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Generational Dynamics World View
** 16-Jun-2019 Trade negotiations Japan 1980s vs China today

A magazine editor is writing an article comparing today's trade
war with China vs the trade war between Reagan and Japan
in the 1980s. The following are her questions and my responses:


Quote: 1) Is this trade war between China and the US in any
way similar to the one led by Reagan between Japan and the US,
where Tokyo had been accused of intellectual property theft among
other things? If so, can the US and China learn anything from
it?"

The 1980s trade war with Japan is almost completely irrelevant, since
it was much smaller, involving only a few specific products, and
because Japan is an honest negotiator, unlike China. The 1980s trade
war was actually about trade, while the current trade war is about
geopolitics and national security.

China is contemptuous of international law, claiming that it suffered
from "a century of humiliation" because of "unfair treaties." In
researching my book, this led me to a question that I've never seen
discussed: Since the West tried to impose the same "unfair treaties"
on Japan, why didn't Japan also suffer a "century of humiliation"?


What I discovered is that Japan has repeatedly and consistently
bested China in all areas -- economically, diplomatically, militarily,
and in governance. The bottom line appears to be the fact that
the reason that China suffered a "Century of Humiliation" is because
they were inferior to Japan, time after time.

This is not because the Chinese people are inferior. In fact, the
same Chinese people in Taiwan and colonial Hong Kong have also beaten
the Chinese people in China, by a factor of ten. It's the Chinese
government that's inferior to the governments of Japan, Taiwan and
South Korea. The great and brilliant Chinese people are being led by
corrupt idiots in the CCP.

So when you compare trade negotiations with Japan and China, you
have to understand that Japan is committed to observing international
law and its own commitments, whereas China has no intention of
observing international law and its own commitments, and has repeatedly
said that international law is irrelevant compared to Chinese law.
We see this in the South China Sea, where the Chinese have become
international criminals with respect to international law (which they
say doesn't apply to them), and in Xinjiang province, where they're
conducting genocide and ethnic cleansing of Uighurs.

When the Chinese recently reneged on their agreements with the US
trade negotiators, what they suddenly threw out was all the written
agreements related to stealing intellectual property.

In fact, it's much worse than that. The Chinese really said "f--k
you" to the American negotiators when they passed the Foreign
Investment Law in March. It allows any Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
official to visit any foreign-owned business and demand copies of all
confidential company business records and company data, as well as its
source code and all other intellectual property. Compliance is
required.

This is the law of the land now in China, and it's the way that the
Chinese do business, unlike the Japanese. So US-Japan trade
deals are completely irrelevant to US-China trade negotiations.

Quote: "2) Do you think this trade war could escalate in a
real war? What could trigger it? China has recently said it won't
shoot first but Beijing will be ready to fight if the US launches
an attack."

If you want to compare the current trade negotiations to historical
trade issues with Japan, the correct analogy is not the 1980s.
The correct analogy is 1941.

Japan invaded China in 1937, and on August 1, 1941, US president
Franklin Roosevelt showed his displeasure by establishing an embargo
on oil and gasoline exports to Japan. Three months later, Japan
attacked Pearl Harbor.

The CCP government is highly dysfunctional and delusionsal, and is
losing control of many of its 1.4 billion people. They're already
violently attacking Buddhists, Christians, Muslims and Falun Gong
practitioners, out of a paranoid fear that any of these religious
groups could trigger an anti-government rebellion.

So we're headed to a world war with China with 100% certainty. And it
might be triggered by the trade dispute, but the CCP is so
dysfunctional and delusional that there are many other events and
incidents that could trigger it.

In my opinion, a more likely scenario that could start a world war
could come out of China's aggressive illegal fishing operations.
https://www.businessinsider.com/us-warns...war-2019-1

This past week, a Chinese vessel intentionally rammed and sank a
Philippines fishing vessel. This kind of thing could easily trigger a
war.
https://www.rappler.com/nation/233107-ph...ip-assault

If you get my book, then read section 18.3: "How World War II started
-- someone had to pee." In today's febrile world, any event of any
kind can start a war.

Quote: "3) Trade war, Huawei and tensions in the South China
Sea: why do you think China seems to have become a major source of
problems for Washington from an economic, tech/security and
political point of view?"

