08-06-2019, 05:29 PM
** 06-Aug-2019 The Fourth Turning Crisis Crisis
This article is based on the 1990s fourth turning theory (TFT theory),
which Neil Howe and David Kaiser have abandoned. Starting in the Bush
administration, Howe had to change the 1990s theory so that there
wouldn't have to be a war in the Fourth Turning, since predicting a
war would support the neo-cons in the Bush administration, and Howe
and Kaiser are left-wing Democrats.
Then during the Obama administration, Kaiser developed a weird,
complex theory that Obama would bring about social changes that would
cause a spiritual reawakening, and bring about "the death of the old
political, economic and social order." So political activist Kaiser
was hoping that Obama's social changes would bring about the Fourth
Turning crisis without a war. That prediction, of course, was a
complete failure.
So now, in the Trump administration, the TFT acolytes are in a state
of crisis (you might call it the "Fourth Turning Crisis Crisis"),
because even they can see that the Fourth Turning crisis will be a
world war, and Trump may be the one who leads the US through that
crisis, which would elevate Trump to the list of America's Greatest
Leaders, including Washington, Lincoln, and Roosevelt. The TFT
acolytes can't stand that possibility, since they really hate Trump,
so they've gone into a state of total delusion, along with everyone
else on the left.
So the article that you reference is a good article, and is entirely
reasonable in GD theory, but ironically, the article is a reversion to
the old, now rejected TFT theory. It's a shame that Howe had to
abandon his own theory, since ideology is more important.
The article is very vague about what might happen. It's like a
weather forecaster predicting rain next month, with no more details.
Generational Dynamics has provided a great deal of detail about how
the Fourth Turning will begin, and how it will turn out, something the
TFT theory is completely clueless about, since it has nothing to say
about China, Japan or the Mideast, or any country other than England
and America.
Howe and Kaiser are also boxed in in another way. TFT theory applies
only to England and America. They would like to apply 1990s TFT
theory to other countries, but they can't do that because that would
require adopting the Principle of Localization that I developed in
Generational Dynamics. Kaiser has adopted the Principle of Location
in some of his writings, but of course he simply plagiarizes the
concept from me without giving me credit. Howe and Kaiser really
despise me because of the success of GD theory and the failure of TFT
theory, so now they and the TFT acolytes have to bend themselves into
pretzels to avoid writing anything that appears to support Trump or
that appears to agree with Generational Dynamics. Must be tough.
Tom Mazanec Wrote:> The Burning Platform on The Fourth Turning (Part two):
> https://www.theburningplatform.com/2019/...-part-two/
This article is based on the 1990s fourth turning theory (TFT theory),
which Neil Howe and David Kaiser have abandoned. Starting in the Bush
administration, Howe had to change the 1990s theory so that there
wouldn't have to be a war in the Fourth Turning, since predicting a
war would support the neo-cons in the Bush administration, and Howe
and Kaiser are left-wing Democrats.
Then during the Obama administration, Kaiser developed a weird,
complex theory that Obama would bring about social changes that would
cause a spiritual reawakening, and bring about "the death of the old
political, economic and social order." So political activist Kaiser
was hoping that Obama's social changes would bring about the Fourth
Turning crisis without a war. That prediction, of course, was a
complete failure.
So now, in the Trump administration, the TFT acolytes are in a state
of crisis (you might call it the "Fourth Turning Crisis Crisis"),
because even they can see that the Fourth Turning crisis will be a
world war, and Trump may be the one who leads the US through that
crisis, which would elevate Trump to the list of America's Greatest
Leaders, including Washington, Lincoln, and Roosevelt. The TFT
acolytes can't stand that possibility, since they really hate Trump,
so they've gone into a state of total delusion, along with everyone
else on the left.
So the article that you reference is a good article, and is entirely
reasonable in GD theory, but ironically, the article is a reversion to
the old, now rejected TFT theory. It's a shame that Howe had to
abandon his own theory, since ideology is more important.
The article is very vague about what might happen. It's like a
weather forecaster predicting rain next month, with no more details.
Generational Dynamics has provided a great deal of detail about how
the Fourth Turning will begin, and how it will turn out, something the
TFT theory is completely clueless about, since it has nothing to say
about China, Japan or the Mideast, or any country other than England
and America.
Howe and Kaiser are also boxed in in another way. TFT theory applies
only to England and America. They would like to apply 1990s TFT
theory to other countries, but they can't do that because that would
require adopting the Principle of Localization that I developed in
Generational Dynamics. Kaiser has adopted the Principle of Location
in some of his writings, but of course he simply plagiarizes the
concept from me without giving me credit. Howe and Kaiser really
despise me because of the success of GD theory and the failure of TFT
theory, so now they and the TFT acolytes have to bend themselves into
pretzels to avoid writing anything that appears to support Trump or
that appears to agree with Generational Dynamics. Must be tough.
