04-01-2018, 08:49 PM
*** 2-Apr-18 World View -- Massive new anti-India violence in Kashmir leads to 20 deaths
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Massive new anti-India violence in Kashmir leads to 20 deaths
****
![[Image: g180401b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g180401b.jpg)
Kashmiri villagers during a funeral at Shopian, South Kashmir, during the anti-Indian protests (Hindustan Times)
Sunday was one of the bloodiest days in Indian-controlled Kashmir in
recent months, after a new generation of separatist Kashmiri youths
led massive anti-India protests and violence in several parts of
Indian-controlled Kashmir. Thousands of Kashmiris were in the streets
chanting anti-India slogans and demanding an end to Indian rule over
Kashmir. Some 20 people were killed, including 3 soldiers and 17
Kashmiris, with dozens more injured.
A spokesman for Hurriyat, a Kashmiri separatist organization,
is calling for continued protests in the days to come:
<QUOTE>"The joint resistance leadership calls for a shutdown
tomorrow against the killings and atrocities on people in south
Kashmir. Hundreds have been injured in pellet and bullet
firing."<END QUOTE>
Separatists are calling for strikes on Monday and Tuesday, and
authorities have ordered all schools to be shut.
The protests and clashes were triggered by a series of
counter-insurgency operations, based on tips to police about where
militant separatists may be hiding. Many civilians living in Kashmir
support these militants and demand that Indian-governed Kashmir be
allowed to merge Pakistan-governed Kashmir, and become part of
Pakistan.
In June 2017, India announced 'Operation All-Out,'
in which thousands of security forces were
involved in a massive house-to-house sweep to "deliver a lethal blow
to terrorism." Operation All-Out went on for months and was
responsible for killing over 200 militants, according to Indian
authorities. The violence has already escalated in 2018, with 51
alleged militants already killed so far this year. Geo TV (Pakistan) and AFP and Hindustan Times and AP
****
**** Uprising in Kashmir continues to grow into war between India and Pakistan
****
As I've described several times in the past, from the point of view of
Generational Dynamics, the growing violence in Kashmir is following a
fairly standard historical template that always ends in a major war.
I've written in the past to distinguish between "organic" genocides
that come from the people, such as the 1994 Rwanda genocide, versus
"government-led" genocides, such as occurring today in Syria and South
Sudan.
Although there's little doubt that Pakistan-based groups are inciting
violence in Kashmir, that isn't enough to start a generational war
unless the mood of the population is that such a war is necessary.
What we're seeing in Kashmir is an "organic" war that's leading
unstoppably to a generational crisis war.
As I described in the past,
India's
last two generational crisis wars were India's 1857 Rebellion, and the
1947 Partition war.
The 1857 rebellion is also called India's First War of Independence
from the British colonial power. What started out as protests related
to the Hindu veneration of cows grew into an extremely bloody
generational crisis war, resulting in the deaths of over 100,000
Indian civilians.
India remained a British colony, and there was little or no violence
for decades, as always happens after a generational crisis war, since
the traumatized survivors do not wish anything so horrible to happen
again. However, as younger generations with no personal memory of the
war rise to power, conflicts begin again.
In the 1910s, Mahatma Gandhi, the Indian peace activist, launched a
"non-cooperation movement" against the British, involving civil
disobedience. The generational Awakening era climax occurred on April
10-12, 1919, with the Jalianvala Bagh Massacre (Amritsar Massacre),
when British troops opened fire on 10,000 Sikhs holding a protest
meeting, killing hundreds. That event convinced both the British and
the Indians that Britain should completely give up control of India.
By 1946, there was a debate centered on two choices: Should there be a
single Indian state, with separate regions under the control of
Muslims and Hindus, or should there be a two-state solution, a Muslim
state living side-by-side in peace with a Hindu state? The argument
that won the day was that Muslims can't stand pigs and Hindus can't
eat cows, and so they can't live together. Finally, British, Muslim
and Hindu officials all agreed that there had to be two separate
states, India and Pakistan. In particular, the 1857 rebellion was
still in everyone's mind, and it was hoped that the two-state solution
would lead to peace.
