North Korea, Kim Jong-un, South Korea, Sweden, Ri Yong Ho

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16-Mar-18 World View -- Concerns grow of humanitarian disaster in Afrin, Syria, as Tu - by John J. Xenakis - 03-15-2018, 10:24 PM
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