I've been writing about Huawei since the whole subject became public
because of statements by Leon Panetta in 2012.

** 14-Oct-12 World View -- Huawei scandal exposes potential
'Cyberwar Pearl Harbor' from China
http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e121014

So let me make this clear. I'm the expert on this subject. I worked
for five years developing board-level systems software for embedded
systems. You can ask some politician what he thinks, or some banker
or investor what he thinks, but unless he's worked in the trenches as
I have, then he doesn't know crap. And if you ask a politician, then
chances are he's being paid off by the CCP anyway with bribes and
kickbacks.

So I'm telling you two things: I have the skills to easily implement
an undetectable backdoor in any device like a Huawei router, and there
are many Chinese engineers who also have the skills. I provided some
of the technical details in my book. So the Chinese military could
easily implement an undetectable backdoor in Huawei's devices. All
the military needs to do is take control of a small group of engineers
within Huawei. China has militarized its entire fleet of thousands of
fishing boats, and if it's doing that, then you can be sure that
they've militarized Huawei's chips, which is far easier to do.

And as if we needed any more proof, the Chinese are no longer even
pretending. In November 2017 they passed their National Intelligence
Law that requires all Chinese companies to cooperate with the
military, even when doing so breaks the law. Like the Foreign
Investment Law that was passed in March, the National Intelligence Law
was a real "f--k you" to the entire West.

So here are two things: It's really easy for the Chinese military
to install undetectable backdoors in Huawei devices, and Chinese law
requires Huawei and any other Chinese company to cooperate with
the Chinese military in stealing foreign intelligence. That law
even commits the military to protecting anyone who violates the
law in stealing foreign intelligence.

China's military is preparing for war in every possible way. By
aggressively subsidizing Huawei's 5G products, the CCP's strategy is
to have as much of the global internet running on Huawei devices as
possible. When China launches its war, China's control of the global
internet will give China's military an enormous advantage.

In a related story, China has heavily subsidized the camera drone
company DJI. DJI has sold many thousands of these camera drones in
many countries, and they're used by many organizations for law
enforcement and to examine infrastructure. This past week, the US
Dept of Homeland Security warned that these DJI cameras were sending
sensitive information back to the Chinese military.
https://cbs4indy.com/2019/05/20/homeland...teal-data/

China's military will analyze the images sent back, using artificial
intelligence algorithms (probably supplied by Google), to create a map
of all the vulnerable targets and people in other countries.

---- Related:

World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2)
by John James Xenakis
Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1732738637/
Reply


Messages In This Thread
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-14-2016, 03:21 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-23-2016, 10:31 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 08-11-2016, 08:59 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 01-18-2017, 09:23 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 02-04-2017, 10:08 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 03-13-2017, 03:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 02:56 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 03:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 05-30-2017, 01:04 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 07-08-2017, 01:34 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-09-2017, 11:07 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-10-2017, 02:38 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 10-25-2017, 03:07 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by rds - 10-31-2017, 03:35 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by rds - 10-31-2017, 06:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by noway2 - 11-20-2017, 04:31 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-28-2017, 11:00 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-31-2017, 11:14 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 06-22-2018, 02:54 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:42 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:54 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-19-2018, 12:43 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-25-2018, 02:18 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:58 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-18-2018, 03:42 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-19-2018, 04:39 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by John J. Xenakis - 06-16-2019, 12:10 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 09-25-2019, 11:12 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-09-2020, 02:11 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Camz - 03-10-2020, 10:10 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 03-12-2020, 11:11 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-16-2020, 03:21 PM
RE: 58 year rule - by Tim Randal Walker - 04-01-2020, 11:17 AM
RE: 58 year rule - by John J. Xenakis - 04-02-2020, 12:25 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Isoko - 05-04-2020, 02:51 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 01-04-2021, 12:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by CH86 - 01-05-2021, 11:17 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-10-2021, 06:16 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-11-2021, 09:06 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-12-2021, 02:53 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-13-2021, 03:58 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-13-2021, 04:16 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-15-2021, 03:36 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 08-19-2021, 03:03 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 08-21-2021, 01:41 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-27-2022, 06:06 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-27-2022, 10:42 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 12:26 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 04:08 PM

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