There's an old saying that "History doesn't repeat itself, but it
rhymes." In this case, the massive violence of the 1857 rebellion was
repeated, but not between Indians and British. Instead, it was
between Hindus and Muslims, and with the same ferocity.
In 1947, the Indian subcontinent was partitioned into two countries,
India and Pakistan, and no sooner did that happen then there was a
massive new generational crisis war. But with the British colonists
gone, this war pitted the Hindus against Muslims, in one of the
bloodiest wars of the 20th century.
Once again, there was relative peace following the war, but once
again, younger generations have been rising, and have no fear of a new
war. The accusation today that Pakistan-based groups are using social
media to incite violence is undoubtedly true, but India media are no
better.
Since the 1947 Partition war, there have been three non-crisis wars
fought between India and Pakistan over Kashmir. Those wars fizzled,
but now in a general Crisis era, all the participants -- Pakistanis,
Kashmiris and Indians -- are becoming increasingly nationalistic and
xenophobic. As the protests and violence grow, this would spiral into
a much larger war, just as the initial protests did in 1857 and 1947,
and turn into a war between Pakistan and India, both nuclear powers.
Generational Dynamics predicts that the approaching Clash of
Civilizations world war will pit China, Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim
countries against the US, India, Russia and Iran. In the Mideast,
Generational Dynamics predicts a full-scale Mideast war, pitting Jews
against Arabs, Sunnis against Shias, and various ethnic groups against
each other. Benar News and Greater Kashmir
Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, India, Pakistan, Kashmir, Hurriyat,
Operation All-Out, 1857 Rebellion, 1947 Partition War, Mahatma Gandhi,
Jalianvala Bagh Massacre, Amritsar Massacre
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Massive new anti-India violence in Kashmir leads to 20 deaths
- Uprising in Kashmir continues to grow into war between India and Pakistan
****
**** Massive new anti-India violence in Kashmir leads to 20 deaths
****
Kashmiri villagers during a funeral at Shopian, South Kashmir, during the anti-Indian protests (Hindustan Times)
Sunday was one of the bloodiest days in Indian-controlled Kashmir in
recent months, after a new generation of separatist Kashmiri youths
led massive anti-India protests and violence in several parts of
Indian-controlled Kashmir. Thousands of Kashmiris were in the streets
chanting anti-India slogans and demanding an end to Indian rule over
Kashmir. Some 20 people were killed, including 3 soldiers and 17
Kashmiris, with dozens more injured.
A spokesman for Hurriyat, a Kashmiri separatist organization,
is calling for continued protests in the days to come:
<QUOTE>"The joint resistance leadership calls for a shutdown
tomorrow against the killings and atrocities on people in south
Kashmir. Hundreds have been injured in pellet and bullet
firing."<END QUOTE>
Separatists are calling for strikes on Monday and Tuesday, and
authorities have ordered all schools to be shut.
The protests and clashes were triggered by a series of
counter-insurgency operations, based on tips to police about where
militant separatists may be hiding. Many civilians living in Kashmir
support these militants and demand that Indian-governed Kashmir be
allowed to merge Pakistan-governed Kashmir, and become part of
Pakistan.
In June 2017, India announced 'Operation All-Out,'
in which thousands of security forces were
involved in a massive house-to-house sweep to "deliver a lethal blow
to terrorism." Operation All-Out went on for months and was
responsible for killing over 200 militants, according to Indian
authorities. The violence has already escalated in 2018, with 51
alleged militants already killed so far this year. Geo TV (Pakistan) and AFP and Hindustan Times and AP
****
**** Uprising in Kashmir continues to grow into war between India and Pakistan
****
As I've described several times in the past, from the point of view of
Generational Dynamics, the growing violence in Kashmir is following a
fairly standard historical template that always ends in a major war.
I've written in the past to distinguish between "organic" genocides
that come from the people, such as the 1994 Rwanda genocide, versus
"government-led" genocides, such as occurring today in Syria and South
Sudan.
