Generational Dynamics World View

[John J. Xenakis]

(04-04-2018, 09:20 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: > *** 5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's
> experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

(04-05-2018, 12:15 PM)Tim Randal Walker Wrote: > If China chooses to invade its neighbors, how will Japan respond?
> At a minimum, I can imagine the Japanese trying to dominate the
> island countries of east Asia, excluding the Chinese.

Japan has been preparing for war with China for years.
They would try to stay out of it as long as possible, but
sooner or later (and probably sooner) they would be involved
in any war that China started.

There's an interesting footnote to that question. Japan has a
"pacifist" constitution, with the Article 9 self-defense clause, which
is a "renunciation of war," forbidding any military action except for
"self-defense" on Japanese soil. In 2015, Abe was able to get
parliament to reinterpret the self-defense clause to mean "collective
self-defense," which means that military action would be permitted
anywhere in the world when an ally (such as the United States) is
attacked.

So if China attacks the United States, or any Japanese ally, then
Japan can come to the defense of the ally, despite the "pacifist
constitution."


** 23-Oct-17 World View -- Big election win for Japan's Shinzo Abe may mean end of pacifism
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e171023

** 28-Dec-15 World View -- Japan says that armed Chinese ships infiltrate its territorial waters
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e151228

** 5-May-14 World View -- Japan debates 'collective self-defense' to protect America and Japan
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e140505