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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 1-Jun-18 World View -- Israel hopeful that Egypt's mediation has ended Gaza violence - for now

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Israel hopeful that Egypt's mediation has ended Gaza violence - for now
  • Egypt mediates a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas

****
**** Israel hopeful that Egypt's mediation has ended Gaza violence - for now
****


[Image: g180531b.jpg]
Hamas rally in Gaza

As another round of Gaza border violence after Friday prayers is
possible again today, Israeli officials are hoping that a ceasefire
mediated by Egypt will hold.

For weeks, starting on March 30, there would be clash between
Palestinian protesters and the Israeli army on the border between Gaza
and Israel. The clashes peaked on May 14, when 62 Gazans were killed,
and hundreds of injured. According to Hamas, 50 of the 62 killed were
members of Hamas, while the other 12 were civilians.

The latest burst of violence began on Tuesday evening of this week
when, according to Israel's military, 180 Iranian-made rockets and
mortar shells were fired from Gaza into Israel, reaching over six
miles into Israeli territory. The rocket attack continued through
Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning. Seven Israelis were reported
wounded by shrapnel in the rocket and mortar attack.

Hamas is the governing authority in Gaza, but it's believed that the
rockets and mortars were launched not by Hamas but by another Gaza
terror group, Islamic Jihad. It's not clear whether Hamas knew about
the attacks in advance.

Israeli warplanes retaliated for the attacks by striking by striking
65 Hamas and Islamic Jihad targets throughout Gaza, according to the
Israeli military. These targets included a tunnel that traversed
Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula and penetrated half a mile into Israel. No
casualties were reported in Gaza. Israeli forces targeted encampments
that appeared to have been vacated in anticipation of attack.
AFP and Israel National News (16-May) and Haaretz

****
**** Egypt mediates a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas
****


The events on Tuesday and Wednesday were a major escalation of
violence, the worst since the 67-day summer war between Israel and
Gaza in 2014. United Nations officials expressed concern that the
Gaza war would be restarted in full force.

The fighting stopped on both sides on Wednesday morning, thanks to a
ceasefire agreement mediated by Egypt. The ceasefire agreement also
included a new attempt to reconcile the differences between the two
political factions, Hamas in Gaza, and the Palestinian Authority (PA)
in the West Bank, led by Mahmoud Abbas. Israeli officials are hoping
that the ceasefire will hold, but new demonstrations are planned for
next week on Tuesday, June 5.

After the 2014 Gaza War, Egypt brokered a reconciliation agreement
between Hamas and the PA, to form a "unity government". The new
government would contain ministers and MPs from both Hamas and Fatah,
and would govern both the Gaza Strip and the West Bank.

The concept of a Palestinian unity government has never been more than
a delusional fantasy. After several decades of living separately in
the Gaza and the West Bank, they are no longer a single Palestinian
people. The two groups are as different as the French and the
English.

Hamas has repeatedly refused to relinquish any of its control of Gaza
to the Palestinian Authority. Mahmoud Abbas has tried squeezing Hamas
economically in several ways, such as by cutting payments to Israel
for the electricity that Israel supplies to Gaza. This led to sharp
reductions in power in Gaza, less than four hours on many days.

Hamas is facing its worst crisis in years, with a severe cash
shortage, living conditions being compared to an "open air prison,"
and unemployment rate of 40%. Hamas has lost several former allies --
the Muslim Brotherhood, Syria and Iran -- because of the coup in
Egypt, and because Mideast wars in Syria and Yemen have dried up
resources by former donors.

Hamas became so desperate that last year it agreed to some of the
terms of the proposed unity government, including giving the PA some
governing authority in Gaza. However, these attempts at
reconciliation fizzled as quickly as they started.

However, the core differences are insurmountable without war. Hamas
and PA will never reconcile, just as Hamas and Israel will never
reconcile. The two-state solution is a fantasy.

As regular readers know, Generational Dynamics predicts that the Jews
and the Arabs will have a major new war, re-fighting the bloody the
war of 1948-49 that followed the partitioning of Palestine and the
creation of the state of Israel. The war between Jews and Arabs will
be part of a major regional war, pitting Sunnis versus Shias, Jews
versus Arabs, and various ethnic groups against each other.
Generational Dynamics predicts that in the approaching Clash of
Civilizations world war, the "axis" of China, Pakistan and the Sunni
Muslim countries will be pitted against the "allies," the US, India,
Russia and Iran. Egypt Today and RTE (Ireland) and Washington Post

Related Articles:


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Israel, Gaza, Hamas, Islamic Jihad,
Egypt, Mahmoud Abbas, Palestinian Authority, West Bank

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1-Jun-18 World View -- Israel hopeful that Egypt's mediation has ended Gaza violence - by John J. Xenakis - 05-31-2018, 10:42 PM
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