Although there's little doubt that Pakistan-based groups are inciting
violence in Kashmir, that isn't enough to start a generational war
unless the mood of the population is that such a war is necessary.
What we're seeing in Kashmir is an "organic" war that's leading
unstoppably to a generational crisis war.
As I described in the past,
India's
last two generational crisis wars were India's 1857 Rebellion, and the
1947 Partition war.
The 1857 rebellion is also called India's First War of Independence
from the British colonial power. What started out as protests related
to the Hindu veneration of cows grew into an extremely bloody
generational crisis war, resulting in the deaths of over 100,000
Indian civilians.
India remained a British colony, and there was little or no violence
for decades, as always happens after a generational crisis war, since
the traumatized survivors do not wish anything so horrible to happen
again. However, as younger generations with no personal memory of the
war rise to power, conflicts begin again.
In the 1910s, Mahatma Gandhi, the Indian peace activist, launched a
"non-cooperation movement" against the British, involving civil
disobedience. The generational Awakening era climax occurred on April
10-12, 1919, with the Jalianvala Bagh Massacre (Amritsar Massacre),
when British troops opened fire on 10,000 Sikhs holding a protest
meeting, killing hundreds. That event convinced both the British and
the Indians that Britain should completely give up control of India.
By 1946, there was a debate centered on two choices: Should there be a
single Indian state, with separate regions under the control of
Muslims and Hindus, or should there be a two-state solution, a Muslim
state living side-by-side in peace with a Hindu state? The argument
that won the day was that Muslims can't stand pigs and Hindus can't
eat cows, and so they can't live together. Finally, British, Muslim
and Hindu officials all agreed that there had to be two separate
states, India and Pakistan. In particular, the 1857 rebellion was
still in everyone's mind, and it was hoped that the two-state solution
would lead to peace.
There's an old saying that "History doesn't repeat itself, but it
rhymes." In this case, the massive violence of the 1857 rebellion was
repeated, but not between Indians and British. Instead, it was
between Hindus and Muslims, and with the same ferocity.
In 1947, the Indian subcontinent was partitioned into two countries,
India and Pakistan, and no sooner did that happen then there was a
massive new generational crisis war. But with the British colonists
gone, this war pitted the Hindus against Muslims, in one of the
bloodiest wars of the 20th century.
Once again, there was relative peace following the war, but once
again, younger generations have been rising, and have no fear of a new
war. The accusation today that Pakistan-based groups are using social
media to incite violence is undoubtedly true, but India media are no
better.
Since the 1947 Partition war, there have been three non-crisis wars
fought between India and Pakistan over Kashmir. Those wars fizzled,
but now in a general Crisis era, all the participants -- Pakistanis,
Kashmiris and Indians -- are becoming increasingly nationalistic and
xenophobic. As the protests and violence grow, this would spiral into
a much larger war, just as the initial protests did in 1857 and 1947,
and turn into a war between Pakistan and India, both nuclear powers.
Generational Dynamics predicts that the approaching Clash of
Civilizations world war will pit China, Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim
countries against the US, India, Russia and Iran. In the Mideast,
Generational Dynamics predicts a full-scale Mideast war, pitting Jews
against Arabs, Sunnis against Shias, and various ethnic groups against
each other. Benar News and Greater Kashmir
Related Articles
- India's 'Operation All-Out' brings Kashmir closer to all-out war (24-Jun-2017)
- India's Narendra Modi finally hits out at Cow Protectors ('Gau Rakshaks') (07-Aug-2016)
- China threatens military intervention in Kashmir on the side of Pakistan (12-Jul-2017)
- Kashmir violence surges as India launches massive house-to-house sweep (06-May-2017)
- Uprising in Kashmir growing into major regional war between India and Pakistan (01-Apr-2017)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, India, Pakistan, Kashmir, Hurriyat,
Operation All-Out, 1857 Rebellion, 1947 Partition War, Mahatma Gandhi,
Jalianvala Bagh Massacre, Amritsar Massacre
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
