09-28-2018, 10:35 PM
*** 29-Sep-18 World View -- China, Russia demand that that some North Korea sanctions be lifted
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** China, Russia demand that that some North Korea sanctions be lifted
****
![[Image: g180928b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g180928b.jpg)
China's foreign minister Wang Yi (AP)
Russia and China are starting to demand that the sanctions on
North Korea be reduced.
As I've said for many months, the objective of North Korea's
dictator Kim Jong-un has been to get the sanctions removed,
without having to denuclearize. His father was very successful
at that, having resumed nuclear development when the sanctions
were lifted, based on his promise to end nuclear development.
The child dictator wants to prove that he's as good as his
father at tricking and humiliating the West.
As I've said in the past, after they starved and viciously abused
their own people for decades, based on a promise to make North Korea a
great country, a world peer to the United States, it's my personal
opinion that if Kim actually did denuclearize, then he would be shot
dead by his own generals.
Since the beginning of the year, Kim has adopted a "charm offensive"
strategy, working with the Russians, Chinese and South Koreans to put
international pressure on the US administration to agree to reduce
sanctions. He's taken easily reversible "confidence building steps,"
including destroying a nuclear test facility that could easily be
rebuilt, and returning the remains of American Korean War soldiers,
when he has thousands more. He's also suspended open testing for
nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles, but he's continued development
of these weapons and, even worse, is selling them to other countries.
At the UN Security Council meeting on Thursday, America's secretary of
state Mike Pompeo repeated previous criticisms of Russia and China for
violating the internationally agreed sanctions on North Korea, and
said that the sanctions must be continued to maintain pressure:
<QUOTE>"It is imperative for members of the United Nations to
take that to heart. Enforcement of UN Security Council sanctions
must continue vigorously and without fail until we realize the
fully, final, verified denuclearization. The members of this
council must set the example on that effort, and we must all hold
each other accountable."<END QUOTE>
However, Wang Yi, China's foreign affairs minister, responded by
saying the sanction measures could be "modified":
<QUOTE>"A provision in the Security Council resolutions that
the council is prepared to modify the sanction measures in light
of the DPRK’s [North Korea’s] compliance. Now given the positive
developments in the inter-Korean and DPRK- US relations, and the
DPRK’s important pledges and actions on denuclearization, China
believes that the Security Council needs to consider invoking in
due course this provision to encourage the DPRK and other relevant
parties to move denuclearization further ahead."<END QUOTE>
Russia's foreign minister Sergei Lavrov added to Wang Yi's remarks by
criticizing Western nations for "stubbornly" refusing to agree to
reduce sanctions. He said that, "Any negotiation is a two-way
street. Steps by the DPRK (North Korea) toward gradual disarmament
should be followed by the easing of sanctions," and that the continued
imposition of sanctions must not become “a hindrance” to dialogue
between the two Koreas. CBS News and Sputnik News and Guardian (London) and Reuters (17-Sep)
****
**** North Korea denuclearization negotiations appear headed for another crisis
****
The North Koreans have made some easily reversible "confidence
building" concessions, as described above.
The US has also made an easily revisible concession: The US
has suspended all joint military drills with the North Koreans.
Mike Pompeo is supposed to have another meeting with Kim Jong-un
in the near future.
The major demand that the US will make is for Kim to provide
a list of all nuclear weapon and ballistic missile development
sites, and then to allow UN IAEA inspectors to visit the
sites and verify that denuclearization is in progress.
I would be shocked and surprised if Kim agreed to that.
The major demand that the North Koreans will make will be to sign a
peace treaty formally ending the 1950s Korean War, and then to
withdraw thousands of American troops from South Vietnam.
I would be shocked and surprised if Trump agreed to that.
However, if both Kim and Trump shock and surprise me, then undoubtedly
some agreement would be reached to ease some sanctions.
Trump claims, in the spirit of The Art of the Deal, that he expects
North Korea to fully denuclearize by the end of 2019. I would be VERY
shocked and surprised if that happened.
This situation has seemed so benign for months that almost nobody has
been paying attention, especially with the distraction of people being
thrown to the lions in the great Washington Colosseum.
However, my expectations haven't changed. At some point, there will
be a renewal of the "North Korea" crisis, and the choice will be
either war, or else allowing North Korea to build an arsenal of
nuclear ballistic missiles pointed at the United States. AP and Asia Times
Related Articles:
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, North Korea, Kim Jong-un,
Russia, Sergei Lavrov, China, Wang Yi, Mike Pompeo
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- China, Russia demand that that some North Korea sanctions be lifted
- North Korea denuclearization negotiations appear headed for another crisis
****
**** China, Russia demand that that some North Korea sanctions be lifted
****
China's foreign minister Wang Yi (AP)
Russia and China are starting to demand that the sanctions on
North Korea be reduced.
As I've said for many months, the objective of North Korea's
dictator Kim Jong-un has been to get the sanctions removed,
without having to denuclearize. His father was very successful
at that, having resumed nuclear development when the sanctions
were lifted, based on his promise to end nuclear development.
The child dictator wants to prove that he's as good as his
father at tricking and humiliating the West.
As I've said in the past, after they starved and viciously abused
their own people for decades, based on a promise to make North Korea a
great country, a world peer to the United States, it's my personal
opinion that if Kim actually did denuclearize, then he would be shot
dead by his own generals.
Since the beginning of the year, Kim has adopted a "charm offensive"
strategy, working with the Russians, Chinese and South Koreans to put
international pressure on the US administration to agree to reduce
sanctions. He's taken easily reversible "confidence building steps,"
including destroying a nuclear test facility that could easily be
rebuilt, and returning the remains of American Korean War soldiers,
when he has thousands more. He's also suspended open testing for
nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles, but he's continued development
of these weapons and, even worse, is selling them to other countries.
At the UN Security Council meeting on Thursday, America's secretary of
state Mike Pompeo repeated previous criticisms of Russia and China for
violating the internationally agreed sanctions on North Korea, and
said that the sanctions must be continued to maintain pressure:
<QUOTE>"It is imperative for members of the United Nations to
take that to heart. Enforcement of UN Security Council sanctions
must continue vigorously and without fail until we realize the
fully, final, verified denuclearization. The members of this
council must set the example on that effort, and we must all hold
each other accountable."<END QUOTE>
However, Wang Yi, China's foreign affairs minister, responded by
saying the sanction measures could be "modified":
<QUOTE>"A provision in the Security Council resolutions that
the council is prepared to modify the sanction measures in light
of the DPRK’s [North Korea’s] compliance. Now given the positive
developments in the inter-Korean and DPRK- US relations, and the
DPRK’s important pledges and actions on denuclearization, China
believes that the Security Council needs to consider invoking in
due course this provision to encourage the DPRK and other relevant
parties to move denuclearization further ahead."<END QUOTE>
Russia's foreign minister Sergei Lavrov added to Wang Yi's remarks by
criticizing Western nations for "stubbornly" refusing to agree to
reduce sanctions. He said that, "Any negotiation is a two-way
street. Steps by the DPRK (North Korea) toward gradual disarmament
should be followed by the easing of sanctions," and that the continued
imposition of sanctions must not become “a hindrance” to dialogue
between the two Koreas. CBS News and Sputnik News and Guardian (London) and Reuters (17-Sep)
****
**** North Korea denuclearization negotiations appear headed for another crisis
****
The North Koreans have made some easily reversible "confidence
building" concessions, as described above.
The US has also made an easily revisible concession: The US
has suspended all joint military drills with the North Koreans.
Mike Pompeo is supposed to have another meeting with Kim Jong-un
in the near future.
The major demand that the US will make is for Kim to provide
a list of all nuclear weapon and ballistic missile development
sites, and then to allow UN IAEA inspectors to visit the
sites and verify that denuclearization is in progress.
I would be shocked and surprised if Kim agreed to that.
The major demand that the North Koreans will make will be to sign a
peace treaty formally ending the 1950s Korean War, and then to
withdraw thousands of American troops from South Vietnam.
I would be shocked and surprised if Trump agreed to that.
However, if both Kim and Trump shock and surprise me, then undoubtedly
some agreement would be reached to ease some sanctions.
Trump claims, in the spirit of The Art of the Deal, that he expects
North Korea to fully denuclearize by the end of 2019. I would be VERY
shocked and surprised if that happened.
This situation has seemed so benign for months that almost nobody has
been paying attention, especially with the distraction of people being
thrown to the lions in the great Washington Colosseum.
However, my expectations haven't changed. At some point, there will
be a renewal of the "North Korea" crisis, and the choice will be
either war, or else allowing North Korea to build an arsenal of
nuclear ballistic missiles pointed at the United States. AP and Asia Times
Related Articles:
- China, North and South Korea confounded by cancellation of Kim Jong-un meeting (26-Aug-2018)
- US imposes new North Korea sanctions on Chinese and Russian shipping companies (17-Aug-2018)
- John Bolton and Marco Rubio describe North Korea strategy, as sanctions are violated (06-Aug-2018)
- North Korea appears to dismantle its Sohae satellite launch site (26-Jul-2018)
- After the Kim-Trump summit, US and N. Korea plan denuclearization details (14-Jun-2018)
- NY Times publishes a generational analysis of South Korea (30-Jan-2018)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, North Korea, Kim Jong-un,
Russia, Sergei Lavrov, China, Wang Yi, Mike Pompeo
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
